Share prices will trade in a range: Tuesday Closing Report

Nifty may head up to 5,650 if it closes well above 5,560 tomorrow

Riding on global optimism and adding to the gains of the last few days, the domestic market opened higher this morning. The Nifty opened 22 points higher at 5,549 and the Sensex gained 82 points at 18,494. The indices soon raced to their intra-day highs with the Nifty going up to 5,558 and the Sensex climbing to 18,527. Healthcare, consumer durables, power and capital goods stocks supported early gains.

However, the market pared its gains and descended into negative terrain as investors lost no opportunity to take profits off the table after the recent gains. The market fell to the day's low in late-morning trade with the indices falling to 5,496 and 18,323, respectively. However, buying at select counters lifted the benchmarks into the green, after which range-bound movement continued. The market lost some strength thereafter, but settled with modest gains. The Nifty added 19 points to close at 5,545 and the Sensex gained 80 points to finish the session at 18,492.

Both the Nifty and the Sensex hit 15-day intra-day highs in the initial trading hour itself. As mentioned in our Monday closing report, we expected the Nifty to move sideways in the range of 5,450 and 5,650. The Nifty traded between 5,496 and 5,558 through the day. If the index closes above 5,560 tomorrow, the upmove will gain more strength to reach up to 5,650.

The advance-decline ratio on the National Stock Exchange was positive at 945:796.

The broader markets outperformed the Sensex as the BSE Mid-cap index gained 0.78% and the BSE Small-cap index rose 0.60%.

BSE Consumer Durables and BSE Healthcare (up 0.95% each), BSE Capital Goods (up 0.94%), BSE Auto (up 0.82%) and BSE Power (up 0.72%) were the top sectoral gainers. BSE Oil & Gas (down 0.44%), among the top gainers yesterday, ended as the top loser today. Other major losers were BSE Realty (down 0.33%) and BSE PSU (down 0.22%).

Hindalco Industries (up 4.15%), Bajaj Auto (up 2.87%), HDFC (up 2.18%), BHEL (up 1.82%) and Bharti Airtel (up 1.07%) were the major gainers on the Sensex. The laggards were led by DLF (down 2.21%), Jaiprakash Associates (down 1.56%), Jindal Steel (down 1.16%), Wipro (down 0.76%) and Hero Honda (down 0.31%).

The top Nifty gainers were Hindalco (up 3.96%), Bajaj Auto (up 3.01%), Dr Reddy's (up 2.42%), HDFC (up 2.13%) and BHEL (up 1.92%). The main Nifty losers were GAIL (down 2.60%), DLF (down 2.28%), ACC (down 2.17%), BPCL (down 2.10%) and Jaiprakash Associates (down 1.75%).

Markets in Asia settled mostly higher even as cautiousness prevailed ahead of the Greek vote of confidence. News that French banks have agreed on a plan to roll over holdings of maturing Greek debt boosted investor sentiment. Chinese refiners finished higher on speculation that the government will lower import duties for diesel and jet fuel next month.

The Shanghai Composite added 0.04%, the Hang Seng gained 0.09%, the Jakarta Composite advanced 0.44%, the KLSE Composite gained 0.48%, the Nikkei 225 surged 0.74% and the Straits Times was up 0.08%. On the other hand, the Seoul Composite declined 0.36% and the Taiwan Weighted fell 0.25%.

Back home, foreign institutional investors were net buyers of stocks worth Rs1,447.42 crore on Monday. On the other hand, domestic institutional investors were net sellers of equities worth Rs766.38 crore.

In the first indication of Cairn Energy Plc's willingness to accept the government's conditions for selling its Indian unit to Vedanta Resources, the Edinburgh-based firm on Monday agreed to lower the sale price by over Rs3,800 crore.

Cairn Energy will sell its 40% stake in Cairn India to Vedanta at Rs355 per share instead of Rs405 a share agreed in August last year. It will now get gross proceeds of Rs27,007 crore (about $6.02 billion) instead of the Rs30,811 crore ($6.84 billion) that it was expecting initially.

Cairn said the transaction will now take place in two tranches: Cairn Energy will sell 10% of its 62.2% stake in Cairn India by 11th July and another 30% upon receipt of government approval. The Cairn India stock price settled 0.58% lower, at Rs307.40 per share, on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).

Tata Motors today approached the Supreme Court, challenging the Calcutta High Court order refusing its plea to restrain the West Bengal government from distributing land to farmers in Singur. The automaker approached the apex court as the Calcutta High Court had on Monday refused to pass an interim stay order observing that the Tata Motors petition had no specific statement as to when the process of land distribution would start. The Tata Motors stock ended 0.61% higher at Rs983.25 on the BSE.



Alok Biyani

5 years ago

Sideways trading indicates a flattening and stabilization of the market. there are trends to watch out for but in my experience as a CSE kolkata broker this is a positive development... Profits and a bull run in the making....

Alok Biyani

5 years ago

this was long awaited.. dis is extremelty essential- now that v can trade in range.. i have been in dis business for a long time.. i even guide ppl regarding their investment in shares. Alok Biyani (kolkata)

Hollow and skewed stock market: After retail, now institutional broking is hit

While broking companies suffer, the two major exchanges and the regulator are making money hand over fist

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala-supported Alchemy Shares and Stock Brokers is closing down its institutional broking arm due to poor growth in the business. There are also reports that India Infoline (IIFL) is considering to demerge its institutional broking arm. Interestingly, IIFL had got into the institutional broking business with great fanfare in 2007. It poached Bharat Parajia, Nem Kumar, Aniruddha Dange and Vasudev Jaganath, who were members of the core investment team at CLSA (Credit Lyonnais Securities Asia) for a package never heard of in the industry.

The institutional broking segment of the broking business deals mainly with orders of large institutions such as foreign and domestic institutional investors. Why is the business doing badly despite the fact that fund inflows from foreign institutional investors totalled almost $30 billion in 2010?

Well, it is part of the story that we have been highlighting for some years now: The Indian market is hollow and skewed. We have documented that retail investors have deserted the stock market despite the long bull market-thanks to irritating rules, ever-changing policies, malpractices by some stockbrokers, and so on. Now, after the business from retail investors has dwindled, the business from institutional investors is also turning out to be unprofitable, especially for Indian firms.

The margin in the institutional broking business is lower than that in the retail business and expenses are very heavy. This is supposed to be made up by high trading volumes. Brokerage firms look for highly experienced staff that can pull in business from global firms. But when business is bleak the brokerage firms may not be able to justify the salaries paid.

Thanks to a hollow market, trading volumes have shrunk drastically which has put a lot of pressure on the profitability of the business. This had led some of them to cut costs. According to media reports, some top firms like Motilal Oswal Securities and Mangal Keshav have started reducing staff from their mid-level and junior levels.

There have been instances where brokers have moved from the institutional brokerage business into the retail business, or into selling non-equity products. But these moves have not been rewarding.

The problem of institutional brokers comes close on the heels of what retail investors have been facing. Retail investors have been treated shoddily by the stock market system comprising of broking firms and the market regulator. Retail investors are not desperate to come back to the securities markets any time soon. And brokers find it difficult to get back retail investors as rising costs and minimal commissions make it difficult for them to cover promotional expenses. Along with cost issues, there is heavy competition as well in this business, leading to a multitude of brokers and too few investors.

However, the irony in all this is that while investors have deserted the market and stock brokers are making losses, the coffers of regulators and other market infrastructure institutions are overflowing. In 2009-10, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) had made a profit of Rs613.77 crore on a turnover of Rs1,266.38 crore. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) made a profit of Rs212.94 crore on a turnover of Rs485.21crore. Another extremely profitable institution is the National Stock Depositories (NSDL), which made a profit of Rs73.47 crore on a turnover of Rs317.48 crore. The most prosperous in all this bleak scenario is the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) that raked in Rs100 crore in fines and penalties alone.

While everybody has contributed to this skewed situation, the man who was mainly responsible for the mess, CB Bhave, went out like a hero to the combined drumbeat of every single media organisation. Of course, history has a way of catching up with things and these days it is rather quick.

Mr Bhave's role in the initial public offer (IPO) scam of 2003-2006 will come up for discussion when SEBI reopens the probe into the multi-crore scam, following the intervention of the Supreme Court. The meeting will relook at a report prepared by a two-member committee, comprising then SEBI board members G Mohan Gopal and V Leeladhar, that was appointed by SEBI in 2008 to investigate into NSDL's role in the IPO scam. The committee found various lapses on the part of the depository (which was then headed by Mr Bhave), as also SEBI itself. But in an extraordinary move, the SEBI board declared the findings as 'null and void' on the ground that the committee had breached its mandate in making these charges.

SEBI was supposed to discuss this afresh at its board meeting on 30th June. But the meeting has been postponed, ostensibly because the SEBI chairman is travelling. The real reason could be that two of the SEBI members who had gone out of their way to defend Mr Bhave and put down the two-member committee, will be retiring soon. The board can decide things with a fresh and open mind. There are a lot of things SEBI needs to look at with a fresh and open mind about market development issues.




5 years ago

The article explains how people jumped into the brokerage business, paid very high salaries and bonuses, and are now facing low margins.

Then it suddenly turns around and calls CB Bhave the man mainly responsible for this mess!


Mr Bhave had problems, mainly the conflict of interest with his NSDL role. To avoid that, we need the head regulator to come from outside the market. You seemed much happier with the new SEBI head - but even he headed a mutual fund before he took the SEBI job.

I expected honest, clean reporting and advice from monelife when I joined you and also took out a magazine subscription. Not this yellow journalism.

The 'gold rush' scenario you described with broking happens often in growth businesses. It's a normal part of the hype cycle. Slowly, weaker players will leave, there'll be consolidation among brokerage houses, and a few strong broking businesses will emerge.

Happens faster in a 'commodity' business where every player is selling the exact same product or service with no differentiation. Look at the brokerages - they have just thrown money at the problem. Is any broking house in India focused on customer centric innovation to expand the market or create a strong niche for itself?

K B Patil

5 years ago

We do seem to have quite a few fans of Mr. Bhave. Okay, if Bhave did not gain personally from the demat scam, why didn't he permit a free and fair enquiry? Why did someone from SEBI complain to the PM? How transparent is SEBI when dealing with defaulters? Why is the PM gunning for the PM? Nobody is accusing him for being corrupt. The fact is that he has done nothing when all around him seem to be on a looting spree. The same can be said of Mr. Bhave.


5 years ago

you have repeatedly bashed Mr Bhave.
pls note that NSDL accepts documents from DP's who verify the papers. Also Mr Bhave or NSDL did not personally gain because of the IPO scam. The same was perprated by people who misused the norms.

Mr Bhave was strong enough to change the way distributors worked for MF in a time (2008-2010) where there was so much chaos internationally. it required guts for that. Do not go on bashing Mr Bhave .

One more thing, NSDL makes profit from demat transactions , TDS and other work. It is the DP's who charge very high for ttransactions. You should focus on that. Does any Bank charge amount based on the amount of the Cheque life DP's do ?


5 years ago

dont take side of brokers no one tell to give team astonashing pay package
bhave didnt tell that
let them suffer for their greed

Anil Kabra

5 years ago

While the general contents of this article seems ok, the objective behind this (of bashing Bhave) is not.

How on earth u can atribute lower volumes (retail or otherwise) to Bhave and his NSDL IPO case.

Reflects your biased thinking.
I hope sanity prevails

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