Stocks
Midfield IPO appears expensive

While there are no listed stocks that are in the same business, Midfield's pre-issue P/E of 12.8 (at the lower band) is high

Hyderabad-based Midfield Industries Ltd, a manufacturer and marketer of industrial packaging consumables plans to hit the market on today, 19th July 2010 with its Initial Public Offering. The issue closes on 21 July 2010.

The company is issuing 45 lakh shares at a price band of Rs126-Rs133 per share and plans to raise Rs56.70-Rs59.85 crore depending on the price discovery. The company will use the money for capacity expansion at the existing facilities, to set up new facilities, and to enhance its working capital needs. TIL currently exports to USA, UK, Canada, South Africa, Australia and Middle East countries. Its exports contributed just 3.33% to its total revenues as on 31st March 2010. MIL reported a net profit of Rs8.1 crore on a total income of Rs90 crore in the year ended 31 March 2010. As on 31st March 2010, its earnings per share (EPS) stood at 9.78.  It had a total debt of Rs42.32 crore (as on 31st March 2010) and its debt to equity ratio stands was 1.25: 1. 

Steel strapping which is its flagship product has contributed 65.21% of its total sales during the financial year FY09-10. Interestingly, TIL has defaulted on a loan of Rs3.50 crore taken from SE Investments Ltd and is yet to pay Rs1.06 crore back.

Based on its FY10 EPS of Rs9.78, MIL’s IPO price is carries a P/E of 12.88 on the lower side of the band and 13.60 at the upper band. Based on the post-issue diluted basis, the P/E comes to 20-21. Brickwork Ratings (BWR) has assigned an IPO ‘Grade 2’ to Midfield Industries Ltd IPO indicating 'below average fundamentals'. Atherstone Capital Markets Ltd is the sole lead book running manager to the issue.

The company provides packaging consumables like high tensile steel strapping in various dimensions and strengths, different seals for different applications, collated nails & corner boards being used for general and the end of line packaging of goods to various industries. Currently MIL caters to industries like steel, aluminum, glass, copper, paper, automobile, white goods and refractory.

MIL operates in a niche segment and has no listed competitive peers.  The business is humdrum and there are plenty of players in the unorganised sector selling the same stuff. It competes with the multi national firm ITW Signode India Ltd in operational contracts space. There can be a possibility of its clients preferring polyester strapping over metal strapping. The company has plans to foray in manufacturing of polyester strapping, (poly-propylene) PP strapping, VCI paper and stretch film.

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COMMENTS

k a prasanna

6 years ago

IPO – SKS MICRO FINANCE LIMITED- UNREALISTIC PREMIUM - DIFFICULT TO SEE LISTING GAINS – AVOID.


The company has fixed the price band at Rs 850-985 for the IPO, which is slated to open on 28-07-10. The company is proposing to issue1, 67,91,579 Equity Shares of Rs. 10 FV, including the offer for sale of 93,46,256 shares.

The company earned a net profit of Rs 173.95cr for FY10. On the post issue capital of Rs 71.97cr, the EPS comes to around Rs20/- At the upper price band, the company is demanding a valuation of almost 50 times its FY 10 earnings. For an NBFC, which has limited period of history and no dividend track record, the valuation is very very much stressed.

APART FROM IRRATIONAL PRICING, CONSIDER THE FOLLOWING BEFORE TAKING THE INVESTMENT DECISION:


1. Unethical business: The Company is charging interest around 40% p.a. on money lent to the poor and down trodden.

2. Unsustainable business model: The business model will not sustain in the long -run.

3. No commitment from the promoters: SKS’s founder and chairman sold his shares to Tree Line Asia Master Fund (Singapore) Pte for $12.9 million in Feb. this year.

4. Look at the salary of top executives:

Suresh Gurumani - Managing Director of the Company. The total monthly salary is Rs. 12, 50,000. In addition to the above, Mr. Suresh Gurumani was paid onetime bonus of Rs. 10,000,000, in April 2009.

Dr. Vikram Akula - chairman Rs 70.00 lacs p.a. In addition, ESOP amounting to Rs10.97lacs, totaling Rs 1.79cr p.a.
The irony is they are trying to eradicate poverty.

5. Mohd. Yunus says - “I get very worried when investment funds come to microfinance,” said the founder of Bangladesh’s Grameen Bank, which pioneered the industry by giving small loans to rural women to start their own businesses. “I don’t want to excite businessmen that there is profit to be made here,”


6. The IPO will make the promoters, and other venture capitalists including some P/E funds that have stakes in these companies’ millionaires. The hapless borrowers continue to live in abject poverty.

7. Government /RBI will not be mute spectators to the exploitation.
They are bound to regulate the segment. This will make the business un- attractive.


8. Financial inclusion initiatives taken by the public sector banks/government will marginalize the micro finance business. Do not buy the theories put forth by the BRLMs to sell the issue.

9. The average cost of acquisition of shares by promoters is less than Rs50/-

10. The Andhra Pradesh government has constituted district level ‘Task Force Committees’ (TFCs) to investigate the unethical practices of micro finance institutions in the state. The committees were constituted after the government received many complaints against the loan shark practices adopted by some leading MFI’s of the state.

RECOMMENDATIONS: CLEAR NO.

READ FULL ARTICLE IN - FIRST CHOICEIPOANALYSIS.COM

k a prasanna

6 years ago

TEN REASONS WHY ONE SHOULD NOT INVEST IN SKS MICRO FINANCE IPO



1. Unethical business: The Company is charging interest around 40% p.a. on money lent to the poor and down trodden.


2. Unsustainable business model: The business model will not sustain in the long -run.


3. No commitment from the promoters: SKS’s founder and chairman sold his shares to Tree Line Asia Master Fund (Singapore) Pte for $12.9 million in Feb. this year.


4. Look at the salary of top executives :

Suresh Gurumani - Managing Director of the Company. The total monthly salary is Rs. 12, 50,000. In addition to the above, Mr. Suresh Gurumani was paid onetime bonus of Rs. 10,000,000, in April 2009.

Dr. Vikram Akula - chairman Rs 70.00 lacs p.a. In addition, ESOP amounting to Rs10.97lacs, totaling Rs 1.79cr p.a.


5. Mohd. Yunus says - “I get very worried when investment funds come to microfinance,” said the founder of Bangladesh’s Grameen Bank, which pioneered the industry by giving small loans to rural women to start their own businesses. “I don’t want to excite businessmen that there is profit to be made here,”


6. The IPO will make the promoters, and other venture capitalists including some P/E funds that have stakes in these companies’ millionaires. The hapless borrowers continue to live in abject poverty.

7. Government /RBI will not be mute spectators to the exploitation.
They are bound to regulate the segment. This will make the business un- attractive.


8. Financial inclusion initiatives taken by the public sector banks will marginalize the micro finance business. Do not buy the theories put forth by the BRLMs to sell the issue.




9. The average cost of acquisition of shares by promoters is less than Rs50/-The Company has limited period of history and no dividend payment record.


10. The Andhra Pradesh government has constituted district level ‘Task Force Committees’ (TFCs) to investigate the unethical practices of micro finance institutions in the state. The committees were constituted after the government received many complaints against the loan shark practices adopted by some leading MFI’s of the state.



k a prasanna

6 years ago

The pricing is too much stressed. Avoid.

Gas pipeline projects get a big boost

Finally, the regulatory rigmaroles in the gas space should be soon resolved—with positive ramifications for gas distribution and transmission companies

The gas regulatory board has got real teeth now that Section 16 of the PNGRB Act of 2006 has been notified with effect from 15th July. This is a big step towards resolving the regulatory rigmaroles in the gas space and will be positive for gas distribution and transmission companies. This will also push forward badly needed investments in this space.

PNGRB (the Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board) was formed in
October 2007 but it did not have the authority to issue distribution rights to companies retailing CNG for automobiles and piped cooking gas to households because for some peculiar reason, the Act was notified without Section 16 which gave PNGRB the right to call for bids. Despite this, PNGRB conducted two rounds of bidding for city gas distribution (CGD) rights. GAIL Gas, a wholly-owned subsidiary of GAIL India won the first round - it got five cities - while Bhagyanagar Gas, a 50:50 JV of GAIL and Hindustan Petroleum Corp got Kakinada. When PNGRB called for the second round of bidding for seven cities, including Ghaziabad, Allahabad and Chandigarh, Indraprastha Gas (IGL) challenged its right (in the Delhi High Court) to issue licenses without Section 16 being notified, and the court upheld the challenge. This caused the auction process to come to a grinding halt.

IGL objected mainly because it had already been given the mandate by the Environment Prevention & Control Authority, a central government entity, to establish a CGD network in Ghaziabad before the PNGRB Act. Not surprisingly, after the government authorised IGL to continue developing Ghaziabad, its share price ran up from Rs240 to Rs293 -it is close to an all-time high now.

It is possible that the two rounds that PNGRB has already conducted will get implicit approval and we might see more than 10 cities ready to set up gas distribution networks very soon. Earlier, the PNGRB apparently had plans to develop CGD network in 330 additional cities, by putting 8-10 cities up for auction each month over the next two to three years. With more than two years of sluggish activity, this pace seems ambitious. But who knows what the PNGRB can achieve now that its hands have been unshackled?

The fact is all gas stocks are likely to roll and pitch in the wake of PNGRB getting authority under Section 16. In the pyramid of beneficiaries, the gas distribution companies such as IGL and Gujarat Gas will be at the top. These would be followed by gas transmission companies such as GAIL and GSPL. At the third tier will be gas supply companies such as RIL and Petronet LNG.

Recently, following the rise in administered price of gas, IGL demonstrated its pricing power by passing on the full increase to customers without any drop in volume. Therefore, there is no doubt that demand for CNG is strong (it results in 50% savings on an average over diesel and petrol). With the cut in LPG subsidy recently, even PNG will be more attractive to users - earlier the advantage was only about 3%. IGL has a strong presence in Delhi and it will be fairly easy for the company to expand in the north. Gujarat Gas is spread over Ahmedabad, Surat, Bharuch, and Valsad. However, with the freeing of distribution rights, it will be able to bid for more cities in western India.

GAIL is the largest gas transmission and distribution company in India. Its arterial HBJ pipeline is the country's largest. It is spending Rs340 billion over 4-5 years on pipelines and an assured RoCE (Return on Capital Employed) on these investments reduces risks and also provides visibility, not to mention leads to upgrades in valuation. Fast-paced gas distribution licenses will undoubtedly benefit GAIL. It will also benefit directly by bidding for city gas distribution projects through its wholly-owned subsidiary GAIL Gas. GSPL, which has 1,573 km of gas pipeline in operation from Hazira-Vadodara-Ahmedabad-Kalol-Himmatnagar-Mehsana-Rajkot-Morbi-Anjar-Jamnagar, transports more than 35 MMSCMD of gas and has 450 km of gas pipeline under execution.

Both GAIL and GSPL have shown improvement in their volumes after the supply of RIL's gas began. With more cities ready to supply CNG, volume estimates for both GAIL and GSPL should be revised upwards. Gas suppliers such as RIL and Petronet LNG can also benefit, but it depends purely on their ability to ramp up supply to match demand and also in Petronet LNG's case, to supply at a reasonable price (since Petronet is a re-gasification company, its prices fluctuate with spot rates, even though it has long-term contracts with gas suppliers abroad). Brokers have been telling their institutional clients today that bidding for six pipelines (6,000km) which was postponed should now begin -in fact, they believe the process will kick-start and will be completed in the next few weeks.

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COMMENTS

senthil s

6 years ago

nothing

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