ECONOMY & NATION
Global economy
For once, some practical advice on investing in frontier markets
| 6/5/2013 @ 5:51pm
Bubbles happen all the time in frontier markets. The index in Ghana is up 50% in four months. Assuming you wanted to take the risk, what are the safest investment vehicles and do their returns really represent the mouth-watering headline numbers? More
Can China experience a meltdown?
| 29/4/2013 @ 11:43am
As China slows, the loan defaults will increase as will unhappy customers. In an era of social media, it will be more difficult for the government to prevent people from removing their money from the system More
Nomura's China Stress Index recorded highest level in Q1
| 25/4/2013 @ 3:31pm
Nomura felt the risks in China were sufficiently non-trivial to assign a one-in-three likelihood of a “hard landing” commencing before the end of 2014 More
| 15/4/2013 @ 2:31pm
While much of the recent economic gains have been attributed to the actions of the Federal Reserve, the Fed could be harming as much as it is helping. The question will be what happens when the free money disappears? At that time we will finally know the true state of the US economy and it is not promising More
Insolvency in Cyprus and China and reassessment of risk
| 1/4/2013 @ 2:04pm
Governments are happy to shift bad debts onto taxpayers, or even better to some other country’s taxpayers. Investors have felt safe that there is no down side, no risk. But two insolvencies in recent weeks may change these expectations and changed expectations are contagious More
China drives steel production growth in February
| 29/3/2013 @ 10:27am
As per World Steel Dynamics, inventory restocking should continue in China on a broader level as 2012 saw a large destocking of inventory which is still getting replenished More
Governor Stein’s Doubts - II: Risks of quantitative easing
| 20/3/2013 @ 2:38pm
In the first part of this two-part article we discussed overheating in credit markets. We now take a look at were the problems exist. Like the Junk Bond ETFs the duration mismatch is not an issue. But if investors began to question the safety of WMPs and stopped buying them, then the whole scheme might explode More
Governor Stein’s Doubts - I: Overheating in credit markets
| 18/3/2013 @ 12:15pm
Governor Stein pointed out that a lengthy period of low interest rates confirms an assumption of little risk. This encourages agents to increase financial leverage beyond what might be considered normal or even sane. Borrowers must work within the income budget and not borrow simply because it is easy to service the loan More
Turning Japanese: Avoiding insolvency
| 11/3/2013 @ 11:05am
Although the government’s efforts have not been rewarded with either inflation or a healthy economy, it has resulted in the highest sovereign debt in the world at a whopping 200% of GDP. The only reason why Japan is immune from bond vigilantes is because most of the debt is held by locals at home More
Sequestration: What it really means
| 4/3/2013 @ 2:27pm
The real problem with the sequestration for both politicians and investors is that the cuts will be phased in over time without an immediate impact. No one is really sure what its effect will be. It is doubtful that either party will feel the need to compromise until there is a consequence either from the markets or from the voters More
Anatomy of a credit crisis: US Vs China
| 18/2/2013 @ 3:18pm
China has a powerful elite class, which like the financiers, are a law unto themselves. For the privileged it can mean vast fortunes. It is one of the few places that can give Wall Street some lessons on greed More
Sovereign debt crisis and tax collections
| 12/2/2013 @ 4:48pm
A poor system of taxation denies the citizens the services they have a right to expect from their government. But the crisis, both past and potential, have illustrated that the failure to collect taxes can have much broader effects on markets far from home More
Hedge funds lose the edge, beaten by the US market index again and again
| 30/1/2013 @ 5:59pm
The poor performance of the hedge funds industry last year as well as in the last 10 years has prompted many to question their very existence. Are they really worth it? More
World Bank expects India to inch closer to China in growth rate
| 16/1/2013 @ 12:31pm
World Bank Chief Economist Kaushik Basu says that by 2015, the growth rate of China would be 7.9% and that of India 7% More
American municipal bonds: How stressed are they?
| 14/1/2013 @ 3:33pm
While the low interest rates have allowed many financially stressed municipalities to save money for new projects, they have created their own stresses in other ways. Many of them made generous retirement promises to civil servants, but what they never provided for were the actual funds to pay for the plans More
Bank of America to pay $11.6 billion to settle Fannie Mae deal
| 8/1/2013 @ 10:39am
Under the agreements, Bank of America would pay $3.55 billion in cash to Fannie Mae and repurchase for $6.75 billion residential mortgage loans it had sold to the government-controlled company More
Superstorm Sandy tops 2012 insurance claims
| 4/1/2013 @ 12:11pm
According to Munich Re total economic costs in 2012 from natural disasters worldwide including uninsured losses amounted to $160 billion, compared with the previous year's $400 billion More
'UBS tampered with Swiss franc rates since 2001'
| 24/12/2012 @ 11:13am
Quoting findings in a US justice department probe, Le Matin, the Swiss newspaper said there was evidence that UBS traders had manipulated the rates from 2001 More
India can initiate action against dumping of goods by China
| 19/12/2012 @ 5:17pm
As a signatory of the WTO, India can resort to anti-dumping actions, anti-subsidies and countervailing measures and emergency protection from imports More
UBS agrees to pay $1.5 billion for manipulating LIBOR
| 19/12/2012 @ 4:46pm
UBS, the biggest in Switzerland, will pay more three times the amount of the settlement reached in June with Britain's Barclays, another one of the more than dozen banks investigated for trying to rig global interest rates More
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