Mumbai Police Commissioner Satya Pal Singh quits; may join BJP

Satya Pal Singh, who was due to retire next year, is reportedly considering contesting the upcoming Lok Sabha polls either from Mumbai or Uttar Pradesh, his native state

Mumbai Police Commissioner Satya Pal Singh has resigned from service amidst reports that he was keen on contesting the Lok Sabha polls. While there are speculations that he may join either the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) or Aam Admi Party (AAP), Singh, in an interview to ABP News, has praised Narendra Modi.


On Thursday night, the 1980-batch officer from the Indian Police Service (IPS) submitted his resignation letter to the Maharashtra Home Ministry, which forwarded it to the chief minister's Office for acceptance.


Singh, who was due to retire next year, is reportedly considering contesting the upcoming Lok Sabha polls either from Mumbai or Uttar Pradesh, his native state.


There was no confirmation from Singh on his political foray but according to some reports, he has offers from BJP as well as Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP.


Shriram City Union Finance Q3 net profit up 15% to Rs129 crore

During the December quarter, Shriram City Union Finance reported higher net profit to Rs129 crore due on healthy growth in its net interest income

Shriram City Union Finance Ltd (Shriram City), the non-banking financial company (NBFC) of Shriram group, said its third quarter net profit grew 15% due to increase in its net interest income (NII).

For the quarter to end-December, Shriram City said, its net profit rose to Rs129.09 crore from Rs112.52 crore, despite its total revenues, including interest income, declining 2% to Rs796.24 crore from Rs813.54 crore, same period last year.

Shriram City said its December quarter NII increased 13% to Rs479.67 crore from Rs424.96 crore, a year ago.

December quarter net interest margin (NIM) of Shriram city stood at 12.35% as compared to 11.59% of same period last year.

The lender said during the December quarter, its finance cost reduced 15% to Rs332.39 crore compared with Rs388.78 crore a year ago period.

As on 31 December 2013, Shriram City’s gross non-performing assets (GNPA) stood at 2.51% compared with 1.57% same period last year. The capital adequacy ratio stood at 24.26% as on 31 December 2013.

In December, Shriram City made a public issue of secured non-convertible debentures (NCDs) to raise Rs100 crore.

Shriram City paid an interim dividend of Rs4 per equity share during November.

At 3.52 Friday, Shriram City was trading 1.2% up at Rs982 on the BSE, while the 30-share benchmark was flat at 20,498.

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Achieving 6% CPI won’t be child’s play for RBI

Since the RBI and the government do not seem to be working in tandem, the task of inflation control is not going to be easy, especially for governor Raghuram Rajan

It won’t be an exaggeration to say that the latest monetary policy review of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was completely dominated by the Dr Urjit Patel Committee report. The repo rate hike of 25 basis points (bps) was completely against market expectation and almost all the experts were taken aback by this move of the RBI. While acknowledging that the consumer price index (CPI) number had gone down and wholesale price index (WPI) had also fallen, the regulator went on to add, “While retail inflation measured by the CPI declined significantly on account of the anticipated disinflation in vegetable and fruit prices, it remains elevated at close to double digits. Moreover, inflation excluding food and fuel has also been high, especially in respect of services, indicative of wage pressures and other second round effects. In terms of the WPI, headline inflation eased to a four-month low with the sharp decline in vegetable and fruit prices”.

It is apparent that there was no serious cause of concern on inflation front whether it is CPI data or now abandoned WPI data. CPI data at double digit or close to double digit has prevailed in India for long time and policy rates have been moving and down irrespective of this. So why this new found love for reigning CPI based inflation by RBI? The answer lies in the Urjit Patel Committee report. The RBI was candid enough to accept in the monetary policy review document. It said, “The Dr Urjit Patel Committee has indicated a ‘glide path’ for disinflation that sets an objective of below 8% CPI inflation by January 2015 and below 6% CPI inflation by January 2016. The Reserve Bank’s baseline projections set out in the accompanying Review of Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments for Q3 of 2013-14 indicate that over the ensuing 12-month horizon, and with the current policy stance, there are upside risks to the central forecast of 8%. An increase in the policy rate will not only be consistent with the guidance given in the Mid-Quarter Review but also will set the economy securely on the recommended disinflationary path”.

It is indeed heartening to note that the Committee has set a target of 6% CPI data by January 2016 and the regulator has started working on it in a way. But will it be possible to achieve 6% CPI that sounds too good to be true. There are various factors which may make achievement of the inflation number difficult. Here are some of those factors:

Chicken and the egg dilemma

For inflation to come down, some of the contributing factors need to be controlled. For instance, minimum support price (MSP) of food grains, and other commercial crops have been increasing over the years. Will the union government support RBI by ensuring that the prices are not hiked steeply from time to time as a populist measure? Similarly, the government has substantial control on rural wages. Will it take steps to ensure that rural wages are hiked in a reasonable way? The main issue what will be controlled first, inflation or contributing factors to the inflation. While the government may think that let the inflation come down first before it initiates steps to reduce wage hikes and support price hike, RBI will expect contributing factors to the inflation to be tamed first.

There is also threat from private sector to the inflation. If private sector continues to see wage hike in double digit, this will further add to the woes of the regulator.

Fiscal profligacy arising out of populism

This is the main villain that makes the task of inflation control herculean. Just on Thursday, the government hiked subsidised LPG quota from nine to 12. This is expected to add a burden of Rs5,000 crore on the government. Obviously this will add to fiscal deficit. While there can be a debate on whether it is a right step or wrong one, from fiscal deficit purpose this is unhealthy. When the new government comes to power, we may see various populist measures, which will add to fiscal deficit making the job of regulator even difficult. Since the RBI and the government do not seem to be working in tandem, the task of inflation control is not going to be easy.

International factors

This is something RBI cannot control at all. Factors such as increase in crude prices and depreciation of Indian rupee due to outflow from the country is beyond the control of RBI. We have seen helplessness of the regulator when rupee fell and went to almost Rs69 level against the US dollar. In the years to come, these factors may continue to have an impact on inflation and derail the targets, which RBI is planning to achieve.

By hiking rates, the RBI may think that monetary policy will help curb the inflation, fact remains that monetary policy never works in isolation. While RBI may continue to keep rates hike to curb inflation, it is very much possible that the inflation remains high. It is good time to have a re-look at inflation versus rate hike trade off.

(Vivek Sharma has worked for 17 years in the stock market, debt market and banking. He is a post graduate in Economics and MBA in Finance. He writes on personal finance and economics and is invited as an expert on personal finance shows.)



Yerram Raju Behara

3 years ago

If many had not expected the rate rise it is wishful thinking. If one reads Raghuram Rajan's address at the Delhi Economic Conclave (Dec 11, 2013) carefully, he or she would have guessed this rise. 1)"Not all the measures to reduce fiscal deficit are of high quality; (ii) We need better regulation..All too often, we have too much regulation on the books and too little in practice; (iii)We need a better financial system, which will finance the needed infrastructure and the expansion of every producer ranging from kiranashop owner to the industrialist.(Of course, the kiranashop does not produce but only a service provider; (iv) Clarifying and strengthening the monetary policy framework; (v) No single data point or number will determine our next move." The near 10percent consumer price index is enough for triggering the now contended rate rise of a mere 0.25%. There is also enough evidence in the past when there were frequent rate rises that they did not have any impact on either containing inflation or decelerating growth. There are externalities that continue to play truant more now than earlier due to the QE of the US and the rising unemployment curve in the country. it is the organized sector wages that are a cause for worry as their capacity to influence the economy is more. With manufacturing sector showing negative growth, its capacity to expand wages has significantly dwindled. The growth in the farm sector and the fresh farm produce arrivals into happens at this point of time every year. Second, watch the history of price movements in January to March during the last ten years all official indices, they will be looking southwards (manipulated as per the dictates of the FM would show a decline so that it would be easier for the FM to conform to his fiscal deficit target). I for one expected a rise in the basic rate and not all. Market responses are not restricted to just this rate rise but due to a number of other factors.

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