‘Worry. Don’t Be Happy’

Brace yourself for a decline – and pick up solid mid-cap stocks

From a low of about 8,000 in early March, the Sensex has almost doubled. There seem to be no clouds on the horizon for the markets. Marketmen are looking forward to a Sensex level of 17,000 and beyond. But then, this has been the expectation for quite a while now. Look closer. The Sensex had hit 15,600 on 12th June. At the...

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Structural Change?

Earnings surprise has changed the basic market complexion

When price is the only tool to understand market movements, there are a lot of sceptics. But when price moves are backed by fundamentals, it is a different story altogether. The rally from  6th March initially seemed to be a correction to the steep decline in February. The global economy appeared in terrible shape. The intrepid...

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Cycling Along

Global equities are continuing to move in a lockstep

In the previous issue, I had said that markets had rallied globally on hopes and they will also decline globally on disappointment. We can never tell how far the market will go in a given move. However, we suspected that the Sensex may well go all the way down to 12,000 but not much further, unless there was severe damage to earnings growth...

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