The indices may try to rally next week, but upmoves will be weak and downmoves will be strong
The market snapped its four-week winning streak and settled lower on growth concerns and nervousness ahead of the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) quarterly policy review, due on 30th July.
The Sensex lost 402 points (1.99%) to close the week at 19,748 and the Nifty settled at 5,886, down 143 points (2.37%).
The market settled marginally in the positive on Monday, after engineering major L&T’s quarterly number failed to meet market estimates. The benchmarks settled higher on Tuesday on support from fast moving consumer goods, power and realty sectors. However, on Tuesday night the Reserve Bank announced measures to curb liquidity in order to strengthen the rupee. This immediately led to a break in the upmove that had started on June 26th. On Wednesday, the indices fell sharply.
The market fell further on Thursday, the day of futures and options expiry when ITC, one of the strongest stocks in the market reported June quarter results that failed to meet market expectations. The indices closed further down on Friday on selling pressure in rate-sensitive sectors like metal, realty, PSU and banking after RBI announced further tightening measures.
BSE IT (up 2%) and BSE TecK (up 2%) were the top sectoral gainers in the week while BSE Capital goods (down 10%) and BSE Metal (down 7%) were the top losers.
The major gainers on the Sensex were Hero MotoCorp (5%), Sun Pharma (3%), Bajaj Auto (3%), Infosys (2%) and Bharti Airtel (2%). The leading losers on the index were Larsen & Toubro (13%), Jindal Steel & Power (10%), Tata Steel (9%), Hindalco Industries (9%) and BHEL (9%).
The week saw signs of euro zone recovery contrasted with weaker Chinese PMI data. China's manufacturing weakened further in July, signalling the worst of the nation's slowdown has yet to be reached, according to a preliminary survey of purchasing managers. The reading of 47.7 for an index released today by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics was less than estimated.
German and French PMI surveys both beat expectations. Overall, the business polls indicated that the euro zone economy was likely to grow in the current quarter.
UK economic growth accelerated in the second quarter as all main industries showed expansion for the first time in three years, indicating Britain’s recovery is gaining traction. Gross domestic product increased 0.6 percent from the first quarter, when it rose 0.3 percent, the Office for National Statistics said in London today. US Futures were also trading deeply in the red.
On Friday, the rupee rose to a five-week high as the Reserve Bank of India's aggressive defence of the currency showed some signs of success, but at the cost of equity markets.
If the Nifty closes below 5,835, the index may head much lower while a close above 5,920 may lead to a short rally
After a volatile session throughout the day, the indices ended in the negative for the third day in a row. Both the Sensex and the Nifty opened well in the positive. The Sensex opened at 19,892 while the Nifty opened 5,938. Both the indices hit their intra day high at the beginning of the session but soon began a downward journey to see some recovery in the last hour of the session. However, sharp selling again resumed towards the end of the session. The NSE saw a volume of 58.44 crore shares.
The indices hit a lower high and a lower low today. The Sensex hit a high of 19,907 and the Nifty hit a high of 5,945. The Sensex hit a low of 19,700 and the Nifty hit a low of 5,870, closing almost at the low of the day. The Sensex closed at 19,748 (fell 57 points, fell 0.29%) while the Nifty closed at 5,886 (fell 21 points, 0.36%).
US stocks rose on Thursday, 25 July 2013. Economic data released on Thursday, 25 July 2013, was mixed. Durable-goods orders in June came in better than expected, but weekly jobless claims posted a modest increase of 7,000 claims to 343,000.
Japan consumer prices rose the most since 2008 in June, an early sign that the world's third-biggest economy may be starting to shake off 15 years of deflation. Consumer prices excluding fresh food increased 0.4% in June from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said in a statement today.
Asian indices had a mixed performance. Nikkei 225 fell the most, 2.97% while Hang Seng was the gainer, rising 0.31%.
Among important news, China ordered companies in 19 industries to cut excess production capacity, raising fear that the demand is set to slow in the biggest consumer of the metal.
Officials working for euro zone finance ministers signed off on the payment of the next batch of aid for Greece on Friday and the money will be disbursed on the approval of member states on Monday, euro zone officials said.
The rupee rose to a five-week high as the Reserve Bank of India's aggressive defense of the currency showed some signs of success, but investors were again set to demand the government pay them handsomely to buy its bonds at an auction on Friday.
Despite the macroeconomic headwinds, the company is optimistic about the future and has forecasted positive developments for its IT services business. The quarterly results were positive too, aided by a weaker rupee
Azim Premji-led Wipro Ltd on Friday reported an 11% increase in its first quarter net profit to Rs16.23 billion ($273 million) helped by a weaker rupee and positive macroeconomic developments in the US despite a challenging economic climate.
Wipro, the country’s third largest IT company, expects revenues from their IT services business to be in the range of $1,620 million to $1,650 million (based on US dollar/Rs at 57.24), going forward. Operating income to revenue for the IT services segment was 20% for the quarter.
Azim Premji, chairman, said, “We are seeing higher confidence among our clients on the backdrop of positive macroeconomic developments, particularly in the US.”
During the quarter to end-June, Wipro's total revenues from operations increased 5% to Rs97.35 billion ($1.64 billion). The company’s IT services division's revenue was at $1,575 million in dollar terms while it was Rs89.36 billion in rupee terms, up 4.9% and 7%, respectively.
TK Kurien, executive director and chief executive of Wipro, said, “We are seeing a pickup in large deal closures which has reflected in strong order book in the current quarter. Our clients look to technology to pursue growth and profitability and increase organisational agility”
Suresh Senapaty, executive director and chief financial officer of Wipro, said – “Our investments in client mining have shown benefits with strong growth in our top clients. We have given wage hikes for both onsite and offshore employees effective June 2013, which has impacted our operating margins in the quarter.”
The IT Services segment had 147,281 employees as of 30 June 2013, an increase of 1,469 people in the quarter. During the quarter the company added 28 new customers.
Wipro shares closed Friday 1.7% higher at Rs382.8 on the BSE, while the benchmark Sensex ended marginally down at 19,748.