Sensex, Nifty crosses the first hurdle: Monday closing report
As suggested on Friday, Nifty rallied and crossed the first hurdle of 5,600 today. For the bulls to feel confident, Nifty will have to close above 5,660 tomorrow
Both the Sensex and the Nifty opened in the positive. Sensex opened higher for the third consecutive trading session by 110 points higher at 18,899. The broad market Nifty-50 opened 41 points higher at 5,607. During the entire trading session today Sensex traded higher than Friday’s close. Nifty traded in the negative during the first hour in the morning but traded higher later. Immediately after opening, indices hit their lows for the day. Sensex hit a low of 18,796 while the Nifty hit a low of 5,557. The National Stock Exchange (NSE) recorded a volume of 58.22 crore shares.
In the afternoon session, these benchmarks hit their respective intra day highs after which they traded lower but managed to close in the positive territory. Sensex hit a high of 19,067 and closed at 18,947 (up 158 points or 0.84%) while Nifty hit a high of 5,644 and closed at 5,612 (up 47 points or 0.84%).
All the major indices on the NSE closed in the positive. CNX Smallcap was the top gainer, up 2.66%.
Among the other indices, Metal (rose 4.48%); FMCG (rose 2.39%); Commodities (rose 1.90%); Pharma (rose 1.89%) and PSE (rose 1.79%) were the top five gainers. While the loser were PSU Bank (fell 1.53%); Bank Nifty (fell 1.07%); Energy (fell 0.66%) and Finance (fell 0.06%). 
Of the 50 stocks on the Nifty, 33 ended in the in the green. The major gainers were Jindal Steel (up 9.09%); Tata Steel (up 7.68%); Sun Pharma (up 7.13%); NMDC (up 6.58%) and Hero MotoCorp (up 3.56%). The main losers were State Bank of India (down 4.02%); Tata Power (down 3.28%); Reliance Industries (down 2.73%); IndusInd Bank (down 2.01%) and Punjab National Bank (down 1.79%).
India’s trade deficit declined sharply on year-on-year basis in July 2013 as exports surged and imports fell, data released by the government showed. Merchandise exports jumped 11.64% to $25.83 billion in July 2013 over July 2012. Total imports declined 6.2% to $38.10 billion in July 2013 over July 2012. Oil imports declined 8.02% to $12.70 billion in July 2013 over July 2012. Non-oil imports declined 5.26% to $25.39 billion in July 2013 over July 2012. The trade deficit declined sharply on year-on-year basis at $12.26 billion in July 2013, from $17.47 billion in July 2012.
Last week, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced fresh steps to drain cash from the banking system, as it stepped up efforts to stop the rupee’s decline against the US dollar. The RBI said it would sell short-term cash management bills worth Rs22,000-crore every week from Monday. The sale is in addition to Rs12,000 crore of Treasury bills and Rs15,000 crore of sovereign bonds, the government sells every week to fund its fiscal gap.
India expects to fully finance its current account deficit in the year ending March 2014, finance minister P Chidambaram said on Monday, as the government tried to sooth nerves about its external finances after a sharp fall in the rupee. Chidambaram also said the government will take steps to curb imports of gold, silver, oil and luxury goods.
Rising growth concerns is making global investment banks cautious on Indian stock markets. Nomura has revised its March 2014 Sensex target downwards to 20,000 from 21,700. The new target is underpinned by Sensex FY14E EPS growth of 8% (vs.13% consensus) with further risk to the downside.
Most of the Asian indices closed in the positive territory today. Jakarta Composite fell the most, 0.93% while the Shanghai Composite rose the most, up 2.39%. A newspaper report in South China Morning Post said that Beijing was "quietly offering financial stimulus" to key cities and provinces to support the local economies. Data released on 9 August 2013, showed that Chinese banks made 699.9 billion yuan ($114.3 billion) worth of local-currency loans in July, beating expectations. 
Japan's economy grew an annualized 2.6% in the April-June period, the Cabinet Officer reported Monday, cooling sharply from a rapid 4.1% gain in the first calendar quarter. On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, gross domestic product rose 0.6% from the first quarter's 0.9% increase.
European indices were trading lower and US Futures too were trading in the negative.
Following notice by Indiabulls Housing Finance to promoters of realty company HDIL last month on default of loans, HDIL promoters today said Indiabulls has withdrawn the notice against them following payment of Rs3.22 crore interest dues by them. HDIL promoters said they have paid Rs3.22 crore as interest to the former and regularised the loan account. The total loan amount due was about Rs46 crore. The stock rose 4.87% to close at Rs31.25 on the NSE.


Government’s broad strategy to cut CAD disappoints, says Nomura

According to Nomura, the government’s broad strategy throws up no surprises and is mildly disappointing, given the build-up of expectations, also the measures broadly fall in the category of quick fix solutions and there is no detail on sustainably lowering the CAD

Finance Minister P Chidambaram on Monday unveiled much-anticipated proposals to narrow the FY14 current account deficit (CAD) at $70 billion or an estimated 3.7% of gross domestic product (GDP).


Speaking in the Lok Sabha, the finance minister outlined the government’s broad strategy to address balance of payments concerns. This includes steps to compress oil and gold import demand, curb on imports of non-essential items, liberalizing external commercial borrowing (ECB) norms for companies, allowing oil companies to raise additional funds via the ECB, allowing sale of quasi-sovereign bonds by state companies, and to liberalise non-resident Indian deposit schemes.


However, Nomura Financial Advisory and Securities (India) Pvt Ltd, said the government’s broad strategy throws up no surprises and is mildly disappointing, given the build-up of expectations.  The measures broadly fall in the category of quick fix solutions and there is no detail on sustainably lowering the current account deficit, it added.


"While the government’s estimate of a smaller current account deficit is in line with our view, the real issue is financing the deficit. Weak domestic growth prospects suggest that portfolio equity inflows and overseas borrowings will be much lower this year. Hence, we expect net capital inflows to slow, which will make financing the current account deficit difficult. Hence, we expect balance of payment pressures to continue,' Nomura said in a note.


Amid din and uproar in the House over various issues including Telangana, the Minister said, "notifications in respect of tariff rates will be laid before Parliament in the usual course."


He said that with the fresh measures, "CAD will be contained at $70 billion, while the inflows will increase to a level that will be sufficient to finance the CAD.


"If the CAD is contained at $70 billion, it will amount to 3.7% of the GDP as against 4.8% FY13," he said in a statement.


Stressing that like the global economy, Indian economy too is facing challenges, the Minister said, "We believe that we have to do more to contain CAD, to reduce volatility in the currency market and to stabilise the rupee."


Political parties do not want any restriction in election freebies
Claiming that it is the right of parties to announce election manifestos, all political parties except BSP and two regional parties, opposed any restriction on them in announcing freebies
Major political parties except the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) on Monday opposed any restriction on them by the Election Commission (EC) in announcing freebies in election manifestos, claiming that this was their prerogative.
Representatives of five national and 23 regional parties, who attended a meeting called by the EC, conveyed their respective party's stand on the issue of framing of guidelines on election manifestos by the Commission.
Except for BSP, all major national political parties were unanimous in their views that there should be no restriction of any kind in regulating election manifestos.
Claiming that it is the right of parties to announce poll manifestos, the Congress, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Left parties are on a common platform in opposing the EC move in the wake of the Supreme Court judgment asking the Commission to frame guidelines on poll manifestos to regulate freebies.
The BSP said that there should be a ban on announcing freebies by parties ahead of polls as they disturb the level-playing field as voters can be lured by such promises of allurements which may not be implemented later.
According to reports, among the regional parties, only two — Nagaland People’s Front (NPF) and Mizo National Front (MNF), are in favour of banning freebies and framing guidelines in this regard and all others are opposed to the move.
The EC had convened a meeting of various national and regional political parties to seek their views on the issue of freebies offered by them in poll manifestos and framing of guidelines thereof.
The EC wishes to formulate a clear policy on defining freebies announced by parties ahead of elections and has studied practices adopted by different nations in this regard.
The Commission has felt that offering of freebies by parties ahead of polls disturbs the level playing field and may vitiate the atmosphere.
Last month, the apex court while disposing a special leave petition challenging the freebies announced by the Tamil Nadu government, had asked the EC to frame guidelines about such promises announced by political parties in their manifestos.


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