Nifty is poised to break down. A close above 5,880 may change the trend
The opening of the session were the only few minutes when the market traded in the positive. It went below yesterday’s close immediately and was in the negative for the entire session. The Sensex opened at 19,952, while the Nifty opened at 5,906. The indices soon hit the day’s high of 19,982 and 5,909. After moving into the negative zone, each effort of recovering failed, and ultimately at the end of the session, the Sensex hit a low of 19,674 and closed at 19,727 (down 167 points or 0.84%), while the Nifty hit a low of 5,819 and closed at 5,833 (down 49 points or 0.83%).The National Stock Exchange (NSE) recorded a lower volume of 54.74 crore shares.
Except for FMCG (up 0.22%); Nifty Junior (up 0.18%); IT (up 0.11%) and Pharma (up 0.02%) all the other indices on the NSE ended in the negative. The top five losers were Bank Nifty (1.97%); Finance (1.70%); Infra (1.63%); PSU Bank (1.59%) and Metal (1.58%).
Of the 50 stocks on the Nifty, 12 ended in the green. The top five gainers were BPCL (6.03%); H C L Technologies (2.40%); Sun Pharma (1.62%); Coal India (1.20%) and Hero MotoCorp (1.05%). The top five losers were BHEL (5.61%); Jaiprakash Associates (5.59%); Tata Steel (4.52%); DLF (2.99%) and Kotak Mahindra Bank (2.93%).
The positive news of US jobless claims unexpectedly falling was marred by the comments of the RBI governor. Raghuram Rajan on Thursday said that there is a danger of bubbles forming around the globe, due to easy money policy implemented to steer the world back into a more robust growth path. We seem to be in a situation where we are doomed to inflate bubbles elsewhere, Rajan said, adding he was not sure how effective a tool, low interest rates would be. He also said that inflation is not due just to higher food prices. Turning to cross-border capital flows, Rajan said that especially emerging markets were often the losers as flows turned around very quickly.
Ratings agency Fitch said non-performing loans at Indian banks are foreseen to peak as late as March 2016, compared with its earlier estimate of the middle of current fiscal year that started in April.
Barclays has lowered India's FY14 GDP forecast for the current fiscal to 4.7% (from 5.3% projected earlier), saying the growth and fiscal health of the country are likely to remain under pressure, with 2014 election dynamics adding to uncertainties.
Oil Minister M Veerappa Moily today hinted at a reduction in price of petrol in next few days, the first cut in rates in over five months. Petrol price was last cut on May 1 by Rs3 per litre, the steepest reduction in rates in over five years.
India's current account deficit, which hit a record high in the last fiscal year, is expected to rise in the June quarter from the previous three-month period before easing due to sharp fall in gold imports and improving exports. The data will be released on Monday.
US indices rose on Thursday. A Labour Department report showed the number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, indicating further progress in the labor market. First-time claims for unemployment benefits in the US dropped by 5,000 to 305,000 last week. The economy expanded at faster pace in the second quarter from the previous three months, with gross domestic product rising at a 2.5% annualized rate, the Commerce Department said.
Jeffrey Lacker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, said on Thursday that the US central bank will face risks as it pursues its exit strategy from recent unconventional policies. Lacker is a non-voting member of the Fed's policy-making committee. Participating on a panel in Germany, Fed Gov. Jeremy Stein, a voting member, said the US central bank should develop a methodical approach to tapering by linking reduced asset purchases to the unemployment rate. In Houghton, Mich., Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota, who votes next year, said the central bank should do "whatever it takes" to bolster the labour market.
Investors are also weighing whether lawmakers can avoid a looming government shutdown. House Speaker John Boehner, an Ohio Republican said he doesn't expect his chamber to pass a stopgap spending bill expected from the Senate. He also said he does not expect a government shutdown to happen.
Except for Nikkei 225 (down 0.26%) all the other Asian indices ended in the positive. Taiwan Weighted, top gainer, up 0.56%.
Japan's inflation accelerated to the fastest pace since 2008 in August on higher energy costs, underscoring pressure on Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to drive wage increases as he seeks to end 15 years of deflation. Consumer prices excluding fresh food increased 0.8% from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said.
European indices were trading in the negative and the US Futures were trading lower.
By making such a statement, Rahul Gandhi has made public the differences between the UPA government and Congress
Embarrassing the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government, Rahul Gandhi has said the Ordinance on convicted lawmakers should be torn away.
Making a surprise entry into a press conference of Ajan Maken at Press Club in Delhi, the Congress vice president said, "It's complete nonsense. It should be torn up and thrown away."
Interestingly, Congress chief spokesperson Maken had defended the Ordinance minutes before Rahul Gandhi opposed it.
Gandhi said the government's argument is that it needs to do this for political considerations. "It's time to stop this. We cannot continue to make compromises," he said and added: "I personally feel that what the Government is doing is wrong."
The move is definitely an embarrassment to the Government, which was fiercely defending the Ordinance till the other day. The President himself was unhappy with the Ordinance.
Several Congress leaders, including Digvijay Singh, had opposed the Ordinance. By making such a statement, Rahul Gandhi made public the differences between the government and the Party.
Meanwhile, the Supreme Court has made it clear that it may hear the plea against the proposed Ordinance to protect convicted lawmakers from disqualification only after the law gets the nod from the President.
In response to the submission that the Presidential nod to the ordinance was merely a formality, a bench of Justices AK Patnaik and JS Kehar said, “Suppose the Ordinance is passed, we can still pass the stay order. You mention the matter on Monday, if it is cleared.”
In yet another example of burdening bank customers, RBI has asked banks to deploy infrastructure at own cost for using UIDAI’s Aadhaar biometric authentication for KYC
Although the Supreme Court has ruled that Aadhaar number from Unique Identification Authority of India (UIDAI) is not necessary for essential services, several government agencies are enforcing it on helpless citizens. Going a step further the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is asking banks to bear the cost for deploying electronic-know your customer (e-KYC) launched by UIDAI.
In a circular issued on 2 September 2013, the central bank has asked banks to accept on-line Aadhaar authentication as an ‘Officially Valid Document’ under Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA), 2002.
"In this connection, it is advised that while using e-KYC service of UIDAI, the individual user has to authorize the UIDAI, by explicit consent, to release her or his identity/address through biometric authentication to the bank branches/business correspondents (BCs). The UIDAI then transfers the data of the individual comprising name, age, gender, and photograph of the individual, electronically to the bank/BCs, which may be accepted as valid process for KYC verification," the notification says.
RBI has also 'directed' banks to have proper infrastructure in place to enable biometric authentication for e-KYC.
Here is the operational procedure that banks are required to follow for e-KYC exercise...
The e-KYC service of the UIDAI is to be leveraged by banks through a secured network. Any bank willing to use the UIDAI e-KYC service is required to sign an agreement with the UIDAI. The process flow to be followed is as follows:
1. Sign KYC User Agency (KUA) agreement with UIDAI to enable the bank to specifically access e-KYC service.
2. Banks to deploy hardware and software for deployment of e-KYC service across various delivery channels. These should be Standardisation Testing and Quality Certification (STQC) Institute, Department of Electronics & Information Technology, Government of India certified biometric scanners at bank branches/ micro ATMs/ BC points as per UIDAI standards. The current list of certified biometric scanners is given in the link below:
3. Develop a software application to enable use of e-KYC across various Customer Service Points (CSP) (including bank branch, BCs etc.) as per UIDAI defined Application Programming Interface (API) protocols. For this purpose banks will have to develop their own software under the broad guidelines of UIDAI. Therefore, the software may differ from bank to bank.
4. Define a procedure for obtaining customer authorization to UIDAI for sharing e-KYC data with the bank. This authorization can be in physical (by way of a written explicit consent authorising UIDAI to share his/her Aadhaar data with the bank/BC for the purpose of opening bank account) /electronic form as defined by UIDAI from time to time.
5. Sample process flow would be as follows:
i The customer can open bank account subject to satisfying other account opening