Nifty will try to rally but is eventually headed lower
We had mentioned in Tuesday’s closing report that CNX Nifty may find it difficult to head higher and a close below 8,400 in Nifty may trigger a short-term decline. In the morning session the index witnessed a weak move. In the noon session the benchmark made a gradual decline.
S&P BSE Sensex opened at 28,194 while Nifty opened at 8,441. Sensex moved lower to 27,964 after hitting a high at 28,294 while Nifty moved from the level of 8,456 to 8,361. Sensex closed at 28,033 (down 130 points or 0.46%) while Nifty closed at 8,382 (down 44 points or 0.52%). NSE recorded a volume of 95.39 crore shares. India VIX rose 1.99% to close at 14.3450.
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) today, 19 November 2014, said the Indian economy is showing signs of a turnaround. New reforms, some of which are included in the package presented by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, need to be implemented to put the country on a path to strong, sustainable and inclusive growth, according to the latest OECD Economic Survey of India. According to the survey, India's GDP should grow by more than 6.5% annually in the coming years.
Moody's revised its outlook on India's corporate sector to stable from negative on expectations of economic recovery and enhanced access to global capital markets.
The top four gainers in ‘A’ group on the BSE were SRF (9.24%), Ajanta Pharma (8.53%), Amara Raja (7.90%) and Manappuram Finance (6.71%) were the top four gainers.
For the third consecutive session Rasoya Protein hit a new 52-week low. The stock (9.89%) was the top loser in ‘A’ group on the BSE.
Dr Reddy's Lab (2.45%) was the top gainer in the Sensex 30 pack. The stock hit its 52-week high today. It was in the news for the surprise inspection conducted by USFDA at its Vizag plant.
Sesa Sterlite (2.75%) was among the top two losers in Sensex 30 stock. The stock was recently in the news for taking up a Rs2,500-crore expansion at its copper smelter plant in Tuticorin.
Asian indices showed mixed performance. Taiwan Weighted (1.18%) was the top gainer while Hang Seng (0.66%) was the top loser.
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe told ruling party leaders that he will delay an unpopular sales tax rise and call a snap election.
German economic sentiment beat expectations. ZEW Centre for Economic Research reported that its German economic sentiment index rose by 15.1 points to a four-month high of 11.5 this month from October's reading of -3.6. The index of euro zone economic sentiment increased to 11.0 in October from 4.1 in September, above expectations for an increase to 4.3.
On Tuesday, US indices closed in the green. European Futures were showing mixed trading while US Futures were trading flat.
According to the draft guidelines, reserve price will be determined before 22nd December, while bidding fees will be based on geological reserves of coal mines
The Indian government has released draft guidelines for allocation of 74 coal blocks. Under the draft rules, issued by the Ministry of Coal, the Centre plans to allow a successful bidder of coal mines to use coal from the mine allocated to it for any its other plant after prior intimation the government.
The Centre government plans to conduct two-stage bidding under the Coal Mines Special Provisions Ordinance. Qualified bidder in stage one would be asked to put in financial bid under an electronic auctioning process. The bidding would be open to specified end use projects in power, steel and iron, and cement sectors.
"The floor, reserve price metrics being worked out currently by authorities," Coal Secretary Anil Swarup said, adding that idea is to keep a lid on tariff rather than adopt a revenue maximisation approach. The reserve price will be determined before 22nd December, while the bidding fees will be based on geological reserves of coal mines, he added said.
The due date for coal auction is 11 February 2015. The Ministry hopes to complete technical process of allotment by 3rd March and issue letter of award by 16 March 2015.
The tender documents, which are to be issued later, would specify the technical and financial qualification of participants in the auction.
The Supreme Court had in September cancelled 214 coal blocks allocated since 1993, saying the blocks had been given out in an ad-hoc and casual manner.
The NDA government moved an ordinance late in October enabling auctions of some of these blocks. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said at the time that an enabling provision would be made later to introduce commercial mining, which would open up the sector to mining companies selling coal to users. However, introduction of commercial mining will require changes to the Coal Mining Nationalisation Act, 1973.
The Modi government launched Jeevan Praman, an Aadhaar-based digital life certificate for pensioners. But who will bear the cost of biometric reading device required to submit pensioner’s data?
Last week, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched Jeevan Praman, a digital life certificate for pensioners, which could eventually benefit over a crore pensioners in the country. However, since this is based on Aadhaar number, several senior citizens may not find it useful because of issues related with registration of the unique identification number and their changing biometrics due to age. But more about it later.
According to the government release, the proposed digital certification will do away with the requirement of a pensioner having to submit a physical life certificate in November each year, in order to ensure continuity of pension being credited into his account. At present, all pensioners have to either personally present themselves before the pension disbursing agency, or submit a life certificate issued by authorities specified by the Central Pension Accounting Office (CPAO).
The Department of Electronics and IT has developed a software application, which will enable the recording of the pensioners' Aadhaar number and biometric details from their mobile device or computer, by plugging in a biometric reading device. Key details of the pensioner, including date, time, and biometric information will be uploaded to a central database on real-time basis, ultimately enabling the pension disbursing agency to access a digital life certificate. This will conclusively establish that the pensioner was alive at the time of authentication, says the release from the government.
Read some lines from the above statement again, especially, "...by plugging in a biometric reading device." This exactly is the issue with Jeevan Praman certificate. From where and how the pensioner would get this biometric device? And who will bear the cost?
The government release states that the software application system will be made available to pensioners and other stakeholders on a large scale at no extra cost and it can be operated on a personal computer or a smartphone, along with an inexpensive biometric reading device.
This exactly is the same issue for which Moneylife Foundation and several like-minded non-governmental organisations (NGOs) fought with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for biometric-based ATMs . Luckily, some sense prevailed and the central bank allowed banks to adopt either Euro pay MasterCard Visa (EMV) chip and Pin technology or Aadhaar acceptance as additional factor of authentication for securing the card present payment infrastructure.
Imagine, if cash-rich banks found it difficult to install bio-metric enabled ATMs due to cost, then how would the pensioners get the 'inexpensive biometric reading device'? So far, UIDAI has made no mention of who will bear the cost of biometric POS readers (according to a senior banker, they will cost Rs8,000 each).
Moreover, biometric (fingerprint) identification is not fool proof. It is well known that fingerprints and irises can be faked, and one way to fix that problem could be to use fingerprint readers that detect live fingerprints, and iris readers that detect live irises.
According to JT D'Souza, who analysed the pilot study conducted by the Unique Identification Authority of India (UIDAI), given the well-known lacunae in our infrastructure and massive demographics, biometrics as an ID will be a guaranteed failure and result in denial of service. He said, "The sum of false acceptance rate and false rejection rate (EER) reveals only part of the problem, which is rejection or acceptance within a short duration of enrolment. The bigger problem is ageing, including health and environment factors, which causes sufficient change to make biometrics completely unusable and requires very frequent re-enrolment."
They say when you give a hammer to a blacksmith he/she will only think in terms of nailing something. The only difference is that here it is the human body which is being nailed. If you only have a hammer, you tend to see every problem as a nail. If biometric technologies are at hand, some people under the influence of technology tend to see every problem as an identification problem.
A UIDAI paper states, “Of the 3 modes, fingerprint biometric happens to be the most mature biometric technology in terms of usage, extraction/matching algorithms, standardisation as well as availability of various types of fingerprint capture devices. Iris authentication is a fast emerging technology which can further improve Aadhaar Authentication accuracy and be more inclusive.”
Such absolute faith in biometric technology is based on a misplaced assumption that are parts of human body that does not age, wither and decay with the passage of time. Basic research on whether or not unique biological characteristics of human beings is reliable under all circumstances of life is largely conspicuous by its absence in India and even elsewhere.
Several senior citizens could not register themselves for the Aadhaar due to lack of clear fingerprints. Even, though they had registered, how will the biometric reader identify the person considering ageing may blur fingerprints further? In addition, there are risks like family members taking undue advantage of the situation and may manipulate the digital updating. Who and how these issues would be addressed are to be seen. However, for the time being, advice to pensioners is to go the bank or pension disbursing agency and submit the proof that you are alive without any further delay. Remember, it is November, when pensioners must submit the proof of life to continue receive pension for next one year.