BSE Sensex, Nifty in a strong upmove: Tuesday Closing Report

Watch whether the Nifty continues to register a higher high and a higher low for the upmove to continue

The market settled near the day’s high on ratings agency Moody’s move to retain India’s rating outlook as stable and the DMK’s decision to support the UPA government in Parliament on the FDI issue. Today for the second trading day the Nifty managed to make a higher high and a higher low. It settled at 5,727, which was its best closing in the last 12 days (including today). We may see a strong upmove on the benchmark subject to a higher high and a higher low. The National Stock Exchange (NSE) saw a volume of 86.22 crore shares and a strong advance decline ratio of 961:481.
The Indian market witnessed a firm opening tracking positive Asian cues and Moody’s reaffirming India’s outlook as stable on the back of the country’s strong economic growth and high savings and investment rates. Markets in Asia were in the green in morning trade on following an agreement for the release of the next tranche of aid to Greece.
Back home, the Nifty opened 23 points up at 5,659 and the Sensex resumed trade at 18,617, a rise of 80 points over its previous close. While the opening figure of the Sensex was its intraday low the Nifty’s low was 5,658, which was also struck in initial trade.
The market soon started on a northbound journey supported by all-round buying amid a news report which said that the DMK would support the UPA government on the FDI issue in Parliament. The gains increased as trade progressed. The deal between Greece and its international creditors which was agreed on Monday resulted in the European markets opening higher today. The optimism was cheered by the local market as well with the Sensex and Nifty extending their gains in the post-noon session.
The benchmarks hit their intraday highs in the last half hour with the Nifty rising to 5,733 and the Sensex scaling 18,863. However, the indices pared a small part of the gains, but settled higher for the second day in a row. 
The Nifty gained 92 points (1.62%) to 5,727 and the Sensex surged 305 points (1.65%) to finish the session at 18,842.
Among the broader indices, the BSE Mid-cap index surged 1.18% and the BSE Small-cap index climbed 0.93%.
All sectoral indices settled in the positive today. The top gainers were BSE Realty (up 3.20%); BSE Consumer Durables (up 3.18%); BSE Fast Moving Consumer Goods (up 2.12%); BSE Bankex (up 1.84%) and BSE TECk (up 1.81%).
Twenty eight of the 30 stocks on the Sensex closed in the positive. The main gainers were Bharti Airtel (up 5.22%); Sterlite Industries (up 3.56%); HDFC (up 2.79%); HDFC Bank (up 2.69%) and Hindalco Industries (up 2.55%). NTPC (down 0.38%) and ONGC (down 0.08%) were the losers.
The top two A Group gainers on the BSE were—Videocon Industries (up 19.99%) and Unitech (up 11.13%).
The top two A Group losers on the BSE were—Hindustan Copper (down 9.97%) and Jet Air India (down 3.27%).
The top two B Group gainers on the BSE were—GEI Industrial Systems (up 19.97%) and Value Industries (up 19.94%).
The top two B Group losers on the BSE were—Kiri Industries (down 17.36%) and Sujana Universal Industries (down 15.55%). 
Out of the 50 stocks listed on the Nifty, 47 stocks settled in the positive. The major gainers were Bharti Airtel (up 4.75%); Jaiprakash Associates (up 4.38%); BPCL (up 4.14%); Reliance Infrastructure (up 3.07%) and HDFC (up 3.01%). Power Grid Corporation (down 1.54%); NTPC (down 0.47%) and Tata Power (down 0.05%) settled at the bottom of the index.
Markets across Asia closed mixed with the Shanghai Composite index closing at its lowest since January 2009 on concerns that Chinese banks’ lending capacities would stifle economic growth. On the other hand, the Greek deal pushed other markets higher on hopes that easing of the debt crisis would boost export-oriented economies of Asia.
The Nikkei 225 gained 0.375; the Straits Times rose 0.25%; the Seoul Composite surged 0.87% and the Taiwan Weighted climbed 0.31%. Among the losers, the Shanghai Composite tanked 1.30%; the Hang Seng shed 0.08%; the Jakarta Composite dropped 0.86% and the KLSE Composite declined 0.60%.
At the time of writing, the key European markets were trading with gains between 0.28% and 0.59% while the US stock futures were mixed with a negative bias.
Back home, foreign institutional investors were net buyers of stocks aggregating Rs163.14 crore on Monday. On the other hand, domestic institutional investors were net sellers of shares totalling Rs195.65 crore.
PVR, which is into film production and distribution, today informed the stock exchanges that it was in talks with the promoters of Mumbai-based Cinemax India to buy the latter’s shares. However, no definitive agreement had been signed, it said. PVR settled 2.94% lower at Rs236.10 on the NSE.
Bangalore-based realty major Puravankara Projects is looking to expand footprint in the rest of the country, mainly in the western and northern regions. The company has set up a separate entity Provident Housing to cater to the premium affordable housing segment, which is looking at acquiring land mainly in Mumbai, Pune, Jaipur and Patna. The stock advanced 1.76% to close at Rs86.60 on the NSE.
Refining and marketing major Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) said it is planning to build a new 15 million tonne refinery in Gujarat as part of its plans to almost double its refining capacity. The company, which already has a 13.7 million tonnes refinery at Koyali in Gujarat, is planning another 15 million tonnes unit in the state due to easy availability of land. The stock settled 1.18% higher at Rs262.50 on the NSE.



Economic slowdown has not bottomed out yet, says Nomura

Revenues of companies have slowed down on the back of lower volumes. Persistent pressure on nominal sales growth suggests that economic slowdown has not bottomed out yet, according to a recent report by Nomura

India’s economic growth is likely be around 5.5% in the quarter ended in September 2012, said finance minister P Chidambaram on Saturday. This would be the slowest growth for the financial year since 2002-03 and a below 6% growth rate for the third quarter in a row. Revenues have taken a hit. According to the latest India strategy report from Nomura Equity Research, the downward slide in topline growth, began in the middle of last year and has continued this quarter. The growth rate of net sales has halved over this period. Overall inflation has remained elevated and persistent pressure on nominal sales growth suggests that real economic growth has not bottomed out yet.

Sequentially, this was the weakest September quarter in the post-crisis period in terms of quarter-on-quarter (Q-o-Q) sales growth. Even the year-on-year (Y-o-Y) sales growth had bottomed in June 2009 and post-March 2011, the trend has been downwards. Operating margins also remained under pressure, but according to Nomura, this is not altogether surprising given that the quest to maintain/gain market share in a slowing growth environment is keeping costs elevated.

Among the sectors that registered the highest Y-o-Y sales growth was the pharmaceuticals with a 27% sales growth, closely followed by IT services with a 26% sales growth. Operating profit growth Y-o-Y was 34% and 31% respectively. Electrical equipment, metals & mining and real estate sector registered the lowest sales growth and negative operating profit.

For the 112 stocks in the Nomura coverage, net sales, ex-oil & gas PSUs and banks, were up 14% Y-o-Y; EBITDA was up 10% Y-o-Y; net profit was up 22% Y-o-Y. EBITDA margin was down 60 bps (basis points) Y-o-Y. Banks’ profits were up 27% Y-o-Y. The net earnings revisions remained negative during the earnings season, although the extent of downward revisions was less than in the preceding quarter.


HSBC's 700 accounts

After the publicity and denials there is no followup on Arvind kejriwal revelations.


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