Uncertain gas production making us to depend on imports

For the time being, until the new wells start gushing out the gas, we have no alternative but to continue our dependence on imports

Although systems are in place for continuous exchange of information on

actual production of natural gas on a daily basis, the fall in production, and the lack of adequate action to drill new areas to discover oil & gas have been explained away as a geographical surprise. But there is more to the story.

 

Sashi Mukundan, regional president and country head, BP India, has mentioned that two significant discoveries had been made in the deep waters and exploration effort was underway to unlock the next major hub for development in the east coast. He expects that this new discovery should be able to get anything between 40 to 60 mmscmd of gas.

 

According to the Petroleum Ministry, the new gas discovery in the Krishna-Godavari (KG) basin is the "biggest ever" and it has been named as D-55, which was announced in May this year. At least $7 billion worth of investment by Reliance has been approved in these new fields, as stated by Minister Moily. He felt that this discovery will easily offset the falling output in KG-D6 block.

 

In the meantime, Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) has also shown its willingness to give the bank guarantee to get higher gas price from April 2014. Currently, the supplies are being priced at $4.2, while from April 2014 this is likely to increase to $8.4 per mmscmd. The bank guarantee option will eliminate the prospect of litigation and will also help in selling the gas at the revised price, so that neither party loses by selling at a lower price.

 

In any case, an appropriate formula has to be worked out with regard to the outstanding supplies of the previous contract, when the new discoveries come into full production.

 

In the meantime, both Reliance and Cairn are also looking at the prospects of getting the relinquished blocks, though the Petroleum Ministry official Vivek Rao stated that for getting these blocks, both will have to make bids like any other operator. It is expected that through NELP X the government will hope to obtain investment commitments worth $5 billion.

 

All said and done, for the time being, until the new wells start gushing out the gas, we have no alternative but to continue our dependence on imports.

 

(AK Ramdas has worked with the Engineering Export Promotion Council of the ministry of commerce. He was also associated with various committees of the Council. His international career took him to places like Beirut, Kuwait and Dubai at a time when these were small trading outposts; and later to the US.)

Comments
Dr Anantha K Ramdas
1 decade ago
In response to Mr Gosavi, I may mention that in Banglore, for example, where it is generally cold in the mornings, most houses have solar water heaters, and there is a price cone cession for actual electricity consumption, if you have one.

as for solar power to replace electricity as such, at the moment, the investment costs are high; you are right that it will take a few more years when solar power panels will be affordable by one and all.

In fact, if the Government truly wanted, they could instal solar panels on the top of all houses and form a solar grid; obtain the power and distribute it at cost. In many places, solar power is also used for electrifying street lamps. On the whole, for a country like India, this is a mammoth exercise that only a government with means can do and save millions, sorry, billions of dollars in replacing other forms of imported fuel consumption.

But the trouble is that we need some State government to start this on a war footing and create competition between all the political parties, so that
"aam aadmi" gets the benefit in the long run.... thanks for your concern.
Abhijit Gosavi
Replied to Dr Anantha K Ramdas comment 1 decade ago
Thank you very much for this info., Dr. Ramdas! I didn't know about solar panels in Bangalore. It appears that internal parts of Maha, Rajasthan, MP and most of the South could also use these solar panels. And you are so right about the role of govt.! In Europe, a lot of power is generated via renewable means (non-fossil-fuel), and that's happened only because of government involvement.

Middle-class Indians use very little energy compared to their counterparts in the West, which makes the Indian energy crisis less acute than it is in the West. It is sad that so many live in great poverty surviving with very little energy, but as the nation progresses, many of the poor will enter the middle class, and the problem will need some sort of long-term planning.
shadi katyal
Replied to Abhijit Gosavi comment 1 decade ago
If the said Indian energy crisis is less than Europe than how come one finds generator are a common sight and wastage of Diesel and atmosphere is not being considered. What about some of the area.
s in the nation where they have no power in this century
We should try to make progress and not look for state of GOI for any help but let the entrepreneurs do it
Abhijit Gosavi
Replied to shadi katyal comment 1 decade ago
Entrepreneurs need some form of subsidies to embrace challenges of this magnitude. Those diesel generators are not as efficient as power plants, making them very expensive. You are right that there are parts where there is no electricity, and there is at least one state where they have power 24 hours a day. In that state, it is the govt. that has worked to ensure power 24 hrs a day. No prizes for guessing which state that is :)
shadi katyal
Replied to Dr Anantha K Ramdas comment 1 decade ago
My question is that why we need GOI or state Govts to be involved in it. Have not learned anything from all the PSU??
Like the solar power water heaters let some entrepreneur do this and be sure that he doesnot have to go through any kinds of Babus who will hold such a license.
Time to stand up against Permit Raj.
Dr Anantha K Ramdas
1 decade ago
Thank you for your comments. I do not think that Reliance would do anything that stupid as hoarding; initial enthusiasm was probably carried too far and nobody wanted to really check into details.

No that they have discovered another great field in D-55, and the Govt has approved $ 7 billion in investment, let us hope for the best.

What we need to do is not to rest on one area of fossil fuel. Let it be Reliance, ONGC,
Cairn, GSPC or any other; these do exploration is definitively unknown areas. What we need to do is to seriously work on Coal exploration and development. Coal methane gas is simply "evaporating" and we need to obtain the technology to ensure that no more CBM is lost in inter-departmental rivalry and one-up-man ships. We need to investigate and correct our mistakes on "environmental clearances" and other "clearances" from various state bodies. These have to be brought under "one window". We have too many hurdles to cross in this fashion and this must stop if we want to make some headway.
Abhijit Gosavi
Replied to Dr Anantha K Ramdas comment 1 decade ago
Has India made any serious investments in wind/solar energy? We keep hearing about solar panels in Gujarat, but I haven't seen a proper analysis of the proportion of energy derived from renewable sources there. It certainly is true that India has lots and lots of wind and sun. Further, I believe even middle class Indians don't consume as much energy per capita as their equivalents in most developed nations.
shadi katyal
Replied to Abhijit Gosavi comment 1 decade ago
India has no planning of any kind and talk is cheaper. Where is any new technology of any nature. Look at USA who now producing more oil and gas than imports.
China with industrial development and having trillions to spare has gone into Africa for gas, oil and other minerals but our corrupt bureaucracy has not done anything.
Reiance is holding gas for higher prices while nation suffers. who has the power to investigate as most are on company payroll. This is how business is done .
Abhijit Gosavi
Replied to shadi katyal comment 1 decade ago
If India burns fossil fuels at China's rate (China is not a good role model for ANY nation), we are soon going to lose all ice in the poles, and there's going to be havoc in the climate worldwide!

Two winters back when I went for an early morning jog in Pune, I could hardly breathe, and my white shorts had turned grey in just about one hour! Business as usual and burning more and more of those fossil fuels is not the solution --- just my thoughts.
shadi katyal
1 decade ago
We must open up this exploration field to the world if we want to meet our requirements.
Reliance monopoly is similar to GOI and is it possible that Reliance is purposely holding the gas production to get higher prices and let the industry and nation suffer.
Why is nation being made a target of GOI and a single firm
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