Forecasting Blunders

“Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future,” said Nils Bohr, Nobel laureate in Physics. A recent study shows that finance heads, who confidently forecast stock movements, are often wrong

Sometime in 1997, Ratan Tata invited all the major Telco suppliers to Lucknow to share his vision of where the industry was headed. He announced that Telco was going to double its...

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  • Warren Buffett’s Heir

    He is being compared with Warren Buffett, has made $1 billion last year and is only 45

    At 7.30 in the evening on Friday, 10th January 2003, successful value investor Edward Lampert was leaving his office when he was kidnapped by four people from the parking lot. They took him to Day’s Inn Motel, bound him in the bath tub, called Lampert’s wife, Kinga, playing a tape of his voice and demanded...

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  • Patience Is the Key

    Active vs passive fund management is not the issue. It is whether you can stick to whatever you have chosen when the going gets tough

    A few issues ago, we highlighted a study by a US research firm Dalbar Inc. which underlined the fact that while funds earn a return that is reflected in the change in their net asset values (NAVs), the average investor makes much less money than the NAV change...

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