Thursday Market Report: A short rally possible

Sensex may target 19,400 and Nifty 5,800 in the next few days

The market opened on a subdued note on negative cues from global markets. Offloading by institutional investors pulled down the sectoral indices in early trade. The indices were range-bound, ahead of the announcement of the weekly food inflation numbers, which eased from the previous week. Buying was seen on the IT, healthcare and consumer durables counters, pushing the sectors higher.

The market touched the day's low a little after noon and soon regained momentum, lifting the indices into the green. Choppy trade continued throughout the session and the benchmarks closed with modest gains.

The fall which began from 4 January 2011 seems to be losing strength. Today the Sensex rose 68 points to close at 19,047 while the Nifty ended 21 points up at 5,712. The market is now beginning to move in a non-directional way. Two down days will be followed by an up day and vice-versa.

However, it is still too early to say that the market is out of the woods. We will know that possibly tomorrow when it will be 15 trading days since 4th January. It could well be that we see the Sensex touching 19,400 and Nifty 5,800, at least. If, however, the recent support of 5,624 on the Nifty is decisively broken, we will see another bout of selling.

Will the market end the week in the negative? Last week, the Sensex ended in the negative for the second consecutive week. Since 1990, there have been 229 such occasions (including the fortnight ended 14 January 2011). Of the previous 228 occasions, the market has ended positive in the third week on 113 occasions, and on 115 times it has remained negative. If the market ends in the positive, the recent fall would have been arrested. Even though the market was in the green in the end, the advance-decline on the NSE was 533:706, which is not very encouraging.

The gainers outnumbered the losers today. The Sensex had 17 advancing stocks against 13 declining stocks while 32 stocks on the Nifty closed positive and 18 closed in the red. The broader indices underperformed the Sensex today. The BSE Mid-cap index rose 0.14%, while the BSE Small-cap index added 0.04%.

BSE Bankex (up 1.66%), BSE IT (up 1.13%) and BSE TECk (up 0.76%) were the top sectoral gainers while BSE Oil & Gas (down 1.50%), BSE FMCG (down 1.19%) and BSE Realty (down 0.24%) ended at the bottom of the list.

ICICI Bank (up 2.67%), Jindal Steel (up 2.33%) and HDFC Bank (up 1.94%) were the top Sensex gainers. The laggards were led by ITC (down 2.16%), ONGC (down 2.02%) and Bajaj Auto (down 1.75%).

Declining for the second week in a row, food inflation fell to 15.52% for the week ended 8th January, though vegetable prices, especially those of onions, continued to remain high. The decline in food inflation is mainly due to falling prices of pulses, wheat and potato, according to official data released today.

Having touched 18.32% for the week ended 25th December last year, food inflation had declined to 16.91% on 1st January.

Markets in Asia closed lower as Chinese economic data renewed concerns about Beijing initiating further policy-tightening moves. Rising prices are becoming a big problem for policymakers in emerging markets, as central banks in the region are doing their best to rein in inflation.

The Shanghai Composite plunged 2.89%; the Hang Seng was down 1.70%; the Jakarta Composite tanked 1.80%; the Nikkei 225 tumbled 1.13%, the Straits Times declined 1.13%, the Seoul Composite and the Taiwan Weighted fell 0.43% each.

Back home, foreign institutional investors were net sellers of stocks worth Rs270.38 crore on Wednesday, while domestic institutional investors were net buyers of equities worth Rs488.53 crore.


Kotak Mahindra Bank Q3 profit rises 15.74% to Rs383.56

Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd has reported a consolidated net profit of Rs383.56 crore for the December 2010 quarter compared to Rs331.39 crore for the corresponding quarter last fiscal, growth of 15.74%.

Total income has increased 11.63% from Rs2,390.48 crore for the December 2009 quarter to Rs2,668.47 crore for the December 2010 quarter.

On standalone basis, the Bank has posted a net profit of Rs187.87 crore for the December 2010 quarter compared to Rs142.38 crore for the same quarter last fiscal, rise of 31.95%. Total income has increased 34.26% from Rs968.83 crore for the December 2009 quarter to Rs1,300.74 crore for the December 2010 quarter.

On Thursday, Kotak Mahindra Bank ended 1.51% up at Rs419.30 on the Bombay Stock Exchange, while the benchmark Sensex gained 0.36% to 19,046.54 points.


TVS Motor Q3 net up 137% at Rs55 crore

Chennai-based TVS Motor Company Ltd said its December 2010 quarter net profit rose 137% to Rs55.75 crore from Rs23.54 crore in the year-ago period.

Sales increased 51% to Rs1,647 crore in Q3 FY11 compared with the same period last year.

Total two-wheeler sales of the company jumped 39% in Q3 to 5.18 lakh units compared with 3.72 lakh units in the same quarter last year, the company said.
Motorcycle sales rose 40% to 2.11 lakh units in Q3 FY11 from 1.51 lakh units in the year-ago quarter, it added.

On Thursday, TVS Motor ended 0.98% up at Rs62 on the Bombay Stock Exchange, while the benchmark Sensex gained 0.36% to 19,046.54 points.


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