Sensex, Nifty may trend higher: Tuesday Closing Report

Positive indications from policymakers boost the indices


The market closed higher for the second day on assurances from the new finance minister to look at easing interest rates and review the retrospective tax provisions. Today the Nifty saw a sharp bounce enabling the benchmark hit the highest intraday high since 3 April 2012. The benchmark closed almost at the same level. The trend is up and the market may still witness some days of gains. The (National Stock Exchange) NSE saw a volume of 54.35 crore shares.


The market opened marginally higher, even though most of its Asian peers were higher in morning trade on the back of a positive close in Europe and the US overnight on assurance from Germany to support the European Central Bank’s bond purchase plan. The Nifty opened 12 points up at 5,295 and the Sensex added 43 points to its previous close to start the day at 17,456.


The benchmarks slipped to the day’s low in initial trade itself with the Nifty at 5,282 and the Sensex going back to 17,418. However, brushing aside early hiccups, buying interest soon pushed the indices to a higher trajectory. The gains were supported by banking, IT, capital goods and healthcare stocks.


In his first media briefing after taking charge of the finance ministry, P Chidambaram said fiscal and monetary policies must point to the same direction to moderate inflation. “The government will work with the Reserve Bank of India to ensure that inflation is moderated in the medium term.” He also promised to review of tax rules with retrospective provisions and said that he would take corrective measures wherever necessary.


Optimism from the finance minister and the key European markets trading in the green pushed the market higher in noon trade. The market hit its intraday high around 2.40pm with the Nifty touching 5,350 and the Sensex climbing to 17,642.


Profit taking at the highs saw the benchmarks paring some of their gains, but ensured a green close for the second day in a row. The Nifty gained 54 points (1.03%) at 5,337 and the Sensex surged 189 points (1.08%) to settle at 17,602.


The advance-decline ratio on the NSE was higher at 937:733.


The broader markets underperformed the Sensex today. The BSE Mid-cap index gained 0.35% and the BSE Small-cap index rose 0.36%.


The top sectoral gainers were BSE IT (up 1.95%); BSE Auto (up 1.70%); BSE TECk (up 1.58%); BSE Realty (up 1.53%) and BSE Bankex (up 1.20%). BSE Healthcare (down 0.09%) and BSE Consumer Durables (down 0.04%) were the only losers in the sectoral space today.


Tata Motors (up 4.42%); GAIL India (up 3.21%); TCS (up 2.86%); Bajaj Auto (up 2.16%) and ICICI Bank (up 2.16%) were the top gainers on the Sensex. The losers were led by Hero MotoCorp (down 1.37%); Bharti Airtel (down 0.79%); Sun Pharma (down 0.28%); Reliance Industries (down 0.20%) and Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (down 0.01%)


The top two A Group gainers on the BSE were—TTK Prestige (up 4.99%) and Bajaj Finserv (up 4.53%).

The top two A Group losers on the BSE were—IRB Infrastructure Developers (down 6.99%) and Strides Arcolab (down3.90%).


The top two B Group gainers on the BSE were—Money Matters Financial Services (up 19.98%) and Vertex Spinning (up 19.57%).

The top two B Group losers on the BSE were—Standard Chartered PLC (down 19.97%) and Hazoor Multiprojects (down 14.91%).


The top stocks on the Nifty were Tata Motors (up 4.15%); IDFC (up 3.59%); DLF (up 3.57%); Ambuja Cement (up 3.49%) and GAIL (up 2.86%). The main losers were Cairn India (down 1.42%); Hero MotoCorp (down 1.33%); Power Grid Corporation (down 1.20%); BPCL (down 1.06%) and Ranbaxy Laboratories (down 0.89%).


Markets across Asia closed mostly in the green on renewed hopes from European policymakers to find a solution to the continent’s lingering debt problems.


The Shanghai Composite rose 0.13%; the Hang Seng gained 0.37%; the Nikkei 225 climbed 0.88%; the Seoul Composite added 0.05% and the Taiwan Weighted was up 0.13%. On the other hand, the Jakarta Composite fell 0.49%; the KLSE Composite declined 0.51% and the Straits Times settled 0.13% lower.


At the time of writing, CAC 40 of France was up 0.46%, DAX of Germany was trading 0.33% higher while UK’s FTSE 100 was down 0.16% and the US stock futures were trading with gains.


Back home, foreign institutional investors were net buyers of equities amounting to Rs555.73  crore on Monday whereas domestic institutional investors were net sellers of shares aggregating Rs4.23 crore.


Net debt of realty major DLF has come down marginally by Rs45 crore in the first quarter of this fiscal to Rs22,680 crore though it is likely to decline significantly as the company expects to finalise divestment of three major non-core assets soon.

DLF said its net debt stood at Rs22,680 crore as on 30th June against Rs22,725 crore at the end of last fiscal. The stock closed at Rs218.80 on the NSE, up 3.57% over its previous close.


Direct to Home (DTH) service provider Dish TV launched a standard definition box with recording facility branded Dish+ on Tuesday. Priced at Rs1,690, it comes with a free 4GB pen drive as part of the inaugural offer. The company said post the video cassette recorders era, consumers do not have a recording device, and it hopes to fill this gap with its SD recorder. The stock gained 2.59% to close at Rs73.20 on the NSE.


Ad agencies and TV channels wake up to the truth about television ratings

For years NDTV’s accusation that TAM’s audience ratings are rigged, had no takers. So, why is its lawsuit against TAM being taken so seriously now?

NDTV bells the cat” on TAM ratings, says a Business Today report, quite correctly, about the “problem that has festered between Television Audience Measurement (TAM) ratings and television channels for more than a decade”. The magazine, which is part of a group that also runs popular television channels, goes on to call it a “ticking time bomb”.
Great; but why then is the industry waking up to the seriousness of the rating problem only after NDTV filed a $1.3 billion lawsuit? After all, NDTV has been banging on about TAM ratings since 2004 and has even conducted a well-publicised sting to back up its charges (even while most of its advertisements claimed it was numero uno). I also have it from a senior NDTV insider that they did attempt to get other broadcasters to join their lawsuit, but had to go alone when they failed to get any support. 
What the industry clearly didn’t reckon with is NDTV’s phenomenal clout with the Congress-led government. As soon as news about the lawsuit became public, the government and its powerful ministry, which was in slumber until then got hyperactive. Consider the initial reaction. 
When the news about the $1.3 billion suit against TAM hit the newswires, there were plenty of sniggers. The ex-chief of a multinational company dripping with sarcasm said, “NDTV should complain about Arnab Goswami stealing their lunch (anchor of Times Now) not TAM”. A committee on false advertising that I am a part of maintained a studious silence when I sought a reaction to the lawsuit. But everybody started singing a different tune just two days later. “I have always been saying that the TAM data is all wrong, fudged” said Zee group founder Subhash Chandra. The CEO of Zee Networks says, “It is clearly emerging that we were provided research data that was questionable”. But that’s not news, is it? Well, the CEO of Sony claims “the rot” has been noticed only now, not in 2004. (quotes have been picked from various media). Why?
Remember, TAM is the only audience measurement system available in India today. So our question remains—why didn’t those who had suspicions or issues with TAM ratings join NDTV’s lawsuit? In fact, if there had been collective action, a lawsuit would not even have been necessary. As Sherlock Holmes said about the dog that didn’t bark… those who didn’t complain had figured out a way to work with the system. And, as I always say, there is nothing more democratic than corrupt person or organisation. All you need to do is to pay for what you want, or pay more than the next guy. In fact, when NDTV first complained, most advertising industry associations had rooted for TAM and backed its ratings. 
Why then the sudden rush to discredit TAM after the NDTV lawsuit? In fact, if NDTV simply collates all news reports basing TAM ratings after its lawsuit became public, it could probably collect a billion dollars as an out-of-court settlement from the powerful WPP-Nielsen-VNU-Nielsen-Kantar-JWT India-IMRB-TAM group who have been made party to the suit. 
Were broadcasters scared of WPP’s clout to dictate where the advertising rupee goes? Probably. But then, how did WPP’s clout (it owns a string of the largest advertising, rating and media agencies in the world and in India) suddenly diminish when a struggling broadcaster like NDTV decided to sue? Obviously because of signals from the government. 
NDTV’s formidable clout with the government has ensured that the ministry of broadcasting has remembered that its own National Media Policy report (by the Sectoral Innovation Council) had called for an alternative to TAM. The information & broadcasting ministry has asked the Indian Broadcasting Foundation, Advertising Agencies Association of India (AAAI) and Indian Society of Advertisers “to speed up the process” of getting the Broadcast Audience Research Council (BARC) operational. BARC was expected to be operational by July 2013, but seems nowhere near meeting that target. In fact the broadcasters association is blaming advertisers associations for slowing down the formation of BARC. And the advertisers are silent. 
All this is ironic, because TAM’ s systems allegedly remained untouched by the government because of powerful politicians across party lines who own large chunks of the broadcast media. 
NDTV’s charge is that TAM’s sample size for deciding audience preferences is too small. Of the 148 million television-owning homes (126 million have cable) the sample for deciding how the advertising megabucks are spent is a mere 8,000. Just too easy to manipulate! The way TAM works is to have a data-box installed in televisions for the homes that are part of the sample. The way to manipulate the data is to bribe the persons in the sample to tune in to specific programmes or to bribe the TAM employees. Rumour has it that both types of bribes and manipulation were rampant—after all, it is not difficult to reach just enough households to skew the data. 
At the least, NDTV wants TAM to stop publishing its corrupted data. TAM is refusing to speak on the issue, but the powerful media group is working overtime to defuse the situation.  As things stands, reactions to the lawsuit suggest that the advertising industry and media agencies had collectively underestimated NDTV’s clout. On the other hand, when it comes to genuine viewership, no clout can prevent you and me, the viewers, from reaching for the remote if the content does not interest us. Also, we don’t really need TAM to tell us that NDTV’s viewership and credibility had been hit by many factors. In fact, industry and investment experts invariably point out that the advertising and sponsorship that NDTV commands is completely out of whack with its perceived viewership—whether or not it is measured by a formal rating system. The same is true about its ability to find a series of marquee investors willing to buy its shares at a fancy premium even when its financial performance is terrible. 
It’s a strange situation. Almost everybody thinks NDTV gets far more advertising than it deserves; but it now had a chance of working a deal that will give it better ratings or a nice settlement. It remains to be seen what other broadcasters, with lesser political clout will do.




5 years ago

I had written about the 'Sham' and 'Fudged' TAM rating in my print mag "SHADOW PLAY" as back as in April 2001 .
Other media is awakening only today. Khair, 'Der Aayad ,Durust Aayad'.

Mohan Siroya



In Reply to MOHAN SIROYA 5 years ago

Sucheta Ji
If U so desire, I can send U a scanned clipping of that 'analytical comment' of April 2001 .
Thanks and Regards

Mohan Siroya


5 years ago

Income tax dept must quickly raid the houses of the TAM executives to unearth the bribes (off course in cash, not by cheques) to ascertain the truth.
Instead of bothering the common tax paying citizens, IT Dept must concentrate on these type of sources.


5 years ago

"Physician, Heal Thyself" is the message to the self-righteous Media people ..

Thackeray criticises Advani for 'demoralising' blog

Shiv Sena chief Bal Thackeray said if LK Advani has any doubts, he can come to Matoshree to get a dose of ‘moral’ and ‘strength’ from him

Mumbai: Slamming Bhartiya Janta Party (BJP) leader Lal Krishna (LK) Advani for predicting a non-BJP, non-Congress Prime Minister in 2014, Shiv Sena chief Bal Thackeray on Tuesday said it is like a general saying before a war that there is no guarantee on the outcome and 'demoralising' the entire army, reports PTI.
"What has happened to our ally BJP. Has it been afflicted with an illness or has it been beset with internal squabbles," Thackeray said in an editorial in party mouthpiece 'Saamana' on Tuesday.
Advani's musings were demoralising, Thackeray said and asked NDA "not to lose heart".
"If Advani has any doubts, he can come to me and I will give him a dose of morale and strength," Thackeray said commenting on his blog where the BJP leader predicted a non-Congress, non-NDA alliance coming to power.
"This is like a general saying before a war that there is no guarantee on the outcome, and demoralising the entire army," Thackeray said.
He asked the NDA to prepare for the general elections with renewed vigour.
The issue of contenders for the Prime Minister's post within the NDA -- Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi -- could be sorted out after the elections, he said.
Writing in his blog, Advani had ruled out formation of a government headed by the Third Front but said that a non- Congress, non-BJP Prime Minister heading a government supported by one of these two parties is possible.
"The blog has put BJP in a quandary," Thackeray said.
Thackeray said the next Prime Minister should be from the NDA and that decision could be taken after polls are over.
"No point conceding defeat now, without even entering the boxing ring.
"Even Advani himself has been a Prime Ministerial contender over the years and if there is consensus, his wish can also be fulfilled," Thackeray said.
The blog would add fuel ambitions in Nitish Kumar and Narendra Modi for the prime minister's post, he said.
Shiv Sena would play "free-style wrestling" in attempting to overthrow Congress from power, Thackeray said.
The saffron flag will fly atop Delhi's Red Fort in 2014 polls, he said.



Dayananda Kamath k

5 years ago

people of india are lucky that they have not voted bjpin 2009 otherwise we would have onemore primeminister who do not belive in his own parties strength. it is a tragidy of india that congress promotes inefficient and other great opposition party bjp drags down the efficient in the party.both ways india is the looser. and all the other parties enjoying blackmailing the party who matters to rake in the moola again it is india is the looser.


5 years ago


Mr. Advani is right. The person he is hinting at is none other than Dr. Subramanyam Swami.

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