'Bringing the axe down on Axis Bank': Spark Capital's way

Is Axis Bank being made the target of a massive bear hammering?

Over the years, Axis Bank has earned wide admiration for performance, service quality and its governance standards. But for Spark Capital, a Chennai-based brokerage firm, this is just a lot of hot air. A recent newsletter released by the firm is an unusually vicious indictment of the bank's operations. Using the ruse of a chance encounter in a temple in southern India, Spark Capital deals one sledgehammer blow after another to the bank, ending with its own 'sell' recommendation. This is fairly extraordinary, because brokerage firms rarely rip apart even the most badly managed companies, far less one that has made waves for its performance and governance standards.

Spark's report is in the form of a chatty description or an encounter with an "accomplished internal auditor of banks" in a "crisp white dhoti", who is quoted "near verbatim".  The source is strangely described as a Marauder of Banks (MOB).

Here is a sample of MOB's alleged insights for Spark's team after declaring he has an "axe" against Axis. “A Bank is known by the assets it lays out—a clear signal to its risk-reward approach and operational prudence. (Are) you chaps aware of the Rs10 billion plus exposures that AXIS has?” Without waiting for us to respond, MOB went on, rubbing his hands with glee, “Lavasa, Aban, Suzlon, GMR, to name a few… see what I am saying? Nothing wrong with the names per se, but (I) am circumspect about the industry exposure-risk-reward-tenor equation.”

Of course, it does not hit Spark that one would have to be a bit loony if something that is "nothing wrong" but only inspires circumspection leads one to rub “hands with glee".

MOB goes on to tell them, "What do you make of AXIS lending to Megasoft, Omaxe with no clear strategy to take-outs?” At this stage, the Spark people claim to be at the feet of the 'guru' lapping up his 'gyaan'—or rather a hit job at the temple. So here is more. “AXIS must thank their Chairman’s directorship at Subhiksha—for conflict reasons, they cut their about Rs200 crore exposure to Subhiksha in time—else they would have been in a mess with that account alone! Banks are supposed to do banking, i.e., raising monies from depositors and lending to corporate and retail borrowers after properly assessing and pricing risk.”

The rant continues: “Be very wary of bankers like AXIS who rush into the aggressive end of high-risk banking, i.e. overseas, cash-guzzling businesses like insurance and AMCs, acquisition financing and through overseas vehicles.”

There’s more: “Did you realize AXIS has among the worst ALM (Asset Liability Match) mismatch possible—21% on the < 1 year tenor and 22% on the < 3 year tenor? Am sure you understand the implications of this aggressive yield-curve play in a rising-interest rate scenario? And here’s the other thing—26% of his advances are directed at corporate and SME names with ratings of BBB or below. AXIS will have more stressed-asset worries than the market will be happy handling, guys!” (Spark adds that when a foreign bank exited 15 accounts from the South on risk concerns, they were quickly substituted by Axis). "AXIS has an abnormal about 60% of his Net Worth coming out of share premium. I typically feel more comfortable with business conduct being reflected as retained earnings building out Net Worth!”

On provisioning, MOB allegedly says, “Transparency in provisioning should bother investors more than the provisioning itself! Will you not rather know client-wise exposures than speculate on the likelihood? Do you think AXIS is transparent? Do you know Aban has its loans restructured at Singapore? Any idea how AXIS has provided for the moratorium and tenor-extension? Give me a break!”

“While you and your investors get down to some serious analysis, also ask questions on their Forex-derivative sales and positions there, that could go sour for AXIS. How do the listed markets tolerate a QIP-raise where proceeds are pushed to buying corporate offices? Does anybody realize that between April and December 2009, the loan book at AXIS grew by a paltry 4.5%? That’s lower than most peers—banks are to push monies into creating loan-books, I say! AXIS has a Rs200 Cr equity position in Lavasa, right? God!”

The hit job doesn't stop at the Bank's lending and performance. Sample this aside: "AXIS, AXIS…was that not what the Imperial Japan-Mussolini-Hitler combine (was) called? Whoever gave UTI Bank this name thought tongue-in-cheek.{break}

“AXIS is where ICICI was a few years ago, with their asset woes being the most poorly kept secret and their aggression with high-risk assets showing up negatively. It has taken ICICI two years of Vratham (religious fasting, for the uninitiated) on asset-growth and now their books are back to order… I like the changes I see. Bought some ICICI stock for myself too!”

On the Axis QIP placement: “Call it the investor curse. When you lend to somebody, you pray for his good health till he returns the money, right? The investors have to pray that AXIS’ results are good for the next three quarters till they get off, the management has to play along with meeting expectations and both have to look away and believe everything’s OK with the business. Sadly, the truth could be so different and difficult to digest! Sure you guys price these risks in?”

The tirade ends with Spark Capital chiming in: "We opined we will be happy buying AXIS at Rs 800, a good 25% below CMP and a nice entry price for a long-term play, perhaps… But SELL AXIS today!” It then quotes its own analyst as saying, "If the QIP fund-raise was treated as cash, the stock trades at 3.3x ABV, on par with HDFC Bank and at the highest end of its P/ABV band! SELL AXIS is his recommendation too."

And if you still didn't get the real message of Spark Capital, here is the closing: "Before we sign off, here is the disclaimer—most of the contents in this mail are views and observations expressed by MOB. It is coincidental that we share his concerns about AXIS and are recommending a SELL at these prices!"

A nice touch, which blames the nastiest bit on some unknown, faceless, probably non-existent person whose credibility is sought to be established by Spark's alleged background check on this man with a claimed experience of 35 years. If the circulation of the letter to a bunch of foreign institutional heavyweights does trigger a 25% price correction, it may provide a big buying opportunity for a few clever people. But even if one or two FIIs are induced to panic, there could be a nice large block of shares available on the market for someone to snap up.

On asking Spark Capital about the letter, its executive director for investment banking K Ramakrishnan wrote: "The mail was sent to a specified closed user group—our institutional investor clients and prospects, for their reference. As a corporate policy we respond and clarify to that user group only. Hence, we regret to inform you that we have no further comments or clarifications to offer on this subject.”

When asked, Shikha Sharma, managing director and chief executive of Axis Bank said that a senior executive took up the issue with Spark Capital, which had apologised, but said that it would stand by its research report. She also said the bank cannot discuss individual cases because of confidentiality issues, but plans to write to the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) about the report.

Interestingly, the charges mainly pertain to the tenure of Dr PJ Nayak, who was recently awarded "Banker of the Year" by Business Standard. Axis Bank sources from those days said: "The letter mentions four exposures: Lavasa, Aban, Suzlon and GMR are mentioned. The Bank had a pretty strong focus on infrastructure, choosing projects where an execution track record had been demonstrated. Thus, the Lavasa risk appeared worth taking partly because Hindustan Construction's record over the years was good, or GMR because of the tight execution of Hyderabad airport. Detailed due diligence followed. Of course, if one believes that infrastructure is a risky asset class or if one has strong views about these companies, then the critique gains credibility."

On the other exposures our source says, "By hindsight, some exposures of banks can always be critiqued, but if credit processes are strong, overall portfolio quality does improve, as I think Axis demonstrated." On Subhiksha, we are told that Dr Nayak was never on the Subhiksha board (in fact Rama Bijapurkar, who is on the Axis Bank board was an independent director on Subhiksha Trading Servcies). “Axis managed to ‘successfully’ get out of the exposure after it saw an RBI report sent to bankers, which cast doubt on some of the company's banking transactions. And getting out was not easy, it required great perseverance on our part.”

Our sources are "puzzled about the bit on the asset-liability mismatch being poor" but do not want to refute it without access to numbers Spark was referring to. On the share premium constituting a large part of the net worth, our sources say, "It is surely an indication of the credibility of the Bank. Would it also not be true of HDFC Bank?"

Will Spark Capital's ploy of axing Axis through a possibly fictitious character become the template of negative reports in the future?

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    1 decade ago

    Be careful while investing in Axis Bank check out what is happening in the leading private sector bank.



    Sanjay Prabhu – Pune
    President - Private Bank Employees & Investors Protection Forum
    Ex Employee & Share Holder of Axis Bank
    [email protected] 95940 88588

    amar wadhwa

    1 decade ago

    not worth comments

    Rakesh Samar

    1 decade ago

    One should see the Axis Bank's Home loan offer and the agreement that the clients have to sign to take the loan. It's ludicrous. After having some 25 conditions, one condition says and I quote verbatim " AXIS Bank is entitled to add to, change or modify all or any of the above aforesaid terms and conditions"

    CAN YOU BELIEVE THIS? Is Shikha Sharma listening? I am asking for a refund of RS 5500 paid to them as loan processing fees as I declined to accept this condition and no one is now listening. Suggestions welcome.

    Samir Pradhan

    1 decade ago

    Whatever the underlining politics between Spark Capital and Axis bank the bank is no saint. It is regularly cheating the customers not following the RBI guidelines meant forvthe customer's protection and convenience. These inditions are enough to gauge the credibility of a instituation. THIS BANK IS FRAUD !!!


    1 decade ago

    or , rather, what is SEBI doing? It is an attempt to manipulate the market

    Easwaran .T.V.

    1 decade ago

    what is RBI doing?


    1 decade ago

    I think this is just a publicity gimmick for a small timer !!


    1 decade ago

    Is it a local 'Indian' version of subprime? or another Satyam in
    making? Those who are supposed to must be keeping an eye, of course open.


    1 decade ago

    If Spark's assessment is true, then why get in at 800? the stock seems destined to fall much further. this surely looks like a malicious opening for a bear attack. SEBI should be notified by AXIS immediately.


    1 decade ago



    1 decade ago

    Hard to digest

    Motilal Oswal’s fund offer asks investors to take a blind bet

    The draft document of offer for the new ETF by Motilal Oswal AMC uses a proprietary index. But it does not explain the weightage assigned to the stocks of the underlying index or how the index would have performed in the past

    Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company (MOAMC) has decided to take the road less travelled and launch an exchange-traded fund (ETF) as its first fund offering. Being an ETF, it has a lot going for it. We consider indexing as the preferred route to investing in mutual funds, since it eliminates a fund manager’s failed effort at stock picking—and finally underperforming the underlying index. Also, it is the first equity ETF offer after a long time. However, poor quality of disclosures in the draft offer document of Motilal Oswal AMC will surely put off investors.

    There is a lot of ambiguity regarding the index underlying the Fund i.e., its benchmark index. The draft offer document filed with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) is almost secretive about this aspect. Motilal Oswal AMC has tweaked the S&P CNX Nifty to arrive at a ‘fundamentally enhanced’ index called MOSt 50 index. Its constituents will be the same as that of the constituents of the S&P CNX Nifty. However, the draft offer document has failed to provide any information regarding the weightages assigned to each constituent of the index since it will be different from the Nifty. It also has no word on how the index would have done in the past.

    The only fact the draft mentions is that the scheme would invest in the securities comprising the underlying index in the same proportion as the securities have in the index. As such, the benchmark itself is the criteria for selection of stocks. The fund, being a passively managed one, would not select securities in which it wants to invest, but would be guided by the underlying index.

    Investors have been kept in the dark about the actual methodology to be followed by this adapted index. The document states, “The MOSt 50 Index i.e. the Underlying Index is designed by AMC which owns the intellectual property of the methodology of the Index. The weightages assigned to the constituents of the Underlying Index are as per the methodology formulated by the AMC which may consequently affect the returns of the Scheme.”

    Moneylife’s email to the company seeking clarification on this matter went unanswered till the time of writing this story. The fund company should explain how the MOSt index has been computed and also how this index would have performed on a volatility-adjusted basis vis-à-vis the Nifty over different market cycles.

    If there is no clarity about the index and its historical performance, how would investors know how the Fund is going to go about investing its money? In essence, the document is asking investors to blindly place their faith in the process of the Fund. This document is readily available for public viewing at the SEBI site. If SEBI clears the draft offer as it is, it would mean that the final offer document will carry with it all the ambiguities mentioned above.

    Normally, the fund offer prospectus is expected to clearly define the characteristics of the fund. The AMC’s unwillingness to share the workings of the underlying index with the public should raise some eyebrows.

    SEBI, as the market regulator, should insist that the AMC disclose the relevant information in full; otherwise, it should not clear the draft offer document. However, considering its past indifference to shady prospectuses, it is unlikely that SEBI will crack its whip.

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    R Balakrishnan

    1 decade ago

    What else can one expect when a broker hits the customer with a fund offering? He must have exhausted his PMS client base with returns lagging and some promise of fancy footwork in the new offering will help to make a nice power point presentation.
    End of the day, one more scheme...
    As a first offering, it makes sense. You do not require a fund manager or a CIO. The boss's driver can run this scheme...


    1 decade ago

    Have you noticed the the bid-ask spread in Nifty BEES before recommending it?


    1 decade ago

    why take trouble of reading, evaluating prospectus n then investing in a MF which will do what ordinary investor does. Lose some, win some. Instead
    just buy/sale Nifty bees. U do not have to even read any Annual Report n try to find out what is between/behind the line or hidden in between. It reflects the whole Market -Borkar PS wonderful thing is u do not have to sit before the TV n hear/read YAP YAP. Get the freedom

    Market to move sideways

    Uproar in Parliament over the Women’s Reservation Bill pulled the highly volatile Indian markets downwards

    Indian markets remained highly volatile following an uproar over the Women’s Reservation Bill in Parliament. At the end of the day, the Sensex declined 50 points from the previous day’s close to 17,053 while the Nifty declined 23 points to close at 5,102. From here on, we expect the market to move sideways.

    At the end of the day, Morarjee Textiles zoomed 20%. The board of the company is considering the merger of its subsidiary Integra Apparels and Textiles Ltd with the company.

    Wipro remained flat after the company secured an order from Financial Intelligence Unit, a unit of the ministry of finance, to develop an information technology network to track all irregular financial transactions.

    Kale Consultants jumped 8% after the company secured an order for one of its airline software products for an undisclosed sum.

    Nissan Copper fell 1% after Danial Investment, a promoter group company, pledged seven lakh shares representing 4.81% stake of the firm.

    Man Industries (India) surged by 4% after the company secured an order worth Rs950 core from Kuwait for supply of 1,70,000 tonnes of large diameter pipes in both LSAW as well as HSAW segments.

    Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd has taken delivery of a new Aframax Tanker, ‘Ratna Shalini’ (DWT 105,000MT), from Hyundai Heavy Industries Co, South Korea. The stock remained flat.

    ABB Ltd has won orders worth $22 million from Haryana Vidyut Prasaran Nigam Ltd to provide four turnkey substations for the regional grid. However, the stock was down 1%.

    Patel Engineering has received approval from the government for coal linkage for its thermal projects, to be implemented by its wholly-owned subsidiaries.
    Coal deliveries are expected in 24 months from now. The stock remained flat.

    During the day, minister of state for finance Namo Narain Meena said that the government will continue with economic reforms to strengthen the economy. Vice president Hamid Ansari suspended seven MPs for disrupting proceedings in the Rajya Sabha over the Women's Reservation Bill. The seven members belong to the Samajwadi Party, Rashtriya Janata Dal and LJP.

    RBI governor D Subbarao said that inflation should moderate in the coming months. He said that the central bank will ensure that interest rate levels do not have a negative impact on the competitiveness of the economy. He added that should India need to manage inflationary expectations, the central bank could turn to its traditional mix of policy tools including use of both liquidity and cash reserve requirements. Mr Subbarao said that the government’s plans to reduce the fiscal deficit this year and in 2011 would help to manage inflationary expectations and facilitate demand for private credit. The government’s borrowing programme is likely to proceed smoothly over the next financial year, he said. India has set its gross market borrowing target for 2010-11 at a record Rs4.57 lakh crore, up by 1.3% from the previous year, a move that has pushed bond prices lower as investors have anticipated a flood of fresh debt supply. When asked if he anticipated a sharp rise in levels of yields in 10-year government bonds, Mr Subbarao said that yields had risen slightly this year but would be managed over the coming 12 months.

    During the day, Asia’s key benchmark indices in Singapore, Hong Kong, South Korea, Taiwan, China, and Indonesia were up by between 0.05%- 0.52%. However, Japan’s index ended 0.17% lower.

    On Monday, 8 March 2010, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 12 points while the S&P 500 remained flat. However, the Nasdaq Composite Index was up 5 points.

    As per media reports, the Portugal government launched its own budget cuts to shore up its public finances. The plan includes slashing the budget shortfall to 2.8% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2013 from 9.3% of GDP last year.

    In premarket trading, the Dow was trading 38 points lower.


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