Die-Hard Bulls

The Indian capital market continues to witness extreme volatility and, for over two months now, there is no discernible trend -- the market is only lurching from one extreme to the other. For instance, on 17th December, the Sensex opened weak and steadily lost ground through the day to end a shade above 19,000, a fall of 770 points, another one of those frightening declines. Over the next...

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Speculative Rally

On Wednesday, 12 December 2007, we saw something truly remarkable. The Asian markets were all sharply down due to a 290-point fall in the Dow Jones Industrial Index the previous night. Before the Indian market opened, I got a call from one of my friends, asking me where I saw the market headed. Before I said anything, he said, “It looks grim, isn’t it?” he asked. I said that the market would...

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Outlook Still Hazy

Shorter-term trends of the Indian market (the scope of this column) are being determined significantly by trends in the US market. It would be a mistake to have a blind belief in the growth story of India. The US economy has hit a soft spot. While commentators like Stephen Roach and Marc Faber have been pessimistic about the US economy and the market for four years now, the economy has...

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