Libor: The Big Fat Lie
Western financial markets are often characterised by a colossal failure of supervision, every few years. Whether it is the Savings & Loans scam in the 1980s, the insider trading scandal of the late-1980s, the accounting scandal post dot-com bust in early-2000 or the bursting of the housing bubble in the mid-2000, companies, traders and bankers have repeatedly gamed the system and made millions. The supervisory failure is so routine and regular that it does not shock people anymore. But fixing the London Interbank Offered Rate? Even for the world-weary, it was a shock.  
 
It all started on 16 April 2008 when The Wall Street Journal printed a story on its front page with the headline “Bankers Cast Doubt on Key Rate Amid Crisis”. Written by Carrick Mollenkamp from Fleet Street, London, it began: “One of the most important barometers of the world’s financial health could be sending false signals. In a development that has implications for borrowers everywhere, from Russian oil producers to homeowners in Detroit to, bankers and traders are expressing concerns that the London Interbank Offered Rate, known as Libor, is becoming unreliable.”
 
That was a serious understatement. Libor was actually being rigged with impunity. Libor is a benchmark of interest rates that the world’s leading banks charge each other for short-term loans. It was supposed to be ‘the world’s most important number’, to which more than $300 trillion of mortgages, loans and derivatives were pegged. And, yet, a close network of traders and brokers was manipulating this number on which a substantial part of the Western economy depended, before getting caught in 2012. Liam Vaughan and Gavin Finch’s The Fix tells us the story of this monumental scandal.
 
The most obvious question is: How was Libor getting manipulated? The starting point was the primitive way Libor was calculated. The rate was an average of different banks’ estimates of how much they thought they would have to pay for funding. As the authors write, the “big flaw in Libor was that it relied on banks to tell the truth but encouraged them to lie. When the 150 variants of the benchmark were released each day, the banks’ individual submissions were also published, giving the world a snapshot of their relative creditworthiness.” Those making their firm’s Libor submissions “were prevented from deviating too far from the truth because their fellow market participants knew what rates they were really being charged.” 
 
The central character in all this was Tim Hayes. Sometime in 2006, Hayes, a trader with UBS Securities based in Tokyo had figured out how to rig Libor. When he was a junior trader in London, Hayes “had got to know several of the 16 individuals responsible for making their bank’s daily submission for the Japanese yen.” He realised that these guys relied on inter-dealer brokers, the middlemen involved in all trades, on what rate to submit each day. “In the opaque, over-the-counter derivatives market, where there is no centralised exchange, brokers are at the epicentre of information flow. That puts them in a powerful position. Only they can get a picture of what all the banks are doing. While brokers had no official role in setting Libor, the rate-setters at the banks relied on them for information on where cash was trading.” 
 
Hayes cultivated them, bribed them to submit rates according to his market positions, which came especially handy for him in the crisis of 2008, when, incredibly, instead of the rate shooting up (due to the liquidity crisis), Libor indicated that it would fall. This helped Hayes survive the 2008 crisis as he offloaded his positions based on rigged rates. In 2009, Hayes left UBS and joined Citibank, lured away for a $3 million bonus by Chris Cecere. 
 
Among those who read the WSJ article on Libor was Vince McGonagle, working at the enforcement division of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in Washington for 11 years. He asked his staff to put together a dossier and decided to launch an investigation. Earlier, in March, economists at the Bank for International Settlements, a group created by central banks around the world, had published a paper that identified unusual patterns in Libor during the crisis. However, the study concluded that these were “not caused by shortcomings in the design of the fixing mechanism.”
 
Sometime in the afternoon of 8 December 2009, Cecere felt that the six-month yen Libor was too high. When he checked the submissions from the previous day, he was surprised to see that Citigroup had put in one of the highest figures. “Cecere contacted the head of the risk treasury team in Tokyo, Stantley Tan, and asked him to find out who the yen-setter was and request that he lower his input by several basis points. It turned out the risk treasury desk in Canary Wharf was responsible for the bank’s Libor submissions,” write the authors. Tan spoke to the London office to consider moving the quotes lower. However, the risk management group in London didn’t budge. Cecere asked Tan to ask London again and was rebuffed by Andrew Thursfield, Citigroup’s risk head. Hayes tried to work his contacts in London but failed. Not only would Thursfield not oblige but, in March 2009, he gave a presentation via video link to investigators on the rate-setting process. Hayes tried to push harder and got reported by Citibank officials in London. After this, the scandal unravelled quickly, as CFTC closed its net and even the brokers stopped cooperating with Hayes. 
 
Finally, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Barclays and other banks paid up a fine of a few billion dollars and just one person went to jail: Tom Hayes, arrested in 2012 and convicted in 2015 for 14 years, which was reduced to 11. This is a compelling story of the Libor scandal told through Hayes, the obsessive high-risk trader, later diagnosed with Asperger’s disease, who bent the rules, bullied the brokers and bribed them to fix Libor to his advantage. The authors narrate the crime and one punishment in a factual manner, without getting into value judgement on whether others in the game deserved to be convicted as well.
 
Separately, it transpired that even foreign exchange rates were manipulated, between December 2007 and January 2013, in which traders in UBS, Bank of America, Citigroup, JP Morgan, Barclays and the Royal Bank of Scotland were involved. Later, six banks were fined $5.6 billion over this separate scam.
 
The book reads like a novel where characters, events and locations come alive with vivid descriptions. It opens with a secret meeting in a bar with a source, who identifies Hayes as the villain of Libor manipulation setting the tone of for a gripping thriller. But the real villains of the saga are British Bankers’ Association (BBA), Financial Services Authority (FSA), UK, and Bank of England (BoE). BBA continued to claim, long time after the WSJ article, that the Libor was reliable even in times of financial crisis. In October 2008, the International Monetary Fund found that “although the integrity of the U.S. dollar Libor-fixing process has been questioned by some market participants and the financial press, it appears that U.S. dollar Libor remains an accurate measure of a typical creditworthy bank's marginal cost of unsecured U.S. dollar term funding.” The minutes of the Bank of England show that deputy governor Paul Tucker was aware as early as in November 2007 of concerns that the Libor was being manipulated. In early 2008, the then New York Fed President Tim Geithner wrote to BoE chief Mervyn King to ‘fix’ Libor. But BoE didn’t act on it. FSA couldn’t care less about Libor. This is a short, fascinating book and a must-read. 
Comments
Mahesh S Bhatt
8 years ago
Good One Debashis God's Blessings to Moneylife & us.Stay Healthy & Blessed Mahesh Bhatt
Mahesh S Bhatt
8 years ago
Money is Maya & Maya is sexy & its frauds are sexier.Man Made Money & Money made Man Mad.He Forg0t Dash Laxmi ( 10 types of wealth) described in Vedas & view Values for Wealth at kirticorp & youtube user kirtidabhatt web sites. This makes Sharad Pawar look dumb & so is FIFA scam which makes BCCI look dwarfs. We need to improve our standards of corruption as per Global levels.What a paradox World tells India is most corrupt country while numbers donot lie. Om Shanti Shanti Happpy Deepwali & New Year expect Values of Currency free fall as States are manipulating at economy/technology & even at Spiritual levels. Mahesh Bhatt
Free Helpline
Legal Credit
Feedback