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Other ratings agencies such as Standard and Poor’s and Fitch, which had threatened to downgrade India’s sovereign credit rating, also are likely to come out with fresh assessment in the backdrop of the Budget proposals
Global ratings agency Moody's Investor Services today applauded finance minister P Chidambaram’s Budget saying that it pursues realistic fiscal consolidation path and is “credit positive”. The budget raises hopes of an upgrade in the country’s sovereign credit rating, the agency added.
“India's budget pursues realistic fiscal consolidation, a credit positive for the sovereign”, said Moody’s in its credit outlook for the country.
Chidambaram in his Budget for 2013-14 proposed to bring down the fiscal deficit to 4.8% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 5.2% in the revised estimates for the current financial year.
“This plan of modest fiscal consolidation is credit positive for the sovereign because, against a backdrop of subdued GDP growth and upcoming elections, it is a realistic effort to correct India’s macroeconomic imbalances,” the rating agency said.
Earlier, ratings agencies such as Standard and Poor’s and Fitch had threatened to downgrade India’s sovereign credit rating to junk grade in view of the worsening fiscal position of the government. They also are likely to come out with fresh assessment in the backdrop of the Budget proposals.
Moody’s had assigned BAA3 rating to India, which indicates investment grade rating with stable outlook.
The report further said fiscal consolidation proposed by Chidambaram could pave the way for monetary easing, which would revive growth.
The extent of easing, however, would depend upon the assessment of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on the commitment of the government to contain fiscal deficit in the Budget.
The RBI had been insisting on a sustained commitment to fiscal consolidation to help it ease monetary policy.