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Moneylife » markets » commodities » cme-increases-margin-call-markets-will-be-under-pressure
 
CME increases margin call; markets will be under pressure
November 05, 2011 02:20 PM | Bookmark and Share
Moneylife Digital Team

US options & futures holders will be forced to deposit billions in additional capital to the CME to avoid margin calls. This may pressure all asset classes on Monday

There is a liquidity crunch in the options & futures markets for commodities worldwide. CME, the exchange for such transactions in the US, had made the initial margin and maintenance margin equal for every commodity with options and futures. This implies that options and futures holders will be forced to deposit addition capital to the CME in the form of maintenance margin, simply to hold their positions. This will put markets under pressure on Monday. The lack of liquidity and additional margin requirement comes in the aftermath of the bankruptcy of MF Global.

The London Metal Exchange has suspended MF Global from trading with immediate effect, following a similar move by the CME Group, which operates the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Chicago Board of Trade and New York Mercantile Exchange. MF Global had filed for bankruptcy protection following bad bets on euro-zone debt. The brokerage’s meltdown in less than a week made it the biggest US casualty of Europe's debt crisis, and the seventh-largest bankruptcy by assets in US history.

One of the biggest market concerns now is systemic liquidity, which is virtually non-existent. Interbank liquidity in Europe is at an all-time low, and possibly for the US banks. But this is just as true at the commodity exchange level, where it appears the aftermath of the MF Global collapse is just now being felt. CME's margin hike will force market players to cough up billions of dollars in a single day. Since this cannot be easily procured in one business day, we may see margin calls and forced liquidations of margin accounts across America and the world.



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8 Comments
David 6 months ago
It is not a liquidity crunch. there is plenty of liquidity - it is created - springs forth from the act of margin borrowing!!! it is a commodity supply crunch - physical demand - the fear that comex will have to deliver what it cannot possibly possess nor make a contract to get.
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Oli 6 months ago
It was a false alarm: the CME is actually reducing Initial Margin to do with the transfer of MF accounts...
http://www.cmegroup.com/tools-informatio...
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Citizenindia 6 months ago
Finally the system itself is forcing corrective action. It may lead to significant falls in prices next week but atleast prices will come closer to demand supply driven levels. Thats what genuine markets are all about. Futures market was meant for better price discovery but had become a speculative tool. On a micro level it may work, but when thats happenin in trillions, one spark and the system may be driven to disaster. For countries like india, it could be great as the biggest problem for india is crude and if that comes to more saner levels, india can be the world's dream investment destination.
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Citizenindia 6 months ago
Finally the system itself is forcing corrective action. It may lead to significant falls in prices next week but atleast prices will come closer to demand supply driven levels. Thats what genuine markets are all about. Futures market was meant for better price discovery but had become a speculative tool. On a micro level it may work, but when thats happenin in trillions, one spark and the system may be driven to disaster. For countries like india, it could be great as the biggest problem for india is crude and if that comes to more saner levels, india can be the world's dream investment destination.
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Oli 6 months ago
My understanding is that this hike requirement only applies to 'Performance Bonds", and not for "every commodity with futures & options".
Maybe someone can explain the likely impact of this as i'm not sure how big a % of the overall CME "Performance Bonds" are.
Thanks in advance
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  C 6 months ago  in reply to Oli
Oli - I believe the performance bond is the collateral put up to meet the margin requirement... performance bonds are not a traded commodity.
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  Oli 6 months ago  in reply to C
In that case it does apply to all instruments traded on the CME....
Unless people/firms (loads & loads of them) can come up with the increased margin then their positions will be liquidated by the close of business on Monday.
This woud be messy to put it mildly.
I'm surprised of 2 things:
1) that the CME will be allowed to do that considering the dire consequences that will follow (possibly another 'black monday').
2) how little interest has been generated by this story so far.
C, what are your views on this move and likely outcome for next week.
Cheers
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  Moneylife Team 6 months ago  in reply to Oli
CME has eliminated the distinction between initial and maintenance margin. That is quite rare.
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