Nifty still has some strength to reach 4,805 but the move will be volatile
The market pared all the gains made in the morning session and settled lower on brisk selling in blue-chip stocks by institutional investors in the second half of trade. Yesterday we had mentioned that the Nifty may see range-bound movement with an upward bias to the level of 4,805. Today the index again managed to leap ahead with a higher high and keep itself above yesterday’s low. However, the benchmark fell by 20 points on a lower volume of 52.22 crore shares on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). If the Nifty is able to make a higher low, it may reach 4,805, or else it may fall to the level of 4,670.
The market opened higher on the back of positive global cues. Wall Street closed in the green for a third straight day on Thursday after data showed weekly unemployment claims fell to their lowest in three-and-half years. The positive economic data supported gains in Asia in morning trade today. The Nifty resumed trade at 4,763, a gain of 29 points over its previous close, and the Sensex added 50 points to start the day at 15,863. Capital goods, realty, banking, metal and oil & gas stocks witnessed buying interest in early trade.
The indices hit their intraday highs within the first few minutes of the opening bell with the Nifty touching 4,763 and the Sensex scaling 15,911. However, intense volatility kept a tap on the gains with the indices trading sideways till noon.
A huge bout of institutional selling in heavyweights stocks in the post-noon session saw the market giving up all its gains and enter the negative terrain. Telecom stocks were under pressure after the department asked mobile service providers to discontinue 3G roaming arrangements.
The market continued to fluctuate in the negative territory despite the European markets trading in the green. The indices touched the day’s low in late trade with the Nifty going down to 4,693 and the Sensex falling to 15,671.
The advance-decline ratio on the NSE was 937:746.
Among the broader indices, the BSE Mid-cap index added 0.07% and the BSE Small-cap index jumped 1.07%.
The sectoral gainers were BSE Capital Goods (up 0.66%); BSE Auto (up 0.23%); BSE Realty (up 0.12%) and BSE FMCG (up 0.09%). The top losers were BSE Consumer Durables (down 1.15%); BSE Oil & Gas (down 1.05%); BSE Bankex (down 1.04%); BSE PSU (down 0.65%) and BSE Metal (down 0.42%).
Wipro (up 2.17%); BHEL (up 1.91%); Hindustan Unilever (up 0.83%); Tata Motors (up 0.52%) and Maruti Suzuki (up 0.38%) were the key gainers on the Sensex. The leading losers were NTPC (down 3.27%); DLF (down 2.23%); Jaiprakash Associates (down 2.01%); Tata Steel (down 1.81%) and Bajaj Auto (down 1.47%).
The top stocks on the Nifty were Siemens (up 2.35%); BHEL (up 2.15%); Grasim (up 2.04%); Wipro (up 1.92%) and Sesa Goa (up 0.97%). On the other hand, Ranbaxy (down 4%); NTPC (down 3.09%); Reliance Communications (down 2.99%); BPCL (down 2.97%) and IDFC (down 2.66%) were the major losers on the index.
The market settled lower, snapping its two-day gaining streak, on institutional selling in the second half of trade. The Nifty closed with a loss of 20 points at 4,714 and the Sensex settled 75 points down at 15,739.
The Asian pack closed higher, taking support from the positive US economic data, which eclipsed concerns about the European debt crisis. While weekly jobless claims fell to their lowest in three-and-half years last week, consumer confidence rose to a six-month high in December. Trading was low-key in Asia as the Japanese market was closed for a local holiday.
The Shanghai Composite gained 0.85%; the Hang Seng surged 1.37%; the Jakarta Composite added 0.04%; the KLSE Composite gained 0.31%; the Straits Times climbed 0.44%; the Seoul Composite advanced 1.07% and the Taiwan Weighted jumped 2.07%. The Nikkei 225 was closed for trade. At the time of writing, major European indices were trading nearly 1% higher and the US stock futures were trading in the positive.
Back home, foreign institutional investors were net sellers of stocks totalling Rs236.39 crore on Thursday. On the other hand, domestic institutional investors were net sellers of equities amounting to Rs229.74 crore.
Air-conditioning and commercial refrigeration firm Blue Star today said it is setting up a new plant in Ahmedabad at an initial investment of Rs15 crore and is likely to start production from the facility by the end of this fiscal. The plant will manufacture refrigeration products such as deep freezers, bottle coolers, milk coolers and water coolers. It will have the capacity to manufacture one lakh units annually in the initial phase. The stock closed 1.53% lower at Rs157.25 on the NSE.
Steel-maker Monnet Ispat today said it will buy back shares worth up to Rs100 crore from the open market at a price not exceeding Rs500 apiece. Monnet Ispat said its board cleared the buy-back proposal at a meeting on 22nd December. The stock gained 1.51% to close at Rs363.40 on the NSE.
Orchid Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals today said it has received an initial payment of $1.5 million from Merck as part of drug development collaboration. Under the terms of agreement, Orchid is eligible to receive payments totalling more than $100 million with the achievement of various research and development milestones involving multiple candidates. The stock rose 0.11% to close at Rs140.75 on the NSE.
There may be more things that are not dreamt of in our philosophy, but none as true as Satyameva Jayate, words spoken through the ages, resonating today. But until we imbibe these words, we can careen along to evermore, creating Lokpals till monuments crumble to dust, and nothing will change
Let me start by saying that no one referred to or alluded to directly or indirectly or even by oblique association in the hereinafter musing is an idiot.
We are all, to paraphrase Marcus Antonius, intelligent men.
So hark, you keepers of public sensitivity, let not loose the dogs of war.
(As a child I was bitten by an Alsatian, and I can assure you I do not wish to relive that experience)
So here we all are, citizens of the republic, gathered to witness the coming of the Lokpal bill. We await this with some impatience now, if the reports are to be believed. And we want this to be enacted into constitutional law with pressing haste, for we all are quite weary, not of the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune, for we are a forbearing people, of equanimous and karmic disposition, but we are so tired of corruption, of the venal parasites who worse than vampiric bats suck the life force itself out of the body politic. We want to eradicate this with the same sense of purpose and determination that we used for smallpox and now for polio.
But do we?
The people who will not just pass the enacted laws need also to implement them. And they in all likely probability, though sounds of high dudgeon will be heard at such allusion to their probity and honour, are at the root of the rot.
It will behoove them not to pass such a law which may just come back to be their nemesis.
Or will it?
Even if the laws themselves held the “public servant” to account, who will take up arms against them?
The very system of jurisprudence in this country allows for presumed innocent even if proved guilty. And if you are of the political nobility, the chances of punishment befitting what should be a crime equivalent to treason itself are about as good as a snowflake in Rajasthan in mid-summer.
But we hope that as it was with the discovery of vaccines for many illnesses, in time, even if it takes years, we will be inoculated.
So when I read this piece below which I have reproduced verbatim from Plato’s republic, I was struck by the poignancy of the absurdity of our beliefs. We hope to engineer change by modifying the content of what we do. Change always happens only when the very context alters, a systemic revolution, a paradigm shift, to use the much abused term.
Read the wisdom:
SOCRATES: That any kind of mixture that does not in some way or other possess measure of the nature of proportion will necessarily corrupt its ingredients and most of all itself. For there would be no blending in such a case at all but really an unconnected medley, the ruin of whatever happens to be contained in it.
PROTARCHUS: Very true.
SOCRATES: But now we notice that the force of the good has taken up refuge in an alliance with the nature of the beautiful. For measure and proportion manifest themselves in all areas of beauty and virtue.
SOCRATES: But we said that truth is also inclined along with them in our mixture?
SOCRATES: Well, then, if we cannot capture the good in one form, we will have to take hold of it in a conjunction of three: beauty, proportion and truth. Let us affirm that these should by right be treated as a unity and be held responsible for what is in the mixture, for goodness is what makes the mixture good in itself.
In the Laws, Plato applies this principle to electing a government in the ideal state: "Conducted in this way, the election will strike a mean between monarchy and democracy”
So here we are almost three millennia later, looking at what should be the context of government. Which is supposed to be about the substance of and the practice of, as Socrates says, Good and Goodness. Good for all, Goodness in all.
How will a bill create this, how will we ensure this?
We do not think about this.
And here is the ultimate irony:
In the seal of the country, the Mission Statement as it were of the Republic Of India, there are these words.
Truth Alone Triumphs.
There may be more things that are not dreamt of in our philosophy, but none as true as these words, words spoken through the ages, resonating today.
But until we imbibe these words, we can careen along to evermore, creating Lokpals till monuments crumble to dust, and nothing will change.
Until then, all of this will just be a tale told by an idiot, full of sound and fury signifying nothing.
(V Shantakumar is the former chairman & CEO of Saatchi & Saatchi in India and now the managing partner of Doing Think)
SEBs witnessed losses due to lack of periodic tariff revision and high T&D losses which are in excess of 30%. The rising losses and debt level in SEBs are biggest risk to banks credit exposure, the central bank said
With incremental credit to the power and telecom sector outpacing the aggregate growth of the banking sector credit, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has called for “careful monitoring of assets quality of these segments.” It also remains cautious of the deteriorating assest quality of the banking sector.
The apex bank, in its Financial Stability Report (FSR), said that, “The risk that banks face on account of their exposure to power sector is due to two reasons: rising losses and debt levels in SEBs (State Electricity Boards) and shortage of fuel availability for power sector.”
SEBs witnessed losses due to lack of periodic tariff revision and high T&D losses which are in excess of 30%. Despite the SEBs being bifurcated into three entities, their ownership, maintenance, financial well being and cash flow continue to remain dependent on each other.
Even the Shunglu Committee, constituted in July 2010 to look into the financial problems of SEBs, has recommended setting up of a special purpose vehicle (SPV), in which RBI will hold 76% while Power Finance Corp (PFC) and Rural Electrification Corp Ltd (REC) will own the balance in equal proportion, to restructure the debt of SEBs.
Power sector, the report says is also facing shortage of coal supply. It adds that, “Against this backdrop, there is anecdotal evidence of many lenders being cautious in extending loan to the sector.
The report revealed that out of the total impaired and restructured accounts in the banking sector, power and telecom sector, together, rose to 8.5% for June 2011, from 5% in March 2011. In terms of infrastructure credit, these sectors accounted for 77%.
According to the FSR, sectors like retail, real estate and infrastructure together contributed to 85% of the gross non-performing assets (NPA) at the end of September 2011. Overall, the growth of NPAs stood at 30.5% and slippages at 92.8% for the same period, outnumbering the 19.2% credit growth.
The report says that, “Higher provisioning requirements, consequent to higher non-performing assets and higher interest expenses have put pressure on banks’ profitability.”
Commenting on the banking sector, RBI said, “With further slowdown in credit cycle expected on the back of higher interest rate environment and slowing economy, deteriorating assest quality will emerge as a challenge for the banking sector.” However, despite the rising NPAs the report sounded positive the outlook of the banking sector compared to other developed countries.
“The turmoil in the euro zone has fanned fears of deleveraging by the European banks. Though Indian banks are not expected to have any direct impact on account of their negligible exposure to the troubled zone, indirect impact on account of funding pressure could be seen,” the FSR added.