Stocks
Budget Day: SEBI, stock exchanges, brokers on high alert

Many brokers have asked customers or investors about increase in trading margin requirements as they are anticipating high market volatility during the Budget announcement

 

Anticipating huge volatility during the special stock market trading on the Budget day Saturday, market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and stock exchanges have enhanced vigil to keep manipulators at bay and ensure smooth operations.
 
The surveillance systems have been put on high alert, fearing attempts by manipulators to take advantage of high anticipations associated with the Budget, top officials said, adding that the markets are expected to witness a huge turnover, including by foreign entities.
 
Various market entities have also been asked to ring-fence their systems and infrastructure from any sudden volatility.
 
Many brokers have informed their customers that they are anticipating high market volatility during the period of Budget announcement and therefore they have increased the trading margin requirements for the clients.
 
The day, being a Saturday, may add to trading volumes and volatility as overseas markets, including Singapore where many foreign investors take position before trading begins in India on normal days, would be closed and the foreign investors are expected to trade directly on Indian bourses.
 
Similar arrangements were made last year on the day of the exit poll results as well as the final results of the Lok Sabha elections.
 
At that time, the movements in stock markets were under special watch on 12 May 2014, the last day of polling and the day of exit polls, as also on 16th May when final results were announced and then on 19 May last year, the first full trading day after the announcement of all results.
 
Last week, SEBI had decided to keep the markets open on the Budget day, despite it being a Saturday, and asked the stock exchanges to put in place necessary systems to conduct trading during normal market hours from 9am to 3.30pm.
 
The decision was taken after requests were made by various market entities and others to keep markets open on the Budget day to allow the various proposals to be priced in naturally in the share prices and to avoid any sudden rush on Monday morning when markets would have otherwise opened after a gap of two days.
 
In that case, it was also anticipated that overseas investors in Singapore could have got an early-bird advantage to take positions because of time zone difference.
 
This is probably the first time in many years that the Union Budget is being presented on a Saturday. The stock markets are generally closed on Saturdays and Sundays, except for special circumstances.
 
As the Budget contains several market-moving announcements, trading participants, including stock exchanges, had requested SEBI and the government to keep the bourses open when the Finance Minister, Arun Jaitley, presents his first full-fledged Budget.
 
Stock markets have always been open during Budget presentations ever since the government changed the timing of Budget announcement to 11am in 2001, from 5pm earlier. 
 

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How the ‘Corridors of Power’ work in Delhi-Part 2
When did ‘liaison work’ evolve into espionage, both commercial as well as anti-national?
 
The reasons and timelines were multiple, but if one had to put markers along this path of liaison becoming an anti-National episode in India, an important one would probably have to do with the Imperial Tobacco / BAT / India Tobacco episode as well as its linkages to "Operation Berkshire" to promote the increase in usage of tobacco. Before that it would also be about the way Nestle and other milk producing countries tried their level best variously with "Operation Flood". 
 
These are two I know about personally also, in addition to documented records, but there were many more. The way in which the Bengal famine was handled to benefit a few specific Calcutta families and the way steel scrap post World War-II was handled to benefit a few specific Punjab origin families in Calcutta, are just two. However, commercial espionage becoming a major anti-National force really came into its own when one fine day the developed world woke up to realise two things about India -
 
1) A totally unplanned and uncontrolled information technology boom despite bad communication infrastructure, born out of totally organic grey-market assembled computers and pirated software from all over the world, but not including the global market leaders in hardware and software.
 
2) A resultant quantum leap in the basics of information available and human intelligence growing in India, which was in projections going to be a major threat to a globally ageing population, because smart youngsters were emerging from India, with English language skillsets to boot.
 
I have had access to deep reportage and analysis on both the subjects, to the extent that research on food and eating habits in India linked to higher intelligence were deep analysed. Spices and herbs being identified as one reason, and cooking methods being identified as another, with lentils in diet considered to be a major reason for the rapid growth in available intelligence in India. Obviously, this scared "them".
 
We still continue to pretend we are surprised, when we read in a Western medical journal that something like "heeng" is good for the brains, or walnuts work even better. However, all this had been deeply researched as the developed countries worked hard on trying to figure out how they were punching out a larger percentile of obviously not so smart people.
 
In an aside, it needed a few wars all over the world for the Western World to get rid of many of the dumb and aggressive genes, but they still had to slow down the rapid growth of smarter people in India. Ergo, flood India with junk food and cancer colas, designed to get young Indians to follow the same path that the West followed a few decades ago.
 
If this sounds far-fetched, then please compare this to the way the Western World tried to drown China in opium a few centuries ago, grown and shipped mainly from India, soon after the Chinese started showing the world that they were inventing everything. For example, they invented and started using the moving type printing press before anybody else. And you get an idea of how the developed countries think when they see competition. Up the rivers, they come with their gunboats and shouts of "free trade free trade".
 
Again, I know because I also worked for one of the biggest and best in the business of lobbying as well as perception management, a polite word for influencing the way governments think and act and make policy. Free trade, it was made clear, was only one-way. And to achieve that, they had to not just know what was going on, but also influence what they wanted to happen.
 
Commercial espionage at this juncture, say during end '80s through mid '90s, was restricted largely to large Indian companies vying with each other-where results were often decided by political influence rather than commercial acumen or intelligence. Therefore, basis all the games rendered until then, around end '90s onwards, the arrival of large foreign companies and liberalisation in India put a new spin to the game.
 
The stakes went up, that was one aspect, and so did huge imports of almost everything. Simultaneously, from being a nominal exporter of value-added products and small shiploads of minerals and ores, the famous cobblers and tailors quote from one of country's biggest industrial houses then refers, India suddenly became an exporter of mineral and ores by huge shiploads. Suddenly, it was no longer just liaison but also communication skills, both for receiving inputs and being able to render them coherently – along with the ability to acquire the said information before others too, that became imperative.
 
The big movers and shakers of the world's corporate intelligence providers had arrived in India. All they needed now was willing and able collaborators in India. Journalists were an obvious perfect match.
 
Both sides of the coin, media on one side and commercial intelligence on the other, had arrived in India. All was fair in business, and the country, it was said, could take the hindmost.
 
Read More
 
 
 
(Veeresh Malik started and sold a couple of companies, is now back to his first love—writing. He is also involved in helping small and midsize family-run businesses re-invent themselves.)
 

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COMMENTS

Ashok Visvanathan

2 years ago

There was no high tech spinage by anybody. It appears that some clerical level employees figured out the value of information at their fingertips, and then periodically sold them,not to the highest bidder ,but to anyone willing to pay the price they were asking.
The Same thing happened in the COOMAR Narain spycase 2 decades ago.
They don't have confidential secretaries in govt. Only in the private sector.

The threat of increasing cyber risks
Cybercrimes, especially financial frauds are increasing rapidly. It is time banks should shed the hypocrisy of always being defensive and take an objective view of breaches to data
 
The Hyderabad City Police commissioner in a press conference recently revealed that the city police registered 21,035 cyber-crime cases in 2014 as against 19,011 in 2013 and 18,744 in 2012. The rise is attributed to the large-scale use of technology and mobile phones. 
 
Social media contributed significantly with the uploading of fake woman profiles, online payment frauds, blackmailing, hacking, skimming, identity theft and data theft etc. The police are trying to use technology again to track and trace the criminals. Global trends are no different although it cannot be a solace. 
 
Preventive measures should also include, keeping personal data private, opt-in-two-factor authentication wherever it is offered, and saying ‘no’ to Social Security Number (SSN) authentication. Detection measures required that consumers should work in partnership with institutions on identity theft prevention. Aadhaar is moving into the social security number status and that worried me. 
 
Resolution involves taking any data breach seriously and to report the problems immediately. Banks should also shed the hypocrisy of always holding defense to whatever they did and take an objective view of breaches to data. Regulatory oversight is also highly critical. The mute question is; does the regulator view these global developments in coordination with the cyber investigation teams of Government of India? If data and files in physical form were stolen, and computer data in defense department also had no exception are banks in India away from them? Public should be made aware of the precautions in a more penetrative manner. 
 
According to Internetlivstats, 2014 of the UN Population Division, around 40% of the population in the world today has internet facility compared to just 1% in 1995. The number of internet users has increased tenfold from 1999 to 2013. The first billion was reached in 2005: the second billion in 2010, the third billion in 2014. In 2014, nearly 75% (2.1 billion) of all internet users in the world (2.8 billion) live in the top 20 countries. The remaining 25% (0.7 billion) is distributed among the other 178 countries, each representing less than 1% of total users. With 17.5% of share of world’s population, India has internet penetration of near 20% compared to 46% in China and 86% in the US with their share in world’s population at 19.19% and 4.45% respectively. This would mean that the impact of any cyber attack would be felt more in India and China than the rest of the world though the volume of resources affected could be large in the countries like the US, Germany, Japan and the USSR in the immediate future.
 
Javelin’s “2014 Identity Fraud Report” provides a comprehensive analysis of fraud trends in the context of a changing technological and regulatory environment in order to inform consumers, financial institutions and businesses on the most effective means of fraud prevention, detection and resolution. Although the Survey covers only the US, the findings are of consequence to Europe and Asia and in particular India where population using internet and mobile technologies for finance are exponentially increasing. 
 
In 2013, 13.1 million consumers suffered identity fraud – the second highest level on record. Existing card fraud (ECF) became increasingly popular with criminals, contributing to the near record number of identity fraud victims. Password habits, mobile device usage, and social networking on identity fraud reflect the highest incidences with data collection on a longitudinal updates from 2005 to 2013. 
 
Identity frauds were found to be on the increase (Nancy Ozawa, 2014) and these frauds occurred mostly on the transactions through eBay, PayPal and Amazon with the stolen information to make purchases, which are more than just credit card fraud. 
 
“Identity fraud is defined as the unauthorized use of another person’s personal information to achieve illicit financial gain. Identity fraud can range from simply using a stolen payment card account, to making a fraudulent purchase, to taking control of existing accounts or opening new accounts, including mobile phone or utility services.”   The study, ‘Javelin Strategy & Research, Pleasanton, a department of Greenwich Associates CA, USA, February 2014’ found that the number of identity fraud incidents increased by 500,000 consumers over the year 2012 while the dollar amount stolen decreased to $18 billion indicating more alertness on the part of the financial institutions. Account takeover frauds accounted for 28% of all identity fraud. Data breaches are noticed to be the biggest risk factor here.
 
American Bankers’ Association (ABA) in a recent report quoted Kaspersky Lab, a computer security firm mentioning that a hacker group has stolen as much as $1 billion from banks and other financial companies worldwide since 2013 in an "unprecedented cyber-robbery." The gang targeted as many as 100 banks, e-payment systems, cash dispensers like the ATMs and other financial institutions in 30 countries including the US, China and European nations, stealing as much as $10 million in each raid. The criminals detected by Kaspersky infected bank employees' computers with Carbanak malware, which then spread to internal networks and enabled video surveillance of staff. That let fraudsters mimic employee activity to transfer and steal money, according to Kaspersky, which said it has been working with Interpol, Europol and other authorities to uncover the plot.
 
While many American banks quickly denied the impact on their institutions, even spokesperson for the US Federal Bureau of Investigation in Washington, Paul Bresson, declined to comment on the revelations in the Report. Dough Johnson, senior Vice President of payments and cyber security policy at the ABA said that he has high degree of confidence that the US Banks are not somehow denying the Report. 
 
Indian banks must take the cautionary advice of American Banking Association seriously because of the increasing penetration of internet banking through different instruments and routes on one side and penetration with Aadhaar ID for the more vulnerable groups in the Jan Dhan products. 
 
(Dr Yerram Raju Behara is a former senior executive of SBI and former Dean of Studies at Administrative Staff College of India (ASCI). He is a visiting Professor at Institute of Small Enterprise Development, Kochi and Advisor, KESDEE Inc, the E-Learning Centre at San Diego. The views expressed in the article are his personal.)

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