Cloudy Outlook On Rates
One of the key indicators of flow of money into risky assets is interest rates on "risk-free" instruments, the global benchmark of which is the yield on 10-year treasury note of the US. This has been moving up consistently from 4.29% from 18th January and hit 5.19% on May 12th. This sharp run up, a consequence of successive rate hikes of the Federal Reserve, is supposed to make risky...
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  • Betting Real on Brazil

    The best-known market for trading is the stock market - though the markets for bonds, currencies and coffee are larger. Since markets essentially consist of buyers and sellers wagering on a future possibility (never mind the discounted cash flow of the high-minded purists!), theoretically there can be markets for anything, for instance, a market for speculating on whether Brazil will win the...

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  • Losing Lustre

    When gold prices crossed $600 we had asked whether gold was a great investment option. Gold bulls were sanguine that it would cross the old high of $850, made sometime in early 80s. We were not so sure. After our analysis, gold surged past $700 in a month. But after touching $730, a 26-year high, the yellow metal started softening until on June 13, it posted its steepest one-day decline in 23...

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