The market will remain volatile ahead of 3rd May when the RBI will announce its monetary policy for 2013-14. A weekly close below 5,800 will see Nifty head lower again
The Indian market closed the holiday-shortened week on a firm note on mixed earnings reports and hopes that the Reserve Bank of India, in its annual monetary policy to be announced on 3rd May, will reduce key rates on the back of a fall in headline inflation numbers. The coming week is expected to be an event-heavy week with continuation of corporate results, fiscal deficit data for March to be announced on Tuesday, RBI’s macro-economic review on Thursday and release of the annual monetary policy on Friday.
The Sensex settled 270 points (1.42%) higher at 19,287 and the Nifty closed the week at 5,871, a gain of 88 points (1.53%). The market will remain volatile ahead of 3rd May when the RBI will announce its monetary policy for 2013-14. A weekly close below 5,800 will see Nifty head lower again.
The market closed in the green on three of the four trading days in the week. The market closed with decent gains on Monday despite a fair deal of choppiness that was seen in the first half of the trading session. The market managed to close with a positive bias helped by a late recovery on Tuesday. The stock exchanges were closed Wednesday for a local holiday.
The benchmarks settled in the green on Thursday on gains in auto and healthcare stocks. Profit-taking in rate-sensitive sectors led the market lower on Friday.
BSE Auto (up 4%) and BSE Capital Goods (up 3%) were the top sectoral gainers while BSE IT (down 5%) and BSE TECk (down 2%) were the losers.
The top performers on the Sensex were Maruti Suzuki (up 10%), Coal India, HDFC (up 7% each), Bharti Airtel and Hero MotoCorp (up 6% each). The losers were led by Wipro (down 10%), Jindal Steel & Power (down 7%), TCS (down 6%), Hindustan Unilever and Infosys (down 4% each).
The key gainers on the Nifty were Maruti Suzuki (up 10%), HDFC, Kotak Mahindra Bank (up 7% each), Coal India and Bharti Airtel (up 6% each). HCL Technologies, JSPL (down 7% each), TCS (down 6%), DLF and HUL (down 4% each) were the major losers on the benchmark.
India is expected to have normal monsoon this year with overall rainfall of 98%, news that will bring smiles to millions of faces of farmers who depend on good rains for a bumper harvest, earth sciences and science and technology minister S Jaipal Reddy said on Friday. The minister added that there was 46% probability of a normal monsoon as against 27% probability of below normal rains this season.
Among corporates, UltraTech Cement disappointed the market with its fourth quarter net profit slipping 16% to Rs726 crore. Cairn India’s numbers lagged estimates as its Jan-March net profit rose 17.1% to Rs2,564 crore versus Rs 2,186 crore in the same quarter last year.
Non-banking finance company M&M Financial Services’ consolidated net profit grew by 42.9% year-on-year to Rs 346.4 crore in fourth quarter FY13, helped by exceptional gain. Foundry major Foseco India reported disappointing results as its Q4 net profit declined 16% to Rs5.81 crore.
HDFC Bank reported a 30% year-on-year rise in its fourth quarter net profit at Rs1,890 crore, aided by robust interest and other income. Axis Bank’s net profit for the quarter ended March 2013 grew 22% y-o-y to Rs1,555 crore, driven by the strong growth of its retail franchise.
Hero MotoCorp disappointed the market as its net profit net profit of Rs574.23 crore for the March quarter grew a meagre 5% y-o-y compared to Rs603.59 crore for the previous corresponding quarter. ICICI Bank on Friday reported a 21% year-on-year rise in its fourth quarter net profit at Rs2,304 crore on a standalone basis, driven by robust growth in net interest income.
In international news, US GDP (gross domestic product) rose at a 2.5% annual rate in the first quarter of 2013, lower than forecast, after a 0.4% fourth-quarter advance, according to government data. Besides, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index of consumer sentiment slid to 76.4 in April from 78.6 in a previous month.
“Quantitatively, monsoon season rainfall is likely to be 98% of the long period average with a model error of 5%,” earth sciences and science and technology minister S Jaipal Reddy said
India is expected to have normal monsoon this year with overall rainfall of 98%, news that will bring smiles to millions of faces of farmers who depend on good rains for a bumper harvest.
“I have very good news for farmers. As per Indian Meteorological Department’s long range forecast, this year South West monsoon is most likely to be normal,” earth sciences and science and technology minister S Jaipal Reddy said.
This is the fourth straight year that the government has forecast normal monsoon.
Reddy said there was 46% probability of a normal monsoon as against 27% probability of below normal rains this season.
“Quantitatively, monsoon season rainfall is likely to be 98% of the long period average (LPA) with a model error of 5%,” he said, in news that could pep up the spirit of corporate India too.
Monsoon is crucial for the kharif crops such as rice, soyabean, cotton and maize because almost 60% of the farm land in the country is rain-fed.
El Nino, an ocean current which influences the monsoon pattern in India, is also neutral and “not going to have any adverse affect on the monsoon circulation,” DG of IMD LS Rathore said.
Asked about the monsoon forecast for states facing drought like condition, Rathore said though they were not talking about the regional aspects of rainfall distribution as of now, “we are hopeful that monsoon is going to be normal over that part of India”.
He said they could take an exact call in June and added the date for onset of monsoon would be announced in mid-May.
South West monsoon steered the country away from a drought last year thanks to rainfall picking up in August and the first half of September. The country had received 92% rainfall, seven per cent less than the forecast.
Food minister KV Thomas had earlier also said South West monsoon is expected to be ‘satisfactory’, except in the southern tip of Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.
He noted that food production will be comfortably good in the coming year and wheat production will be as it was in the last year.
A close below 5,820 on the Nifty may bring about a downtrend
The market snapped its four-day winning streak and settled lower on profit booking in rate-sensitive sectors. A close below 5,820 on the Nifty may bring about a downtrend. The National Stock Exchange (NSE) reported a lower volume of 54.83 crore shares and advance-decline ratio of 499:817.
The Indian market opened lower after four straight days of gains on profit booking in banking and auto sectors. Markets in Asia were trading with minor gains in morning trade as cautiousness prevailed ahead of an announcement from the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting. US stocks rose in overnight trade on better-than-expected corporate earnings and reports of a drop in weekly jobless claims.
The Nifty opened 16 points lower at 5,900 and the Sensex started off at 19,376, down 31 points from its previous close. The benchmarks hit their intraday highs in initial trade itself and edged lower as trade progressed. The Nifty rose to 5,907 and the Sensex stood at 19,385 at their respective highs.
The market was range-bound in the negative terrain as traders resorted to profit taking after recent gains. A weak opening of the European markets led the benchmarks lower in noon trade.
Meanwhile, Maruti Suzuki, the country’s largest passenger car maker’s Q4 results beat market expectations which saw the BSE Auto index emerging as the top sectoral gainer in noon trade. Maruti Q4 net profit soared 79.4% at Rs1,147.5 crore, net sales were up 9.4% at Rs12,566.6 crore.
Better-than expected results from Maruti Suzuki and in-line numbers from ICICI Bank saw the market bouncing back in post-noon trade. However, selling pressure once again pulled the indices lower to touch their intraday lows. At the lows, the Nifty stood at 5,861 and the Sensex fell to 19,250.
The market snapped its four-day winning streak and settled marginally off the lows of the day. The Nifty fell 45 points (0.76%) to 5,871 and the Sensex declined 120 points (0.62%) to finish the session at 19,287.
Among the broader indices, the BSE Mid-cap index declined 0.64% and the BSE Small-cap index fell 0.54%.
BSE Auto (up 0.84%) and BSE Capital Goods (up 0.29%) were the only gainers in the sectoral space. The main losers were BSE Realty (down 2.20%); BSE Oil & Gas (down 1.61%); BSE IT (down 1.51%); BSE Bankex (down .39%) and BSE Metal (down 1.38%).
Eleven of the 30 stocks on the Sensex closed in the positive. The chief gainers were Maruti Suzuki (up 5.26%); Bharti Airtel (up 4.55%); Bajaj Auto (up 3.09%); GAIL India (up 1.78%) and Larsen & Toubro (up 1.52%). The top losers were Jindal Steel & Power (down 4.29%); Reliance Industries (down 3.19%); ICICI Bank (down 2.82%); Hindustan Unilever (down 2.70%); Tata Steel (down 2.46%) and TCS (down 2.42%).
The top two A Group gainers on the BSE were—LIC Housing Finance (up 6.31%) and Sobha Developers (up 5.55%).
The top two A Group losers on the BSE were—Unitech (down 6.41%) and HDIL (down 5.86%).
The top two B Group gainers on the BSE were—Padmalaya Telefilms (up 20%) and Karur KCP Packagings (up 19.96%).
The top two B Group losers on the BSE were—Genera Agri Corp (down 20%) and Dhanada Corporation (down 19.81%).
Of the 50 stocks on the Nifty, 15 ended in the green. The key gainers were Maruti Suzuki (up 5.22%); Bharti Airtel (up 4.99%); Bajaj Auto (up 3.37%); GAIL India (up 1.77%) and HDFC (up 1.40%). The main losers were HCL Technologies (down 5.21%); JSPL (down 4.77%); RIL (down 3.17%); HUL and ICICI Bank (down 2.99% each).
Markets in Asia fluctuated between gains and losses on mixed results from corporates and the Bank of Japan abstaining from making any new commitment in its policy meeting today.
The Hang Seng gained 0.65%; KLSE Composite rose 0.29%; Straits Times advanced 0.33% and Taiwan Weighed was flat with a positive bias. Among the losers, the Shanghai Composite dropped 0.97%; the Jakarta Composite fell 0.32%; the Nikkei lost 0.30% and the Seoul Composite settled 0.36% lower.
At the time of writing, the key European markets were down between 0.50% and 0.97% as corporate results disappointed investors. At the same time, US stock futures were trading in the negative.
Back home, foreign institutional investors were net buyers of shares aggregating Rs1,449.70 crore on Thursday while domestic institutional investors were net sellers of stocks amounting to Rs1,269.43 crore.
Lupin Pharmaceuticals Inc, the subsidiary of the Mumbai-based Lupin has received final approval for its Pirmella Tablets (Norethindrone and Ethinyl Estradiol Tablets) from the United States Food and Drugs Administration (US FDA) to market a generic version of Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc.’s Ortho-Novum Tablets. These tablets are indicated for the prevention of pregnancy. The stock fell 0.69% to close at Rs686.60 on the NSE.
IL&FS Engineering and Construction Company has secured a Rs 27.84-crore project from Haryana Vidyut Prasaran Nigam. The contract is for design, supply and setting up of two new 132 KV substations and five 132 KV extension bays on a turnkey basis in Sonipat district of Haryana. The stock ended unchanged at Rs43.40 on the NSE.