Nifty may test the level of 5,000 in this upmove
As expected, today there was a sharp reversal to the downtrend suffered by the market in the past two weeks. The Nifty gained 3%, the maximum since 28 October 2011, while the Sensex climbed 3.01%, its best performance since 29 August 2011. The gains on the Nifty may not be confined to one day, but may extend to the level of 5,000. The National Stock Exchange (NSE) saw a volume of 53.80 crore shares which is on the low. This means that while prices may head higher, it may not move in fits and starts.
After fluctuating between losses and gains the whole of last week, the market today opened higher tracking positive global sentiments. Reports over the weekend indicated that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is considering a 600 billion euro package for Italy through a European Central Bank (ECB) funding. Reacting to the report, markets in Asia, including India, opened higher this morning. The Nifty opened 59 points up at 4,769 and the Sensex resumed trade at 15,891, a gain of 196 points over its previous close.
The indices started on a northward journey supported by buying interest in capital goods, realty, metal and auto stocks. The market extended its gains in the post-noon session as institutional buying intensified, enabling the Nifty and the Sensex breach their psychological levels of 4,800 and 16,100, respectively. The benchmarks hit their intraday highs towards the end of trade with the Nifty touching 4,859 and the Sensex climbing to 16,186. The markets closed trade near those levels with the Nifty posting a gain of 141 points at 4,851 and the Sensex jumping 471 points to 16,167.
The advance-decline ratio on the NSE was a positive 1306:465.
While the broader indices also closed in the positive, they could not manage the Sensex’s performance today. The BSE Mid-cap index gained 1.50% and the BSE Small-cap index surged 1.72%.
The spirited market performance resulted in all sectoral indices closing in the green. BSE Metal (up 4.87%); BSE Oil & Gas (up 3.45%); BSE Bankex (up 3.43%); BSE PSU (up 3.06%) and BSE Realty (up 2.79%) were the top gainers.
The major gainers on the Sensex were Hindalco Industries (up 9.90%); Jaiprakash Associates (up 6.10%); Tata Motors (up 5.36%); Sun Pharma (up 5.28%) and HDFC (up 5.10%). Bajaj Auto (down 1.69%) and Hero MotoCorp (down 0.69%) were the only losers on the index.
The Nifty leaders were Hindalco Ind (up 9.87%); IDFC (up 6.76%); ACC (up 6.72%); JP Associates (up 6.43%) and Kotak Bank (up 6.3%). Bajaj Auto (down 1.36%) and Hero MotoCorp (down 0.06%) were also the lone losers on the Nifty.
The Asian pack closed higher on optimism after the IMF news on Italy. However, gains were pared after the IMF later said there were no such discussions. Meanwhile, an increase in retail sales in the US over the Thanksgiving weekend boosted the outlook for exporters in the region.
The Shanghai Composite added 0.12%; the Hang Seng surged 1.97%; the Jakarta Composite rose 0.27%; the Nikkei 225 gained 1.56%; Straits Times climbed 1.91%; the Seoul Composite jumped 2.19% and the Taiwan Weighted settled 1.68% higher. The KLSE Composite was closed for a public holiday.
Back home, foreign institutional investors were net sellers of equities totalling Rs805 crore on Friday. On the other hand, domestic institutional investors were net buyers of shares amounting to Rs1,036.55 crore.
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals’ US arm Glenmark Generics Inc has received tentative approval from the US health regulator to market its generic Montelukast Sodium tablets used for treating asthma and seasonal allergies. The approval is for Montelukast Sodium tablets in the strength of 10 mg, which is a generic version of Merck's Singulair tablets. Glenmark Pharma declined 2.14% to close at Rs310.50 on the NSE.
Engineering, procurement and construction company Punj Lloyd Group has bagged a Rs469 crore order from state-run explorer ONGC for laying a submarine pipeline in the Mumbai High oil and gas field in the Western Offshore. The project, worth Rs469 crore, is scheduled for commissioning in May, 2013. Punj Lloyd surged 6.51% to settle at Rs49.90 on the NSE.
Lanco Infratech-owned Griffin Coal’s threat to halt coal supply to the Bluewaters Power Station in Western Australia unless prices are revised upward seems to have worked, with sources close to the development indicating an agreement might be inked within a fortnight. The sources said there could a price revision in favour of Lanco with respect to the supply contract with Australian firm Griffin Energy’s Bluewaters Power Station, besides some upfront fee. Lanco jumped 6.72% to Rs12.70 on the NSE today.
A fortnight ago, the ED summoned Kotecha, a self-confessed admirer of Harshad Mehta, for enquiry under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act
Controversial stockbroker Nirmal Kotecha is now under the scanner of the Enforcement Directorate in connection with an investigation into money laundering. Mr Kotecha, who is currently barred from trading in the stock market by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) in connection with investigation into the forgery, price manipulation and insider trading in Pyramid Saimira Theatre Ltd (PSTL). Mr Kotecha was the co-founder of PSTL.
Documents available with Moneylife show that Mr Kotecha had been summoned by the ED under the Prevention of Money-Laundering Act. The summons was issued by Rajeshwar Singh, deputy director of the ED, based in Delhi who directed Mr Kotecha to be present before him on 14th November 2011.
Interestingly, the case number quoted in the summons issued to Mr Kotecha is identical to that quoted in another Enforcement case information report (ECIR) dated 9 March 2010 in connection with the 2G scam (Unified Access Service License). The ECIR lists offences under Sec 120-B of the IPC and 12(2)r/w 13 (1) (d) of the PC Act and is against certain “private persons and companies”, without naming them.
Moneylife is in possession and have reviewed both of these documents.
The ED letter dated 21 October 2011 stated that it is conducting an investigating under the section 50(2) and Section 50(3) of the Prevention of Money-Laundering Act, 2002 and it requires the attendance of Mr Kotecha for the same.
It has asked him to submit his original passport with a photocopy, details of the properties (both –moveable and immoveable), bank accounts held by him and his family in and outside India; details of the firms/companies in which he or members of his family are proprietors/ partner/ director in and outside India and details of the foreign visits he made since January 2006.
According to market circles, Mr Kotecha is associated with Mavi Investment Fund Ltd, a sub-account for a Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) – MM Warburg Bank (Scheweiz) AG. Mavi Investment, which is registered in a tax haven, was among the few FII sub-accounts that has been banned by SEBI in September 2011 from dealing in securities or instrument with Indian securities until further orders. According to Bloomberg data, this fund holds stakes in as many as 49 companies amounting to $350 million in some large cap companies including Mundra, Adani and JSW. Blogs tracking Nirmal Kotecha’s activities claim that Mavi Investment has pooled funds from many Indian entities as well as diamond merchants.
Although he is under a SEBI ban, Mr Kotecha is constantly rumoured to be a big player in the Indian capital market even today, especially in hugely manipulated Initial Public Offerings.
Interestingly, in July this year, well after he was barred from the capital markets, Business World magazine named Mr Kotecha as second in the list of India’s non-promoter billionaires – next only to Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and his wife Rekha. The magazine put his net worth at Rs1,821 crore – although this may have shrunk given the state of the capital market. The magazine provided a long list of his investment.
According to report in India Today, an inquiry was initiated against KD Singh, a Trinamool Congress Rajya Sabha MP and close confidant of Mamata Banerjee, by the home ministry. The investigators were probing two FIIs- Mavi Investment and Somerset Emerging Opportunities Fund, which acquired stakes in Singh’s Alchemist Realty Ltd. Both of these funds were closely linked to Mr Kotecha, say market sources.
Mr Kotecha, a self-confessed admirer of the late scamster Harshad Mehta is only in his 30s and is the son of an LIC agent who also ran a medical shop in Kochi. He was also known to befriend journalists who also came under the regulator’s scanner for their involvement in the Pyramid Saimira case where a forged SEBI letter was leaked to the media. Incidentally, the forgery was traced to a SEBI manager who was also under Mr Kotecha’s influence.
Moneylife could not contact Mr Kotecha for his comments since his number available with us was unreachable. His reaction if any will be added to this report when available. Despite repeated attempts, Moneylife also did not get any further details about what transpired at the 14th November hearing of the ED as had been scheduled under the summons.
Despite increased prices in Chennai and Bangalore, sentiments are turning buoyant on back of speculations that there will be no further hike in interest rates. However, sentiments in Mumbai and the NCR continue to remain sluggish as there are no external triggers to change the price volume equation
Diwali may have been dim for the realtors, but looks like some cities are looking brighter with the New Year approaching. However, realty hotspots like Mumbai and Delhi-NCR continue to look gloomy, as vice president and business head of web property portal indiaproperty.com, Ganesh Vasudevan said.
“Hyderabad, Bangalore and Chennai are looking better. New properties have appeared, and Chennai has seen a healthy transaction volume in the last two-three months, and even in Hyderabad, after the mellowing down of the Telangana struggle, we are seeing an increase in number of registrations,” Mr Vasudevan said.
Bangalore, too, seems to have profited from the metro and other infrastructure projects.
An Edelweiss sector report says, “While sales volume at the pan-India level was steady, the Mumbai property market continued to post lacklustre sales. In terms of positive surprises, Bengaluru-based players such as Prestige Estates and Sobha Developers reported strong sales volumes while the biggest disappointment on the margin front was DLF.”
Though the September quarter saw decreased sales; post-Diwali the scene looks better for cities like Hyderabad, Bangalore and Chennai. “Flats which cost between Rs25-30 lakh, with area of around 1100-1200 sq ft and 2/3 BHK configuration are most sought after,” Mr Vasudevan said. In Chennai, prices have gone up by some 15%-20% year-on-year. The National Housing Bank released its ‘Residex’ data recently, which show that Chennai has seen a 9% q-o-q (quarter-on-quarter) increase in price, whereas Bangalore has seen a 1% increase. According to Residex, Hyderabad prices have seen an 8% fall since the last quarter.
Despite the increased prices in Chennai and Bangalore, sentiments are turning buoyant on back of speculations that there will be no further hike in interest rates. “Home loans turned expensive with the successive hikes. But now, people are coming to know of enablers like pre-payment and re-financing facilities; besides redevelopment properties are also seeing many takers. Moreover, at the end of the year, salaries are expected to be revised, so that has added to the positive sentiment,” Mr Vasudevan said.
But there seems to be little respite for Mumbai and NCR regions, which seem to be languishing. “While these home loan-enablers have buoyed up sentiments elsewhere, in Mumbai and Delhi the prices are too high to benefit from those,” he said. While in Gurgaon 2BHK apartments have a strong demand, the rest of NCR, including Noida, is faring badly. Residex says that Delhi has recorded a price increase of around 5% in the last quarter.
In Mumbai, prices have gone up 7%-8% in outskirts like Mira Road or Thane, and even the rental values along the eastern suburbs have gone up. Edelweiss reported that Mumbai property registrations continued to decline with the three month moving average (3MMA) as of October 2011 standing at 4,500 registrations, a 38% decline from a peak of 7,300 in December 2009. The Edelweiss report says, “We expect Mumbai volumes to remain muted as there are no external triggers to change the price volume equation.”