Speculative Rally

On Wednesday, 12 December 2007, we saw something truly remarkable. The Asian markets were all sharply down due to a 290-point fall in the Dow Jones Industrial Index the previous night. Before the Indian market opened, I got a call from one of my friends, asking me where I saw the market headed. Before I said anything, he said, “It looks grim, isn’t it?” he asked. I said that the market would...

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  • Outlook Still Hazy

    Shorter-term trends of the Indian market (the scope of this column) are being determined significantly by trends in the US market. It would be a mistake to have a blind belief in the growth story of India. The US economy has hit a soft spot. While commentators like Stephen Roach and Marc Faber have been pessimistic about the US economy and the market for four years now, the economy has...

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  • Alternative Energy

    If FII money is not the fuel that is driving the market, what is?

    From a high of 20,238 on 30th October, the Sensex fell all the way down to 18,333 on 12th November, a fall of 1,905 points. FII investment has slowed down. Some days have seen large negative outflows. November has been a net negative month so far. And yet, the market is up. Have hedge funds and speculators found a new way to...

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