Nifty may open higher on Monday but may start giving up some gains either later in the day or Tuesday.
Yesterday, we suggested that the market was in the grip of a strong short-term rally and may continue to move. It recorded strong gains to end the week on a good note. There was hardly any fight from the bears, as the bulls took over and kept the market steady and strong throughout the trading session. This is the 2nd straight day that saw little fight from the bears. All the eyes are on the GDP data.
The BSE Sensex opened at 20,558 and stayed steady and strong throughout the session. It touched the intra-day high of 20,819 before closing at 20,791(up 257 points or 1.25%). Similarly, Nifty opened at 6,103, hit an intra-day high of 6,182 before closing at 6,176 (up 84 points, or 1.38%).
The indices moved up on slightly lower volumes of 51.68 lakh shares.
All the indices finished in the green, with Bank Nifty. CNX MNC and CNX Finance finishing strong.
Of the 50 stocks on the Nifty, 42 advanced and 8 declined. The top gainers were JP Associates (9.20%); NMDC (6.67%); Bank of Baroda (5.17%); Sesa Sterlite (4.57%) and BHEL (3.78%). The top losers were M&M (-1.34%); Hero MotoCorp (-0.69%); Wipro (-0.54%); NTPC (-0.27); Asian Paints (-0.18).
Of the 1,461 shares on the NSE, 895 closed in the positive, 472 closed in the negative while 94 remained unchanged.
Finance minister P Chidambaram, said during the Indian Economic Times Conclave said that there were no quick fixes for inflation as it would take some time for it to cool down. According to Reuters, Indian traders were hoping that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) would roll back cash constraints measures that were taken to contain the rupee free fall. According to Reuters, cash flow in the banking system has improved with the overnight call rate dropping to the repo rate of 7.75% from the emergency marginal standing facility rate which stands at 8.75%.
Asian markets were trading flat amidst Thai protests which are gathering momentum. The latest news is that Thai protesters have broken into the army compound. Strangely, the Thai benchmark index, SET, was up five points. Nikkei was seen trending down by 0.41% while Singapore Strait Times was down 0.36%. Hang Seng was marginally up 0.36%.
The Euro region saw two ratings assessments; Spain outlook was raised to ‘stable’ from ‘negative’ by S&P, with ratings at BBB-. On the other hand, Netherlands rating was cut from AAA to AA+, though the outlook remains ‘stable’. Most of the markets were trending
Yesterday, the United States stock markets were closed. Many investors in US are now awaiting key jobs data which will be released in a few days. This may give further hints of tapering. US stock futures were seen trending up.
Hudco and NTPC tax free bonds will be offered from 2nd and 3rd December respectively. Which one should you subscribe considering that Hudco rates are little higher and even crossing 9% barrier?
NTPC (formerly National Thermal Power Corporation), country's largest power producer and a maharatna company of the government, will offer tax-free secured redeemable non-convertible bonds from 3rd December and close on 16th December. State-owned Housing and Urban Development Corporation (Hudco), a mini-ratna firm, engaged in the financing and promotion of housing and urban infrastructure projects, will offer second tranche of tax-free bonds from 2nd December and is scheduled to close on 10th January.
NTPC will offer better rates for 10 and 15 years than the recently closed NHPC bonds. The rate for 20 years is almost unchanged. NTPC coupon rates for retail individual investors will be 8.66%, 8.73% and 8.91% for 10, 15 and 20 year bonds. Hudco will have coupon rate of 8.76%, 8.83% and 9.01% for 10, 15 and 20 years. Retail investor limit for bond application is Rs10 lakh. Non-retail investors will have 0.25% less rate for both the bond issues.
While Hudco coupon rates are higher than NTPC by 0.1% for all the tenure, NTPC bonds have better credit rating. It has been assigned AAA rating by ICRA and CRISIL. Hudco has AA+ rating from CARE and India Ratings and Research. Both are government companies and hence it is safe to invest some portion of your investment.
NTPC issue size is Rs1,000 crore with an option to retain oversubscription up to Rs750 crore for issuance of additional bonds, aggregating to up to Rs1,750 crore. Due to small issue size up for grabs and decent rates, investors may have to move quickly if they want their hands on these bonds. NHPC was closed early due oversubscription and NTPC may follow suit. Many NHPC subscribers got partial allotments.
Hudco plans to raise Rs2,439 crore its second tranche. It has already raised Rs2,370 crore in the first tranche of tax-free bonds launched in September 2013.
It is obvious that Hudco second tranche will have less interest from those who have already subscribed even though the rates are better than first tranche. Hudco also had tax-free bonds offering last financial year, but NTPC did not have it during the same period. Hudco second tranche longer ending date of 10 January 2014 indicates that it will take longer time to get necessary subscription. NTPC ending date is 16 December 2013, but it may be oversubscribed before it.
But, should you expect higher rates for tax-free bonds offered in near future? It depends on the 10 year benchmark government security (G-SEC) yield which has seen full circle in the last month by rising steeply from 8.58% to ending at 9.01% on 22nd November and now at 8.72% on 28th November. It is unlikely that rates will come down in near future. It is more likely to go up if RBI hikes the repo rate during the remainder of financial year. It can lead to increase in G-Sec yields, but it is difficult to predict future interest rates with certainty as there are too many parameters that can affect it.
IRFC (Indian Railway Finance Corporation), NHAI (National Highway Authority of India), NHB (National Housing Bank) and IIFCL (India Infrastructure Finance Company Ltd) second tranche will have tax-free bonds in near future.
CPI (M) said the decision of oil companies to make Aadhaar-linked bank account compulsory for LPG subsidy is unacceptable as only 25% of the country's population had so far obtained the UID
The Communist Party of India (Marxist) or CPI(M) has asked the Indian government to withdraw its decision to make unique identification (UID) number or Aadhaar compulsory for providing various benefits like cooking gas subsidy to citizens.
The Kerala state plenum of CPI (M) adopted a resolution in its meeting at Palakkad on Thursday. The resolution alleged that Aadhaar had been made compulsory by the Centre without having the backing of any parliamentary legislation and in disregard to the repeated rulings of the Supreme Court on the issue.
"The government has been pressurising the people to open bank accounts and link them to Aadhaar. Instead of allowing the people to open zero-balance accounts, many banks are insisting they should deposit Rs500 to Rs1,000 to open accounts," CPI(M) said.
Though a bill was introduced in Parliament on the matter, the report of the Parliamentary Standing Committee to which it was referred, had negated the salient provisions of the bill, the resolution said.
It said, "The decision of oil companies to make Aadhaar-linked bank account compulsory for cooking gas subsidy is unacceptable as only 25% of the country's population had so far obtained the Aadhaar. This means that the vast majority of the people are anxious whether they would continue to receive the benefits for which they are entitled."
CPI (M) alleged that it is part of the government's neo-liberal policy of phasing out subsidies and welfare payments.
"The Government's decision to set a time-frame for linking the benefits with Aadhaar has caused serious concern among the beneficiaries of various welfare schemes," the resolution added.