Nifty, Sensex to remain weak – Weekly closing report

Nifty may go below 7,800 in the absence of triggers


The S&P BSE Sensex closed the week that ended on 10th October at 26,297 (down 270 points or 1.02%), while the NSE's S&P CNX Nifty ended at 7,860 (down 86 points or 1.08%). Last week, we had mentioned that the Nifty may move in a narrow range between 7,850 and 8,000.

The Indian stock markets opened weak on Tuesday after a three-day holiday. On Tuesday, by and large the Nifty moved in the range mentioned above and closed lower at 7,852 (down 93 points or 1.17%); this was the second consecutive negative close.

In its twice-a-year South Asia Economic Focus report, the World Bank said that India's economy will expand by 6% in real terms in 2015 and by 6.4% in 2016, compared to 5.4% this year, potentially making it the second fastest growing region in the world after East Asia and the Pacific. The CII Business Confidence Index (CII-BCI) for the July-Sept quarter of FY15 shot up to 57.4, up from 53.7 in the April-June quarter and 49.9 in Jan-March quarter. The HSBC Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by Markit Economics, rose to 51.6 in September from 50.6 in August, reversing a slowdown seen in the previous two months.

Selling pressures continued on Wednesday, which pulled the index lower to hit the lowest level since 18 August 2014 (Nifty closed at 7,843 - down 10 points or 0.12%). The International Monetary Fund raised India's growth forecast to 5.6% for 2014, from its earlier estimate of 5.4% on the back of effective policies and a renewal of confidence following the elections.

The Finance Ministry and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) are supposed to finalise a new monetary policy framework by December-end, under which the central bank will pursue the retail inflation target that will be decided by the government.

As we anticipated on Wednesday, Nifty opened strong on Thursday and covered up almost all the losses of the past three trading sessions. Nifty closed at 7,961 (up 118 points or 1.50%).

India is on course to attract the highest-ever inflows of foreign direct investment during the current fiscal on the back of a slew of policy reforms announced by the new government, a senior Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) official said.


The government has notified rules for minimum 25% public shareholding for 30 listed PSUs by August 21, 2017.

Weakness on the global bourses also affected domestic market sentiments. Nifty closed at 7,860 (down 101 points or 1.26%). After market hours on Friday, the government came out with data on India's industrial output which grew much slower-than-expected. It grew 0.4% year-on-year in August.

Infosys was the top gainer in the Nifty-50 pack and the Sensex 30 pack after posting a better than the expected result for the September 2014 quarter. Its board has recommended a bonus issue of one equity share for every equity share held and also declared an interim dividend of Rs 30 per equity share.

For this week, among the other indices on the NSE, the top two performers were Realty (2%) and Energy (2%), while the worst two performers were Pharma (4%) and Metal (4%).

Among the Nifty stocks, the top five stocks for the week were BHEL (11%); Asian Paints (5%); Reliance Industries (4%); IndusInd Bank (4%) and IDFC (3%) while the top five losers were NMDC (9%); Jindal Steel & Power (9%); Sesa Sterlite (8%); Tech Mahindra (7%) and Ultratech Cement (6%).

Of the 1,439 companies on the NSE, 530 companies closed in the green, 870 companies closed in the red and 39 companies closed flat.

Out of the 27 main sectors tracked by Moneylife, the top and bottom five sectors for this week were:


ML Top sector


ML Worst sector










Real Estate


Telecom Services




Foods & Beverages


Oil & Gas


Software & IT Services




HudHud approaches the East Coast - Update

Very severe cyclonic storm had closed in on the East Coast off Odisha and Andhra Pradesh. Government agencies and disaster management personnel are on standby and ready to make this a zero casualty storm


The cyclonic storm HUDHUD reached within range of the doppler weather radar at Vishakapatnam Saturday, the Indian Meteorological Department's (IMD) said in a bulletin. “It would then move north-westwards and cross north Andhra Pradesh coast around Visakhapatnam by the forenoon of Sunday, 12 October 2014,” the IMD said.


Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected in Vishakapatnam, Vijayanagaram and Srikakulam districts of North Andhra Pradesh and Ganjam, Gajapati, Koraput, Rayagada, Nabarangpur, Malkangiri, Kalahandi and Phulbani districts of South Odisha in the next 48 hours. “The wind speed would gradually increase to 140-150 kmph gusting to 165 kmph around the time of landfall along and off north Andhra Pradesh,” the IMD said.


The National Crisis Management Committee met today, chaired by the Cabinet Secretary Ajit Seth. The Home Ministry said, “All Central agencies are fully geared up to provide necessary assistance to these states in case of any eventualities arising out of landfall of the cyclone expected on Sunday.” The Ministry also said that 39 NDRF teams comprising 1,680 rescuers along with 199 inflatable boats had been deployed in various parts of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha.


The state government evacuated 24,000 in Vishakapatnam, 15,000 in Vijayanagaram, 46,000 in Srikakulam and 160 from the East Godavari District. The IMD has already advised all fishing be stopped till further notice as the sea was expected to be rough to very rough in the next 12 hours and was expected to become 'phenomenal' from the morning of 12th October. The IMD will also be addressing the media with an update on the situation a little later in the day.


Jan Dhan Yojana: How many new accounts are really new?

Bankers are under tremendous pressure to meet targets, so banking correspondents, who are paid higher commissions are taking the same set of people from one bank to another to open multiple accounts. A huge waste of time and money later in weeding out dormant and multiple accounts seems inevitable


Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY), aimed at opening bank account for every household across the country, was implemented with brutal force following Prime Minister Narendra Modi personal push. Hapless bankers, working day and night, opened crores of bank accounts under the PMJDY. The question that everybody ignored and is being asked by banks is, who are the real beneficiaries of these new bank accounts and who will bear the cost of maintaining, de-duplication or shutting down dormant accounts? Interestingly, after launching the scheme, the government directed banks to undertake a survey to identity households who do not have a bank account. In fact, this exercise should have done before the hurried launch of Jan Dhan, say bankers.


There are endless anecdotes and internet jokes doing the rounds about how unbanked persons rushed to open accounts assuming it would immediately give them Rs5,000 in cash (overdraft) and the ability to encash Rs1 lakh in insurance. Some even opened four and five accounts in order to multiple the insurance cover, they believe will be available to their families. Harried bankers are ending up spending a lot of productive time explaining to people when and how these benefits will be available.


"Multiplicity of accounts in the name of same person is a serious operational risk. The scheme does not prevent opening of multiple accounts, i.e. opening the accounts in different banks to avail the benefits under the scheme. There is no mechanism to check such misuse," says an editorial from 'Officer's Voice', a periodical from Corporation Bank Officers' Organisation (CBOO).


The 'force' behind achieving the numbers was so powerful that bankers were directed to open account for anyone without even basic document required under know-your-customer (KYC) norms. In fact, RBI through a notification issued on 26 August 2014  asked banks to open small account for anyone without any officially valid documents by just submitting self-attested photograph. The validity for such accounts is 12 months, and the account holder can conduct transactions up to Rs1 lakh in this period only. Thereafter, he needs to submit documents required under the KYC norms to continue to operate the account.


However, the dilution in KYC norms while opening the accounts has created fear of accountability among bank officials in case of misuse of these accounts by unscrupulous elements. United Forum of Bank Unions (UBFU), an umbrella organisation of bank unions across the country, has demanded protection to bankers who have been implementing the PMJDY scheme.


According our interaction with field staff from some banks, their performance was monitored not only by their seniors or any government agency, but also by political party workers, especially Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Local office bearers of BJP were openly interacting with bankers and checking and reporting the progress of the PMJDY to their party bosses. The 'fear factor' in banker's mind about this ‘shadow monitoring’ was so large that some simply pleaded the party workers to help them in enrolling more people under the PMJDY.


The editorial from 'Officer's Voice', says, “The pressure on bank employees and officer to open accounts under the scheme is tremendous. The employees working in branched with allotted villages are required to work from 8am to 8pm on every Saturday till 26 January 2015 and conduct camps to enable people to open accounts under the scheme. The public sector banks (PSBs) are already under tremendous pressure due to acute staff shortage due to absence of recruitment during the past two decades and large scale retirement and resignations under voluntary retirement scheme (VRS).”


It said, "These multiple accounts could also be utilised by unscrupulous elements for money laundering. Unless there is a centralised database for all these accounts, this risk will remain.” It is in this context Dr Raghuram Rajan, Governor of Reserve Bank of India (RBI), cautioned bankers about running behind the number game instead of achieving the core objective of the scheme.


Earlier, the RBI launched the financial inclusion programme to provide financial services to people in unbanked areas. According to the RBI data, since March 2010, the number of zero balance accounts (no-frills account or Basic Savings Bank Deposit Account- BSBDA) in India has doubled to 103.2 million from 49.33 million in March 2010. There is cost attached for banks even to maintain record for no-frills account irrespective of whether there was any transaction conducted in the account or not.


Although the government has promised to compensate banks for the cost incurred in the PMJDY, the modalities are yet to be worked out. Even of the government compensates banks, it is the taxpayers who will end up being billed for this exercise. As per the cost or premium for the Rs30,000 life insurance for each account holder under the PMJDY, is concerned, there still no clarity. Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) has expressed inability to bear the cost. In this scenario, the government would pay the cost from the exchequer, ultimately from the taxpayers’ pocket.


There is no doubt that the future may hold several disruptive business models for banking many of which may be enabled by technology. While encouraging innovation, it is the role of the government and regulators to ensure that these do not bring ruin to the nation’s financial system. The PMJDY appears to be heading in that direction only.

Under the scheme, account holders were promised a free RuPay Card with accident insurance of Rs1 lakh, overdraft facility of Rs5,000 after successful operation of initial six months and a life cover up to Rs30,000 for those who would open account under the PMJDY before 26 January 2015. No wonder, people who have bank account also rushed to open the account, as the freebies offered were very attractive. The announcement that the additional benefits will be available to existing accounts came very late. This was the same warning issued by RBI governor Dr Raghuram Rajan for banks to be careful people may be tempted to open multiple accounts. Senior RBI officials have also been warning banks about ‘smurfing’ and ‘money muling’.


According to report from Mission Director and Additional Mission Director for the PMJDY, as on 2 October 2014, bankers across the country opened 5.29 crore accounts under the scheme. Out of this, 3.12 bank accounts were opened in rural and 2.17 in urban areas. So far, banks have issued 1.78 crore RuPay cards. The government has asked banks to increase their capacity to issue RuPay cards and clear the backlog 'quickly'. Again, the question is who will bear the cost of the RuPay card? Will the regular bank customers, who may be using savings account or depositors, be made to pay for this extravaganza through increased service charges?


When A Layman Wants to Open PMJDY Bank Account…

ग्राहक - जन धन में खाता खुलवाना है।
बैंकर - खुलवा लीजिये
ग्राहक - क्या झीरो बैलन्स में खुल रहा है ?
बैंकर(मन ही मन में - साले पता नहीं है क्या तुझे !! फिर, भी) हाँ जी फ्री में खुलवाओ
ग्राहक - इसमें सरकार कितना पैसा डालेगी ?
बैंकर - जी अभी तो कुछ पता नहीं।
ग्राहक - तो मैं ये खाता क्यूँ खुलवाऊं ?
बैंकरजी, मत खुलवाइये
ग्राहक - फिर भी सरकार कुछ तो देगी
बैंकर - आपको फ्री में एटीएम मिल जाएगा
ग्राहक - जब उसमे पैसे ही नहीं होंगे मैं एटीएम का क्या करूँगा?
बैंकर - पैसा डलवाओ भईया ! तुम्हारा खाता है
ग्राहक - मेरे पास पैसे होते तो मैं पहले खाता नहीं खुलवा लेता. तुम खाता खोल रहे हो तो तुम डालो पैसे
बैंकर - अरे भाई सरकार खुलवा रही है
ग्राहक - तो क्या ये सरकारी बैंक नहीं है?
बैंकर - अरे भाई, सरकार तुम्हारा इन्शुरन्स फ्री में कर रही है। पूरे एक लाख रूपए का
ग्राहक(खुश होते हुए) अच्छा तो ये एक लाख रूपए मुझे कब मिलेंगे ?
बैंकर(गुस्से में) जब आप मर जाओगे तब आपकी बीवी को मिलेंगे।
ग्राहक(चौंक कर), तो तुम लोग मुझे मारना चाहते हो ! और मेरी बीवी से तुम्हारा क्या मतलब है ?
बैंकर - अरे भईया, ये हम नहीं सरकार चाहती है कि...........
ग्राहक(बिच में बात काटते हुए) तुम्हारा मतलब सरकार मुझे मारना चाहती है?
बैंकर - अरे यार मुझे नहीं पता ! तुम्हे खाता खुलवाना है क्या ?
ग्राहक - नहीं पता का क्या मतलब मुझे पूरी बात बताओ
बैंकर - अरे अभी तो मुझे भी पूरी बात का नहीं पता .......मोदी जी ने कहा है खाता खोलने को, तो हम खोल रहे हैं
ग्राहक - अरे जब पता ही नहीं तो यहाँ क्यूँ बैठे हो ? (जन धन का पोस्टर दिखाते हुए ) अच्छा ये 5,000 रुपये का ओवरड्राफ्ट क्या है ?
बैंकर - मतलब तुम अपने खाते से 5000 रुपये निकाल सकते हो
ग्राहक -बीच में बात काटते हुए , ये हुई ना बात यह लो मेरा आधार कार्ड , 2 फोटो और निकालो 5000 रुपये
बैंकर - अरे भई, ये पैसे 6 महीने बाद मिलेंगे।
ग्राहक - तो क्या 6 महीने तुम मेरे पैसों से अपना बैंक चलाओगे?

बैंकर - भईया ये रूपए ही 6 महीने बाद आयेंगे
ग्राहक - झूठ मत बोलो.......पहले बोले कुछ नहीं मिलेगा ....फिर कहा एटीएम मिलेगा ....फिर बोले फ्री इन्शुरन्स मिलेगा .....फिर बोलते हो 5000 रुपया मिलेगा ....फिर कहते ही की नहीं मिलेगा ....तुम्हे कुछ पता भी है या नहीं ?
बैंकर (बेचारा) -आयो अम्मा, कानून की कसम ,भारत माता की कसम, सच कहता हूँ मोदी जी ने अभी कुछ नहीं बताया .....तुम चले जाओ ।खुदा की कसम , तुम जाओ ।मेरी सैलरी इतनी नहीं की मैं एक साथब्रेन हेमरेज और हार्ट अटैक" का इलाज करवा सकूँ,............???????? जाओ……
ग्राहक- जाता हूँ, लेकिन सबसे पहले तुम अपना खाता खुलवा लो ..तुम्हारी बीबी को जल्द इन्सुरेंस की पॉलिसी का लाभ मिलने वाला है!!

(Source not known. This is a message being circulated on social media sites and instant messengers)





2 years ago

Violating the MSME act 2006 for Corporate House by Honble Justice I.P. Mukerji of Calcutta High Court

Hon’ble Minister Ji,

Save SSI engg mfg unit from bankrupt need your Intervene to get our very long outstanding payment Rs.1597930/- from Mr.Umesh Choudhary MD of M/s Titagarh Wagon Ltd. He has stuck up our hard earn money since 2012 by misusing public money and violating MSME act 2006 with the help of Honble Justice I.P. Mukerji of Calcutta High Court and Advocate Mr. Dibanath Day and Mr Atanu Raychaudhary by over ruling the MSME law. They are very big Corporate and want to eat Small Scale Industry like us. Kindly help.

Gopalakrishnan T V

2 years ago

Is it repetition of Pujari's loan Mela of the 1980s ? In that case it is nothing but wastage of time, energy, money and erosion of image of the Indian Banking.It will do irrepairable damage to PSBs which are already struggling to survive because of the accummulation of non performing loans and lack of professionalism.Financial Inclusion is a function of inclusive growth of the economy and masses having bank account should be the way of life reflecting on the quality of life and living standards.

2 years ago

What's the cost of opening a bank account and recurring cost of maintaining one - as majority of these accounts will not provide any float to the banking system. Who will bear the cost - Banks and/or Tax Payers

Most of the people for whom these accounts are being opened won't know how to safeguard their accounts. Could fall into the trap of money launderers for a fee ....

Adventurous brokers could again use these accounts for IPO retail applications once the primary market picks up?

There would be enough ingenious ways of subverting the system to use these huge ocean of accounts providing anonymity to the perpetrator.

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