IPOs in FY2015: Just 13 companies filed papers for public offer

Despite receiving the green signal from SEBI four companies, Lavasa Corp, Adlabs, Ortel Communications and Monte Carlo Fashions are yet to launch their IPOs


Looking to tap into the upbeat investor sentiment, over a dozen companies including Videocon D2H and Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Ltd have filed initial papers with market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for being listed so far during FY2015.


Since April this year, 13 companies have filed their draft red herring prospectus (DRHP) with SEBI to launch an initial public offer (IPO), while SMC Global Securities Ltd sought SEBI’s approval for its follow-on public offer (FPO).


All these companies filed their initial papers after the general election verdict was announced in mid-May.


Of these, the SEBI has already given nod to the IPOs of Lavasa Corporation Ltd, Adlabs Entertainment Ltd, Ortel Communications Ltd and Monte Carlo Fashions Ltd. However, these four companies are yet to launch their public offers.


Besides, the regulator has sought clarification or additional information from the merchant bankers of some of the companies.


Most of the companies plan to utilise IPO proceeds for capacity expansion as well as working capital requirements.


These filings come at a time when the equity market has been on an upswing this year in the wake of bullish investor sentiments.


According to market experts, landslide victory of BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the general elections has perked up investor sentiment and prompted companies to file IPO papers.


Moreover, companies, that debuted on the stock markets this financial year are trading above their issue price giving big returns to investors, also helped others to file for their public offers.


So far in the current fiscal (2014-15), the 30-share benchmark Sensex has gained over 26% spurred by robust fund flows and revival of risk appetite amid signs of improving economic conditions.


Parliament adjourned for the day

Both houses, Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha were adjourned after condoling the death of three sitting members, including former union minister Murli Deora


Parliament was adjourned Monday after condoling the death of three sitting members, including former union minister Murli Deora.


As soon as Rajya Sabha met for the day, chairman Hamid Ansari mentioned the death of Deora in Mumbai at the age of 77.


In the Lok Sabha, members condoled the death of sitting members Hemendra Chandra Singh (BJD) and Kapil Krishna Thakur (Trinamool Congress).


Singh’s wife Pratyusha Rajeshwari Singh (BJD) has won the Lok Sabha bypoll from Kandhmal.


Lok Sabha also condoled the demise of former members Amitava Nandy, MS Sanjeevi Rao, Avaidyanath, Saifuddin Choudhury and Sanjay Singh Chauhan.


Three of the five members, elected in the recent bypolls, also took oath in the House.


Ranjanaben Bhatt (BJP), who won from Vadodara, the seat vacated by Prime Minister Narendra Modi who retained Varanasi, Pritam Gopinath Munde (BJP) from Beed in Maharashtra, the seat that fell vacant following the death of her father and union minister Gopinath Munde, and Tej Pratap Yadav (SP), elected from Mainpuri, vacated by Mulayam Singh Yadav, who retained Azamgarh, took oath.


Modi then introduced his new ministers, who were inducted into the council of ministers on 9th November.


In the Rajya Sabha, Chairman Hamid Ansari said, “In the passing away of Murli Deora, the country has lost a distinguished parliamentarian, an able administrator and a dedicated social worker.”


Deora, who served as Minister for Petroleum and Natural Gas and Corporate Affairs from January 2006 to July 2011, was a four-term Lok Sabha member and three-term Rajya Sabha member. He represented Maharashtra in the Upper House from April 2002 till his death.


Ansari also condoled the death of yoga expert BKS Iyengar, and former members Lekhraj Bachani, Jagdev Singh Talwandi and S S Rajendran.


Before adjourning for the day, the Lok Sabha also condoled the deaths due to cyclone Hudhud, Jammu and Kashmir floods and stampede in Patna during Dussehra.


Markets continue to blindly trust central banks' magical ability

Despite economic slowdown, markets continue to have faith in central banks' magical ability to change the economies with a few words, an interest rate cut or more free money.


t is considered an article of faith by most investors that emerging markets will grow faster than developed markets and that emerging markets will produce consistent growth year after year. The poster child for this thesis is China. China has grown reliably for 37 years. Despite a few disquieting factors, most economist assume that this growth will continue for the foreseeable future. However, a new study suggests otherwise.


The study by two US economists, Lant Pritchett and former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, comes to the conclusion that growth above 6% in any country rarely lasts more than 10 years.


A prime example that I used in my book ‘Investing in Emerging Markets’, is Brazil. For thirteen years between 1967 and 1980, Brazil’s average annual rate of growth was 5.2%. After 1980, Brazil’s per capita income growth was flat at zero for 22 years until 2002.


Basically what the study shows is that the median period of rapid growth is nine years. After the period of rapid growth, the median drop is 4.65%. This seems astonishing given that China has grown longer and faster than any other country. The only ones that come close are Taiwan and South Korea, which grew 32 and 29 years respectively.


It appears that time is up. There is no statistical basis to show that rapid growth in the past continues into the future. A few years ago, the big story was decoupling, as emerging market growth outpaced developed countries. But even after years of free money, emerging markets are all beginning to slow. Some of their present problems are self-inflicted. Countries like Russia and Venezuela could have avoided much of the slow down with better or at least sane government policies. Other problems are more widely spread.


One of the first has to do with the commodities slow down. Many emerging markets are dependent on commodities exports. The high prices of the last few years have been exceptionally important to their growth. The countries most harmed by the decline in commodities prices include Malaysia, Indonesia, Russia, Brazil, Columbia, Chile and any country that exports oil. There are some winners including India, the Philippines, Thailand and Turkey.


One of the biggest drivers of emerging market economies recently was the growth of a consumer culture. As millions have been lifted out of poverty, they have finally been able to purchase many consumer products long since considered necessities in the developed world. However, this growth has been slowing since 2010. It has been kept artificially alive by relatively cheap credit in places like Brazil and Korea, but the consumer credit may lead to a massive credit hangover. Many people in emerging markets had access to credit and credit cards for the first time. It is not surprising that many may have misused it. It is especially bad in places like Russia where interest rates have been raised sharply to defend the currency.


Then there is China. China’s growth has been truly spectacular by any measure, but the debt amassed in the last five years is also impressive. The headlines just this week tell of major issues. Bad loans rose to their highest level in more than nine years during the third quarter. Growth in investment, factory production, exports and retail sales all slowed in October. The economy grew by an impressive 7.3% year-over-year in the third quarter, but that was its slowest pace in more than five years. New lending was also down sharply. New bank loans were only about 70% of their normal rate. Total loans were two thirds of the September rate. According to rating credit agency Standard and Poor’s, half of all Chinese provinces deserve junk ratings. Finally, some 32% of all new credit is used to pay off the interest on existing debt.


All of this news is bad for China, but it is also bad for most of the emerging markets whose main trading partner is China. As long as China slows, commodity prices will continue to fall creating a negative cycle for a large part of the world.


The final problem is that during the boom years, few countries took advantage of the favourable conditions to enact necessary reforms. Many of these reforms like inefficient labour markets and ineffective, unfair subsidies may in the short-term cause disruptions. With the economies slowing, fewer governments will take the risk to enact unpopular policies. What Pritchett and Summers refer to as “institutional inadequacies” insure that rapid growth will be unsustainable.


Meanwhile, despite the slowdown, markets continue to have faith in central banks’ magical ability to change the economies with a few words, an interest rate cut or three and scads more free money. However, like faith in the emerging market growth stories, this one will probably not have a happy ending.


(William Gamble is president of Emerging Market Strategies. An international lawyer and economist, he developed his theories beginning with his first-hand experience and business dealings in the Russia starting in 1993. Mr Gamble holds two graduate law degrees. He was educated at Institute D'Etudes Politique, Trinity College, University of Miami School of Law, and University of Virginia Darden Graduate School of Business Administration. He was a member of the bar in three states, over four different federal courts and speaks four languages.)


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