Vishnu Swaminathan, director of Ashoka Foundation which is undertaking a low-cost housing initiative for the poor, believes that such projects are not possible in the major metros where land costs are too high and delays add to the cost
The government estimates that the country will see a shortage of 26.53 million homes by 2012. Ashoka Foundation, the global association of social entrepreneurs for change, has in one of its several initiatives, launched low-cost housing projects focused on the poor across the country. The effort has been successful in Ahmedabad, but the association believes that a similar programme cannot be replicated in Mumbai or Delhi. Vishnu Swaminathan, director of Ashoka's 'Housing for All' initiative discusses the efforts and experience in the housing area.
Moneylife: Almost all the housing schemes for the poor and low-income groups have failed miserably. Why is affordable housing such a difficult aim to achieve?
Vishnu Swaminathan: There are many factors. First, let us consider the situation. Almost 90% of the people living in big cities do not have an income statement, which is necessary to get loans and identity cards. And the 'poor' is not a homogeneous group, as it is perceived.
The low-income segment is highly fragmented: there are households that earn as much Rs25,000 a month and can afford refrigerators and television sets, but don't possess identity cards or income statements. Most of the banks will not loan out to such people.
ML: So why not turn to government grants?
VS: Government grants take years to materialise and in many cases projects suffer from poor conceptualisation on the ground. The promise of free or heavily subsidised social housing has undercut market-based housing projects in several countries, where people prefer to wait for a long-promised subsidised home rather than buy an affordable one at market prices. Such programmes disincentivise the private and social sector actors.
ML: So how do you tackle the problem?
VS: The focus should be clear. We are looking at 250-550 square feet homes in urban areas for one family that usually consists of more than four members. So, at the most, these can be 2BHK flats.
Three groups should be on board for these projects. NGOs can arrange for identity cards and persuade banks and financial institutions to allow these people to open bank accounts and provide income statements. The government, on its part, can arrange for subsidies on land or taxes, and clear the projects first.
And, not to forget, the architects should be consulted, because it is they who will design the projects and the homes. For slum dwellers, the community is the centre of life and they would like to be close to some amenities like repairing shops for vehicles and tools and marketplaces. The project should be designed accordingly.
ML: What about the builders? Can one convince them to take up such projects?
VS: We are not talking about charity, so we don't expect the builders to build homes free of cost. Is there profit for them? Yes, and builders participating in our projects at Ahmedabad, Coimbatore and other places are seeing profits.
Of course, you cannot expect huge profit margins which you have for big realty projects in metros. The NGOs also help the customers manage their resources better and save, so that they can pay the monthly installments without fail. Moreover, this is an area where we don't see many players. So the field has good prospects, and offers good opportunity to builders.
ML: How do you reduce the cost for such projects?
VS: We don't work with big brand builders, and these small developers are happy with their margins. Also, in such places, government approvals are easier to get, because these projects are of modest size. The cost of marketing is negligible, because we have roped in NGOs who do most of the work.
Once the builders acquire the land and have the clearances, NGOs present them with the list of names of customers and they negotiate with banks and financers for loans. So the whole process is speeded up and unnecessary costs are eliminated.
ML: Let's talk about financing. Without income statements, how can these people get financing?
VS: Well, many NGOs are doing fantastic work and for our projects we have seen many banks proactively helping underprivileged groups. Of course, that option may not be available everywhere and that kind of sensitisation is a slow process.
Government subsidies can make a lot of difference and in many cases we could persuade the authorities to grant more FSI for the projects. It would help if housing finance companies take up this issue.
ML: Ashoka's initiatives in Kenya have been very successful, because of their collaboration with microfinance institutions. But given the situation in India, will that help?
VS: Unfortunately, no. Microfinance in India has proved to be a disaster in most places, and the joint group liability model is unsuitable for housing finance, because houses belong to the individual and not the group. The interest rates they charge are outrageous, no wonder people commit suicides. A home loan takes almost 15 years to pay back, but for MFIs, the duration is one to three years. We are not sure what is happening on the regulation front either. So I don't see MFIs working in the case of affordable housing.
ML: Ashoka estimates that by end of 2011, 2,500 completed units will be sold in Ahmedabad. Why don't we see such initiatives in Mumbai or Delhi becoming a success?
VS: Affordable housing is not possible in places like Mumbai and Delhi. Though I am not an authority on Mumbai, I can say that prices are too high there for middle class citizens to buy a home, forget the poor. Land prices are too high, the builders have high margins, approvals take a lot of time and delay adds to the cost.
Where land is scarce, one needs to grant more FSI-in Rajasthan, our housing projects have utilised the concept of transferable FSI to create more homes and hence bring prices down. In Mumbai, abuse of the FSI system and instances of irregularities are well known.
ML: So is affordable housing going to remain a dream for Mumbai?
VS: Affordable housing also means housing that is attainable. I don't see the poor people from Mumbai or Delhi ever attaining that level when they can own a house. To reduce the cost, one must stay on the outskirts, and poor people have to live further away. The cost of transportation will affect them. Where land is so scarce and so costly, there is no question of community-based living. It will remain a distant dream.
All eyes will be focused on the RBI’s quarterly policy review today
The domestic market is likely to open sideways ahead of the Reserve Bank of India’s quarterly monetary policy review. Investors are worried that a fresh rate hike would hurt expansion plans of corporates and lower earnings going ahead, however, analysts opine that the central bank may hike short-term lending and borrowing rates by another 25 basis points each. A clutch of corporate results from companies including BHEL, Alstom Projects, Cairn India, Glenmark Pharma, JSW Steel, Maruti Suzuki and Shriram Transport Finance, among others, will lead to stock-specific action.
On the international front, Wall Street closed lower overnight over the stalemate over the deal to raise the debt ceiling. Markets in Asia were mostly higher in early trade on Tuesday, as positive earnings forecasts helped the regional indices go higher. The SGX Nifty was up 17 points at 5,705 compared to Monday’s close of 5,687.50.
The Nifty carried on from where it ended on Friday, registering an even better intra-day high and low yesterday, with a 46 points gain to close at 5,680. We expected the Nifty to move to the 5,700 level, which it did at the intra day high. The market reacted strongly to events such as the benefit for telecom majors from the tariff hike by Airtel and in anticipation of better results from Reliance Industries.
After 10 days of sideways consolidation, the market is headed higher. We can expect the Nifty to move up to 5,780.
Weak cues from the Asian region led to a flat opening in the domestic market. The imbroglio over raising the US debt ceiling ahead of the 2nd August deadline was the main factor that impeded the markets early on. The Nifty opened at 5,634, unchanged from its close on Friday, while the Sensex resumed trade 31 points higher at 18,753.
The market was volatile and fluctuated on both sides of the neutral line on added concerns that the RBI may raise rates again on Tuesday. The indices fell to the day’s low in initial trade, the Nifty dropping to 5,617 and the Sensex back to 18,671.
The market remained range-bound in choppy trading till around 1pm, when key European indices opened weak. Buying in heavyweights helped the indices cross their psychological levels-5,700 (on the Nifty) and 18,900 (on the Sensex)-in the post-noon session. The indices went on to touch the day's high as the Nifty rose to 5,701, a gain of 84 points from its intra-day low, and the Sensex went up to 18,932, up 261 points from the day's low.
Markets in the US closed lower on Monday as the stalemate continued over raising the country’s debt ceiling. Although analysts expect a last-minute deal, many are worried that the stalemate will cause rating agencies to cut their stance on US debt.
Among financial stocks, Bank of America and JP: Morgan Chase & Company declined 1.2% each in trade.
The Dow declined 88.36 points (0.70%) at 12,592.80. The S&P 500 slipped 7.59 points (0.56%) at 1,337.43 and the Nasdaq fell 16.03 points (0.56%) at 2,842.80.
Meanwhile, gold gained $10.70 to settle at $1,612 an ounce after touching a record high of $1,622.49 an ounce earlier as investors fled to the precious metal as a safe-haven option.
Markets in Asia were mostly higher in early trade on Tuesday on positive earnings estimates boosted the indices, despite issues related to the US debt stalemate. Japanese camera maker Canon led exporters higher as it advanced 2.8% after boosting its profit forecast on higher sales. Kao surged 4% after the household goods maker raised its full-year outlook and posted a 12% rise in April-June operating profit on higher sales of its chemical products overseas. Automakers and technology stocks helped gains in the Seoul market.
The Hang Seng gained 0.65%, the Jakarta Composite rose 0.02%, the KLSE Composite added 0.03%, the Nikkei 225 advanced 0.04%, the Straits Times was up 0.08%, the Seoul Composite climbed 0.16% and the Taiwan Weighted was up 0.52%. On the other hand, the Shanghai Composite declined 0.08%.
Back home, the RBI on Monday said it expected the farm sector growth to stay “broadly on track”, though it underlined some concerns about the weakening trends in the monsoon pattern.
The central bank, however, underlined that a ‘near- normal’ monsoon performance will be important for higher growth. Though growth will be good in absolute terms, in percentage terms it may be lower this fiscal on account of the high base effect from the past year’s record production.
The RBI in its Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments Report said it will have to continue the thrust on tight monetary stance till there is "clear evidence of inflation trending close to a level within RBI's comfort zone"
Mumbai: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Monday gave strong hints of another hike in its key interest rates at the policy review on Tuesday, saying that high inflation requires further monetary tightening, slowdown in growth notwithstanding, reports PTI.
"The unfinished task of taming inflation warrants continuation of anti-inflationary monetary stance, (though) the downside risks to growth have increased," RBI said in its Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments Report released on the eve of the first quarter review of the credit policy on Tuesday.
The RBI said it will have to continue the thrust on tight monetary stance till there is "clear evidence of inflation trending close to a level within RBI's comfort zone".
The headline inflation stood at 9.44% for June. The central bank has set an inflation target of 6% for the fiscal-end.
During the past 15 months, the central bank has raised 10 times its key policy rates-repo or the short-term lending rate, and reverse repo at which it borrows from banks-by 425 basis points. The repo is at 7.5% now while the reverse repo stands at 6.5%.
Stating that the monsoon, global commodity prices and the Eurozone crisis have the potential to alter growth path and inflation level, the RBI said, "A significant departure of monsoon from 'normal', a collapse of global commodity price bubble and Eurozone debt crisis assuming full-blown proportion" can alter both growth as well as inflation forecasts.
The rising inflationary trend in advanced economies poses a threat to increasing price rise in domestic front as well, the central bank said.
Pointing out that the industrial activity moderated in the first quarter of the fiscal, RBI said a similar trend is likely to continue in the July-September quarter, too.
The central bank, however, retained its economic growth forecast for the current fiscal at around 8%. A report by RBI-sponsored professional forecasters, however, scaled down GDP growth to 7.9% from earlier projection of 8.2%.
The report expressed the hope that a slight moderation in monsoon may not radically alter the agriculture output.
Noting that manufacturing activity has become more broad-based on the back of the acceleration in factory output across last fiscal, the RBI said subdued growth in certain core industries like electricity, cement and natural gas is a drag on overall industrial growth.