Do Phool Do Patte: Mamata, Jayalalithaa lead landslide victories in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu

On Friday the 13th May, the mainline media was totally immersed with the election results from the five states that went to the poll in the past month. They focused on the sweeping victories of Mamata Banerjee and J Jayalalithaa. Funnily, according to a tweet, Kalaignar TV which is owned by members of the family of defeated chief minister K Karunanidhi, stopped telecasting the election results

Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee and All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhgam (AIADMK) supremo J Jayalalithaa have emerged clear winners in the assembly elections in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu, putting the spotlight back on woman power. Mamata ended the over three-decade rule of the CPI(M)-led Left parties alliance, while Jayalalithaa returns to power for a third time defeating the Dravida Munnetra Kazhgam (DMK)-Congress alliance.

Both women are single, and they galvanised their respective parties to power almost single-handedly. There are some other interesting similarities as well. Both parties have similar election symbols-the TMC's symbol is a pair of Jora Ghas Phul (grass root flower), while the AIDMK has two leaves for its symbol.

Also, both leaders had supported the Atal Bihari Vajpayee government back in 1998. But while Jayalalithaa was responsible for bringing down the Vajpayee government by withdrawing support suddenly, Ms Banerjee stepped out of the Vajpayee government over a Tehelka expose in 2001, but returned to the National Democratic Alliance a couple of years later.

Very few imagined that the Left could be defeated in West Bengal, but Mamata has made this happen through small, determined steps in a persistent struggle. West Bengal has a 294-member legislative assembly. The TMC had only 31 members in the previous house and the Congress just 20, compared to the CPI-M's 176.

The TMC chief, in her first address after the victory, said, "This is a victory of democracy, victory of 'maa, maati, manush' (mother, land, people). We will give good governance. There will be end of autocracy and atrocities. This is the victory of people against years of oppression."

According to trends for 294 seats, the TMC-led alliance was ahead in over 226 seats. The Left Front was ahead in only 63 seats, with CPI-M leading in 48 seats. TMC alone was leading in 177 seats, while its ally Congress was leading in 33 seats.

While the landslide victory for the TMC was along expected lines, Jayalalithaa surpassed all exit poll predictions. The political career of the film star-turned-politician has been interrupted regularly by allegations of corruption and she lost power twice on corruption charges. This time, it seems that the people of Tamil Nadu have decided to give her yet another chance, in the wake of the 2G spectrum scam involving DMK leader A Raja and the investigation that has also listed chief minister K Karunanidhi's daughter Kanimozhi.

 
 

In the Tamil Nadu assembly elections in 2006, the AIADMK won 61 seats in a house of 234 members. In the 2009 Lok Sabha elections also, the AIADMK managed to win just nine out of the 39 seats in Tamil Nadu. According to the trends available, the AIADMK alliance is likely to win nearly 194 seats and the DMK-Congress combine only 33 seats.

It seems that the wave in Tamil Nadu also influenced the result in Puducherry, where the All-India NR Congress-AIADMK combine looked set for an easy majority winning in 16 constituencies and leading in four more in counting of votes for the 30-member Assembly. Congress-DMK front managed won nine seats.

In Kerala, the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) only just managed to edge out the CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF), winning 72 of the 140 crossing the magic figure of 71 required for a simple majority as against its rival LDF's 68.

The Congress was a clear winner in Assam, with wins or leads in 80 of the constituencies in the 126-member Assembly. The principal opposition party, Asom Gana Parishad (AGP), was leading in 10 and the Bodoland Peoples Front leading in five seat and have won in six constituencies so far.

User

COMMENTS

nagesh kini

6 years ago

I've just received a mail adding "DEVIS" on the top - Behenji at UP, Auntyji at Delhi, Tai at the Rashtrapati Bhavan, Madam Soniaji.Abroad we had Margaret in UK,also at Germany and Australia, not to forget Indira, Benazir, Bhandarnaikes and the Begums in Bangla .Desh.

REPLY

nagesh kini

In Reply to nagesh kini 4 years ago

A year later we have Amma back in TN and Didi of Bengal ousting the Reds, Behenji dislodged from UP, the Tai of Rashtrapati made a grave blunder of wanting to built a mansion on strictly reserved defence land gave way to Pranobda who daughter tenders apologies for the sexiest remarks of her Congress party MP brother. The Prez is mum!

nagesh kini

In Reply to nagesh kini 4 years ago

A year later we have Amma back in TN and Didi of Bengal ousting the Reds, Behenji dislodged from UP, the Tai of Rashtrapati made a grave blunder of wanting to built a mansion on strictly reserved defence land gave way to Pranobda who daughter tenders apologies for the sexiest remarks of her Congress party MP brother. The Prez is mum!

LAl Rimawia

6 years ago

Good

Mort

6 years ago

The Dictator is back ! Proven by the line of top policemen lining outside Poes garden residence.

Rohinton Khambata

6 years ago

All politicians are CROOKS. No one is interested in the common man. They are just there to fill up there & there family members pockets.

NANU NATVERLAL MEHTA

6 years ago

Medha Patkar will be sheer disaster for Maharastra and whole nation.She was the principle architect against Narmada Project and with her Anti Devlopment plank with the corrupt support of foreign agency she will bring nothing but chaos for our Nation.She delayed the Narmada Project for 25 years by her Nefarious activities.

nagesh kini

6 years ago

Congrats MDT on the great report. Keep it up!
Now that both Kolkotta with Didi and Chennai Amma how far can amchi Mumbai go. How about Medha Patkar?
The only devoted activist without a family like Vilasrao's sons, Ashokrao's mother/sister-in-law, who he considers are 'not relatives' or further Nilangekar who got his daughter thru medical exams. No scams or corruption charges.
Why not initiate an opinion poll?

satya

6 years ago

Ms Jayalalitha CM's main duty bring back the looted money by "robbers of country" and put them behind bars for life. Therefore they will not dare to loot again.

UP land acquisition: Let villagers keep their lands; development be damned!

What started as a difference on land acquisition prices, and village landowners wanting to go back on pre-negotiated contracts after development has reached their doorsteps, is now being given a political colour in the name of villagers losing their land

What is, essentially a land acquisition issue of the sort where multiple issues have raised expectations, has grown rapidly into another political side-show which moves into the la-la land of election theories and made for television situations. The real issues in and around Noida, a part of western Uttar Pradesh (UP) which is still stuck in some back-of-beyond kind of feudal and colonial time in many ways, are graver. Nothing is black and white, shades of grey, as well as all sorts of other issues prevail, and land-grab, yes, is—as always—at the bottom of the whole issue. But the deeper issue is what nobody talks about—that vote-bank politics in this part of the country have always depended on ensuring that people are kept backward. 
 
Aside: for years now, the drawing room society sorts in Delhi have been going on and on about how Mayawati has grabbed land between the main highway to Greater Noida and the Yamuna for herself, for her park, for the JP Group to build townships on, the works. Truth is this. Here government has surely made rapid strides to develop Noida and Greater Noida, and built an extremely good road system which brings the people and land on the eastern side of the Yamuna into the mainstream. In addition, her government has made sure that the wetlands on the UP side of the river have not been disturbed, so you still have marshes, migratory birds, wildlife and most of all, no squatters encroaching on prime land. On the Delhi and Haryana side of the river, by contrast, the complete river front as well as the flood plains have simply been taken over by "a certain community" (the slum rivals Mumbai’s Dharavi), and apart from them getting free land it is a huge vote bank too.
 
But, to try and understand what is going on you have to first take a good look at a map, and see how history as well as nature has always differentiated between land and civilisation on both sides of the Yamuna, as it flows past Delhi, then Agra and on towards Allahabad, to join the mighty Ganges. This is even more starkly evident when you drive from Delhi, past Mathura, into Agra, cross the Yamuna at Agra, and then drive back via Aligarh on the other bank of the river.

The reason was simple—the mighty Yamuna always flooded on to the Aligarh side, which left the soil rich no doubt, but ensured that civilisation had to restart ever so often. On the other side, however, was Delhi, the grand Taj Mahal at Agra, as well as seats of culture and learning going back centuries in and around Mathura.
 
And then, after Independence, we talk development and growth. To start with, almost all development and growth, if not all, in this part of UP, so close to the capital of Delhi, has been on the Mathura side. It is as simple as that. One reason is that the growth in the Haryana part of the Delhi-Mathura-Agra alignment has been phenomenal. Faridabad and Ballabgarh grew out of literally nothing after 1947, to become what they are today, and that had an effect on the neighbouring parts of UP on this side of the river. On the other side of the river, the slow withering away of Kanpur had exactly the opposite effect, and that is a simple fact. The biggest industry on that side of the river, now, is probably kidnapping.

The railway lines to the east and north-east and points beyond, pelt through the Aligarh side of the Yamuna. The railway lines to the southern and western states pelt through on the Mathura side. But to regular travellers on both routes, the difference in living standards are stark—you have visible signs of affluence on the Mathura side, while the Aligarh route looks like it was and continues to be mired in abject poverty and the dark ages. Sanitation, maintenance of roads, healthcare, quality of houses, colleges, symbols of rural affluence like healthier livestock, kidnapping as a business, all these and more, again, the difference is visible or known; and the biggest indicator is that you simply see more women going ahead with their lives on the Mathura side of the river.

Drive to Agra on the Mathura side, and you have a fast modern road, doing the 200+ kilometres in around two or three hours. Cross the Yamuna at Agra and try to drive back to Delhi, you would be lucky if you got back in five or six hours, for the same distance. While the Mathura side route is safe 24x7, even the bravest of Delhi's taxi drivers will refuse to go by the Aligarh side at night.
 
And the part of Greater Noida making all the wrong news, lately, is linked geographically more with ancient Aligarh than with modern Noida or Delhi. On the wrong side of the river, so to say, as well as on the wrong side of development. Till, Mayawati decided to change things. And one thing she did—and continues to do—is really working on getting the girl child to school. As well as trying to develop the roads. Anybody sense a Bihar repeat, they got it.

Last winter, on a road trip by the lesser-used route from Delhi to Lucknow via Moradabad-Bareilly-Shahjahanpur-Sitapur, with side trips to Pilibhit, I saw how the focus on getting the girl child to school was strongly resisted by the menfolk of "a certain community", and tacitly supported by the others, too. But Mayawati's message to the people is clear; if they do not let her build roads or send the girl child to school, she will do so anyways.

That does not make her popular with a ruling class that has historically and traditionally depended on keeping the masses subjugated. Simply put, many people who do not want development on the Aligarh side of the river do not like these changes at all. Their manhood is threatened, yes, I have heard that too. But actually it threatens and puts at risk the complete feudal and colonial structure that keeps them in power, for pelf and with fine food with raiment—a scenario that has been done away with by the middle class on the other, Mathura side, of the river.

Some history: During her previous tenures, Mayawati started developing the area between Noida and Aligarh—whether it was attracting industry to Greater Noida, or building the ambitious Delhi-Allahabad-Varanasi expressway. As soon as somebody else would come to power (read Mulayam Singh Yadav), all development work would come to a halt.

Today, what started as a serious difference of opinion on land acquisition prices, as well as village landowners wanting to go back on pre-negotiated contracts after development has reached their doorsteps, is being given a political colour in the name of villagers losing their land. That is very interesting—everybody comes from Lutyen's Delhi for the day, to support the villagers, and then they go back to their palaces for the night. That Lutyen's Delhi was a village in the previous United Provinces, too, is forgotten—after all, how far back in history do we want to go, when we want to decide that the villagers should keep their lands, development be damned?
 
+++
 
I tried to go to the village of Bhatta Parsaul, and made it to the developed parts beyond Greater Noida where the middle class go, to visit a friend who lives there and teaches at (of all things) a marine college, with a dummy ship built right there in the middle of everything. He advised me not to go. It was not safe—too many political workers reportedly snatching vehicles, any sort of vehicles, to go there too. They are going there to protest the acquisition of land belonging to the villagers. I returned to my home in Defence Colony, which is built on land acquired from villagers of Kotla Mubarakpur, about 60 years ago.
 
Land acquisition has a lot of aspects to it. But it helps if you are on the correct side of the river, or the correct side of society, too.

User

COMMENTS

chandra shekhar

6 years ago

I know for sure, the 'Price' of 200 sq yds
plot of land in sector- 56, Noida was in
1988, offered by Noida Authority to
Investors was Rs. 21,000 only against its
market price of Rs. 4,50,000 . So, One
needs to understand, to what extend
#StatesGovt's & GOI are 'Exploiting' the
'Farmers' in the name of #Developments .
The beneficiaries then, were those who already had #Kothis in 'Posh' #Safdarjung Enclave in South Delhi &
#Brokers of 'BSE', 'DSE' ........
What #Maya & Other 'Political' parties
are doing is not just 'politics' but, they
are serving the #Business Houses to
secure their future & have stakes in businesses , politics together .......
This is a vicious circle & only those who are part of it knows the 'Ins & Outs' of the trade . The stakes are very high , as high as 500 Cr (min.) & all converted into 'equities' in Companies
having #Net Worth above 2000 Cr .....
I dont want to discuss much , CoZ ,
We are all well educated enough to
understand that , this is no way is
real development .......

paresh patel

6 years ago

yes we agree with you in toto. The villages without develpment has no value of their land and most of them loose it for marrying their daughters, education and illness at a pitiable cost to the village moneylenders. Developement brings the higher cost of land and thus opportunity to have better education and infra for personal develpement

ankur

6 years ago

I am not writing this comment as one of the investor but being as a true UP ka bhaiya.We all know what happened in mumbai when people from mumbai had humiliated UP ke bhaiyas.UP is such a big state with country's largest population that we all UP people desperately need some ultra modern cities in our state and when mayawati has laid the foundation, Some cunning politicians playing dirty politics.I have a full support to Mayawati govt. for the speedy development in UP.I belong to Upper class in UP and has always been against Mayawati.but looking at the latest development in the western UP , i have a full support to mayawati.....Today Noida and GN is pride of UP....vaisse i will not hesitate to comment on the Congress govt. for there dirty ploitics, my only advice to them is get lost anf forget about your revivals in UP.

Vikram

6 years ago

Veeresh, this is telling it like it is. Good job and kudos to your courage to bring out subtle realities that are hidden because of vested interests of a few people who are enjoying it at the cost of the majority. I think this social set-up need to be slapped real hard so that people who work hard get what they deserve and other can go to hell. Keep up the courage Veeresh and I think you should go deeper and try to highlight more such issues. The issue of female education is so important.

REPLY

malq

In Reply to Vikram 6 years ago

Thank you, Vikram, for writing in. Approaching Bhatta Parsaul from Delhi seems to blur the vision, viewed as it is through the rose tinted glasses of urbania. On the other hand, if one takes the trouble to access this part of UP through Aligarh or the nearby Sikandrabad, then you get a totally different view, closer to the reality of things in western UP.

prasadk

6 years ago

Mr. Malik, as usual, very informative & in fact an educational piece for most of us ignoramuses who stay on the western side of the country & have hardly any knowledge of the geopolitics up north. But one thing is very clear - it is nauseating to watch Rahul Gandhi make a mess of it (and a fool of himself) when he wades into these waters with his idiotic concepts. It is also quite a revelation that there are some people who will never be the TV-media darlings, and Mayawati is one of those people, so that media will always project her poorly. It is good to know how she is trying to do right by the girl child. I am sure the voters will reward her next time, and in the process boot out the Yuvraj from one more state - UP.

REPLY

malq

In Reply to prasadk 6 years ago

Thank you for writing in, Prasad K ji, and election results appear to be increasingly following the "Nitish Kumar" model where in contiguous states to Bihar like Bengal and UP, and now Assam, people expect winners to "govern" rather than "rule". The Indian voter is influenced more by word of mouth, and it may well be worth the time and money for people from other parts of the country to travel through the Eastrtn parts of Inia, preferably by 2nd 3T Sleeper, soon. And understand what the voters are really thinking . . .

sreeram

In Reply to malq 6 years ago

we can always assume , election results are awakening etc etc ..

but we can also see the Andhra pradesh mr.Y S Jagan Mohan reddy who could walk to victory purely based on corruption. Who can stop them.

What is stopping congress or CBI , from probing the ill gotten wealth of mr.YSR family.Is it because they have shared the suitcases to Sonia and members.

Mamata dethrones Left in WBengal; Jaya topples DMK in TN; UDF ahead in Kerala; Cong on top in Assam, behind in Puducherry

Two tough women lead change in the East and in the South; Congress deals blow to Left in Kerala too, consolidates in Assam states

Two strong women leaders, Mamata Banerjee and J Jayalalitha, triumphed in elections in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu today in the face of huge odds, in a resounding election verdict against muscle and money power. In Kerala, the Congress-led United Democratic Front only just managed to edge out the Left Front in a state that has never elected a ruling party for a second consecutive term. In Assam and Puducherry, the ruling Congress made good gains to strengthen its position in the two states.

The stock markets reacted positively to the results, shooting up by over 2% in the afternoon. The Sensex was up 370 points to 18,710 and the Nifty gained 114 points to 5,600 at 1.30pm, buoyed by hopes that the election results would give some reprieve to the battered Manmohan Singh government at the Centre.

Ms Banerjee's Trinamool Congress (TMC) alliance with the Congress party swept the communists from power in West Bengal, ending their 34-year uninterrupted rule. The CPI(M)-led Left Front was routed with most of its ministers, including chief minister Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee, getting a drubbing.

The TMC-Cong was leading in 204 of the constituencies against 74 with the Left combine, just under the exit poll predictions. The CPI(M) previously had 176 members and its alliance parties a further 51 in the 294-member legislative assembly.

Ms Banerjee fought the Left on unjust policies against villagers, and for the lack of jobs in an overall poor economic environment. The battle was raised to another level over the take over of lands in Singur and Nandigram that resulted in the loss of many lives. As she talked about her plans for the state today, Didi, as she is lovingly called, made it a point to remind celebrating party workers not to forget the martyrs.

While the TMC-Cong alliance was expected to win easily, the surprise perhaps was in Tamil Nadu, where poll pundits had given the corruption-tainted DMK a chance. The principal opposition AIADMK was leading in 192 of the constituencies, while the ruling DMK-Congress alliance was ahead in only 41, which is a huge fall from the 163 seats it had in the 234-member house. Exit poll predictions had given the DMK 102-114 and the AIADMK alliance 120-132.

The wave in Tamil Nadu seemed to have also influenced the mood in the Union Territory of Puducherry, where the All India NR Congress (AINRC) in alliance with the AIADMK  were leading in more than half of the total 30 constituencies. The AINRC is headed by N Rangasamy who was unceremoniously removed as chief minister of a Congress government some time back. The Congress-DMK alliance were not likely to get more than 10 seats.  

In Kerala, the other CPI(M) ruled state, the Left Front was ahead in 53 of the constituencies and the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) was leading in 57 of the about 120 constituencies for which counting trends were available. The LDF had won 13 of the seats for which results were declared so far and the UDF 15.

The LDF previously had 98 seats against the UDF's 42 in the 140-member Kerala state assembly, and this time round, expecting a defeat in West Bengal the Left Front made an extra effort to try and retain power in the southern state.

In Assam, the Congress was leading in counting in 74 constituencies, compared to only seven with the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP), and appeared set to win a good two-third majority. Other parties including the Bharatiya Janata Party were ahead in 34 constituencies The Congress previously had 53 members in the 126-member house.

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