National solar mission targets ‘challenging and unclear’

According to a report by Pune-based energy group Prayas, the targets set by the National Solar Mission for 2022 are ‘unclear and challenging’ in comparison to the MNRE targets for 2009

The Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (NSM) was launched in January this year, to meet India’s power requirement and to address environment issues involved in power generation. However, according to a report released by a Pune-based energy group named Prayas, the targets set by the Mission are “unclear and challenging.”

Prayas Energy group, a Pune-based non-government organisation (NGO) actively working in the energy segment since 1990, recently released its report named ‘Need to Realign India’s National Solar Mission’. In the report, Prayas highlights that the NSM’s targets set for 2022 will be challenging given the abysmal solar power capacity that India was able to produce till 2009.

NSM has set 20 million solar lighting systems as its target for 2022 while India had 1.3 million solar lighting systems in 2009.

The report stated, “Achieving the grid-connected and off-grid solar capacity targets will be an enormous challenge given that even annual targets of NSM are several times more than the total installed capacity till 2009.”

NSM targets to achieve 20GW of grid-connected installed solar capacity and 2GW of off-grid distributed solar plants by the end of the 12th Five Year plan in 2022. As an annual target, NSM aims to achieve 331MW of grid-connected solar power and 66MW of off-grid solar power in Phase I (between 2010- 2013). The Indian government has sanctioned targets for Phase I, while the targets for Phase II (between 2013- 2017) and Phase III (between 2013- 2017) are to be fixed based on the achievements during Phase I, decline in solar energy prices and availability of international finance.

According to the solar power statistics for 2009 from the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE), grid-connected solar power capacity was 6MW and off-grid solar power capacity was 2.4MW. The report released by Prayas pointed out that the NSM targets are quite challenging to achieve when compared to India’s 2009 solar power capacity.

In the solar-lighting segment alone, the target is hard to achieve. In order to achieve 20 million solar lighting systems, NSM would have to provide 4,250 systems every day till 2022. More details at:
(see here)



S J Vijay

7 years ago

Let Prayas take the capacity of Solar goods manufacturing that was set up in China and Taiwan and also take note of the time frame in which they did it.

Please see Google for Paula Mint's article Black Swan Landing. It has the above data.

It is very very possible.
But, for that to happen, we must believe in the first place.

Only then can we do the "prayas"

Seven up-weeks in a row? There’s a 77% chance of it

There’s a high probability that the market rally will continue this week as well

The Sensex has been on a rally for six consecutive weeks now. From 15,915 on 6 February 2010, it has rallied to a high of 17,601 for the week ending 19th March.

The question that comes to investors’ minds is, how long will this rally continue? Will the seventh week also be an up-week?

A study by Moneylife has checked out the chances of the market continuing in the same direction for seven weeks once it has been on a rally for the previous six consecutive weeks. The study is based on weekly market data from 5 January 1990. Over these 21 years, there were 22 stretches when the Sensex was positive for six consecutive weeks. Interestingly, out of these 22 times, on 17 occasions, the Sensex has been up in the next week also. That is a high rate of 77% for the trend continuing in the same direction. This has a very strong statistical significance. It indicates a high probability that the rally will continue this week as well.

That’s encouraging for the bulls who still are betting big on the market. If that is so, today’s 167-point decline and a possible soft opening tomorrow morning will just be the decline investors have been waiting for to get into the market. Indeed, out of the 16 times the market has ended on a positive note for seven consecutive weeks, it has continued to rally for the eighth week as well. We will wait and see how the rally progresses. 


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